B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CBRS
CerebrasDNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
$97.75-$3.33 (-3.29%)
At close · 2026-11-12
Current thesis
The Q2 operating indicators, reported RPO, cash resources, and raised full-year guidance support a constructive long-term setup if capacity converts into deployed inference revenue and the Q4 product milestone is delivered. The available analyst median target is $291.64, but target-count coverage is unavailable.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
AWS partnership revenue is reportedly not expected until mid-2027 and is not yet reflected in RPO.
Momentum
2
Value
45
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $235.00 · Bull $300.00 · Bear $170.00Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-12 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-12 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-11-12
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-12
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-12. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $248.50
Why
Momentum2 · Δ7d -0.1
Value45 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AWS partnership revenue is reportedly not expected until mid-2027 and is not yet reflected in RPO.
- • Customer concentration remains high, with OpenAI expected to be a significant contributor in 2027.
- • The market response was materially negative despite strong core growth: Reuters-reported coverage cited a GAAP revenue miss versus consensus and an after-hours decline of more than 18%.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-31
Q2 earnings showed strong core growth but a negative headline reaction
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
2
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-1.1
Value
45
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
76
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 1.8 / Value 44.6 / Sentiment 75.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-11-12
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-12
Market Cap
$21.88B
Beta
-
Shares Out
237.56M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
225.6
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+74.3%
EPS YoY
-453.2%
Gross Margin
+32.7%
Op Margin
-81.2%
Net Debt
-$1.08B
Current Ratio
5.82
As of 2026-11-12 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data