B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$739.77
-18.7% vs current
CAT
CaterpillarCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$643.28
-29.3% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$482.46
-47.0% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-30
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+18.1
Score
AI commentary
Coverage shows a wide high/low spread with the median near the current price, producing a neutral near-term tone. Recent individual upgrades support upside cases but consensus remains mixed.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-30
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-30catalystNear-term results & guidanceHigh impact
Quarterly results and guidance can re-rate consensus; recent analyst commentary is mixed and could move the stock around the current level.
2026-07-29eventAnalyst target updatesHigh impact
Ongoing broker revisions (including recent raises) may shift the 12-month range; expect iterative updates over the coming quarters.
2027-01-30catalystCycle-driven equipment demandHigh impact
Sustained strength in global construction and mining orders would support volume and margin expansion over multiple quarters.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology