CAT

CaterpillarD

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Stronger-than-expected orders, improved pricing/mix, and positive analyst revisions drive multiple expansion toward the upper analyst range.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.4.

What can break

Cyclical downturn in construction/mining demand

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $643.28 · Bull $739.77 · Bear $482.46

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $1,001.03

Why

Momentum81 · Δ7d -4.4

Value48 · Δ7d +0.3

Sentiment19 · Δ7d +3.9

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.4

Δ21d

-5.3

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.3

Δ21d

+0.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+3.9

Δ21d

+7.1

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 81.4 / Value 48.2 / Sentiment 18.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$405.49B

Beta

1.57

Shares Out

460.64M

P/E (TTM)

31.6

P/S (TTM)

4.46

P/FCF (TTM)

59.61

Rev YoY

+22.2%

EPS YoY

+30.3%

Gross Margin

+31.9%

Op Margin

+17.7%

Net Debt

$34.08B

Current Ratio

1.35

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology