CARR

Carrier GlobalB

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The best post-earnings read is that Carrier produced a clean Q1 revenue/EPS beat, held FY2026 profit and cash guidance, and showed unusually strong data-center and commercial HVAC order momentum. Secondary post-print analyst coverage indicates several target increases, which supports a constructive but not aggressive interpretation.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

What can break

Adjusted operating profit fell 30% year over year and adjusted operating margin fell 520 bps in Q1, showing that the beat did not resolve margin pressure. [#8-K-2026-04-30]

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $71.00 · Bull $78.00 · Bear $60.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $77.14

Why

Momentum70 · Δ7d -3.2

Value53 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment47 · Δ7d -2.7

So what

Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-3.2

Δ21d

-12.8

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+0.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.7

Δ21d

+4.8

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 69.9 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 47.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$57.05B

Beta

1.32

Shares Out

830.58M

P/E (TTM)

33.8

P/S (TTM)

2.05

P/FCF (TTM)

67.41

Rev YoY

+2.4%

EPS YoY

-39.5%

Gross Margin

+25.2%

Op Margin

+12.9%

Net Debt

$10.84B

Current Ratio

1.05

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology