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CAR

Avis Budget GroupF
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The Q1 release gave management a cleaner operating script than the prior baseline: pricing improved, utilization reached record first-quarter levels, fleet costs were flat year over year, and adjusted free cash flow swung sharply better, which supports a cautious repair thesis rather than a collapse thesis [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
A T+1 post-earnings setup means analyst revision evidence is still thin, so early price action can be unstable and headline-driven.
Momentum
11
Value
51
Sentiment
34
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $135.00 · Bull $220.00 · Bear $90.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $134.14
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -5.6
Value51 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment34 · Δ7d -4.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
11
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
-28.0
Value
51
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
34
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
+1.9
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 10.7 / Value 50.9 / Sentiment 33.8

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$5.67B
Beta
2.34
Shares Out
35.33M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-6.4
P/S (TTM)
0.39
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.48
Rev YoY
+4.1%
EPS YoY
-44.1%
Gross Margin
+25.6%
Op Margin
-12.1%
Net Debt
$28.03B
Current Ratio
0.74
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology