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CapstoneF
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 GAAP operating income turned positive, and preliminary July–August comparable-acquisition organic sales and gross profit grew. Sustained conversion of that growth into cash flow, alongside a workable debt resolution, could support a rerating [#10-Q-2026-08-12] (filing) [#PR-2026-10-01] (company release).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
December 2026 revolver maturity, prior covenant waiver, and dependence on refinancing or continued lender support [#10-Q-2026-08-12].
Momentum
100
Value
34
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.11 · Bull $0.22 · Bear $0.04Analysis 2026-10-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.00
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • December 2026 revolver maturity, prior covenant waiver, and dependence on refinancing or continued lender support [#10-Q-2026-08-12].
  • • June 30 cash of $225,000 and first-half operating cash outflow of approximately $3.2 million; these are historical, not current cash balances [#10-Q-2026-08-12].
  • • The first half still produced a $3.3 million net loss and approximately $3.2 million of operating cash outflow.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-22

Remaining convertible note reaches stated maturity

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
100
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
0
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 99.7 / Value 34.1 / Sentiment 0.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.22
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.11
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.04
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.38M
Beta
-
Shares Out
917.9K
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.0
P/S (TTM)
0.14
P/FCF (TTM)
6.09
Rev YoY
+67.1%
EPS YoY
-18.3%
Gross Margin
+25.2%
Op Margin
-4.8%
Net Debt
$28.13M
Current Ratio
0.99
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data