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CapstoneC
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed meaningful revenue growth, margin expansion, and a positive Stone Business Adjusted EBITDA inflection. Reaffirmed FY2026 guidance, further note retirement, and successful expansion execution could support operating leverage and rerating.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
At a $0.1826 anchor price and approximately $4.4 million market capitalization, liquidity and volatility may dominate fundamental results.
Momentum
100
Value
34
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.16 · Bull $0.30 · Bear $0.08Analysis 2026-09-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.00
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • At a $0.1826 anchor price and approximately $4.4 million market capitalization, liquidity and volatility may dominate fundamental results.
  • • Expansion and capital-structure improvements require execution follow-through; current evidence does not establish durable demand or backlog visibility.
  • • The deterministic prior remains negative across 5-, 20-, 60-, and 120-day horizons.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

Q2 growth and EBITDA inflection

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
100
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 99.7 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 55.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$0.16
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.08
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.4M
Beta
-
Shares Out
20.58M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.1
P/S (TTM)
0.14
P/FCF (TTM)
6.09
Rev YoY
+67.1%
EPS YoY
-18.3%
Gross Margin
+25.2%
Op Margin
-4.8%
Net Debt
$28.13M
Current Ratio
0.99
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data