B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CALY
Callaway GolfANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 beat, raised full-year outlook, margin expansion, debt repayment, and share repurchases support a constructive operating and capital-allocation case.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.
What can break
Q2 GAAP results included $10.8 million of Phase 1 tariff refunds, creating a potential comparability risk for reported profitability.
Momentum
22
Value
53
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $12.50Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.60
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -1.7
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +7.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Q2 GAAP results included $10.8 million of Phase 1 tariff refunds, creating a potential comparability risk for reported profitability.
- • Raised guidance may prove difficult to achieve if golf-consumer demand or channel conditions weaken.
- • The thesis depends on sustaining demand and margin gains after a strong quarter.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-04
Q2 results and guidance raise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-12.4
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-13.3
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.3
Δ21d
+0.4
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 21.8 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 83.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.97B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
178.51M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-11.5
P/S (TTM)
0.58
P/FCF (TTM)
70.64
Rev YoY
+2.0%
EPS YoY
+265.0%
Gross Margin
+52.9%
Op Margin
+8.6%
Net Debt
$770.9M
Current Ratio
3.04
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data