B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$74.61
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CALX
CalixBNYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution on deployments and successful software monetization drive ARR and margin expansion, producing meaningful multiple expansion and upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Lost deals, sustained pricing pressure, or a prolonged capex slowdown compress growth and margins, leading to extended underperformance.
Momentum
27
Value
52
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $58.03 · Bull $74.61 · Bear $38.69Analysis 2025-12-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $62.33
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -23.3
Value52 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Lost deals, sustained pricing pressure, or a prolonged capex slowdown compress growth and margins, leading to extended underperformance.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Next quarterly earnings release
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
27
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.3
Δ21d
+11.4
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 27.2 / Value 52.0 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-01. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$58.03
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$38.69
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.49B
Beta
1.56
Shares Out
62.96M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
145.9
P/S (TTM)
3.86
P/FCF (TTM)
42.12
Rev YoY
+21.3%
EPS YoY
-8525.8%
Gross Margin
+56.6%
Op Margin
+5.5%
Net Debt
-$372.51M
Current Ratio
2.83
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data