CAI
Caris Life SciencesN/ADocument history
Earnings documents stored for CAI.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-12Caris Life Sciences Publishes Study Showing Whole Exome Measurement of Tumor Mutational Burden Results in Increased Overall Survival Compared to Estimates from Targeted Gene Panels
PR Newswire
Caris Life Sciences Publishes Study Showing Whole Exome Measurement of Tumor Mutational Burden Results in Increased Overall Survival Compared to Estimates from Targeted Gene Panels
Targeted gene panels miscalculate tumor mutational burden in 10–15% of patients, directly resulting in incorrect pembrolizumab eligibility determination IRVING, Texas, May 11, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Caris Life Sciences® (NASDAQ: CAI), a leading, patient-centric, next-generation AI TechBio company and precision medicine pioneer, has published a study in Cancer Immunology, Immunotherapy demonstrating that measuring tumor mutational burden (TMB) using ultra-deep Whole Exome Sequencing (WES) provides superior prediction of pembrolizumab immunotherapy benefit compared to estimates of TMB from targeted gene panels. TMB is a pan-tumor biomarker used to determine patients' eligibility for pembrolizumab. These findings highlight the importance of testing all cancer patients with ultra-deep WES, the only truly comprehensive genomic profile for therapy selection. The study used Caris' large-scale, real-world clinico-genomic database, containing 26,756 patients treated with pembrolizumab who were evaluable for this study. WES provides a true measurement of TMB by interrogating every protein-coding gene mutation that may create a neoantigen, in comparison to targeted panels that only estimate TMB with incomplete gene coverage. Key findings include: The analysis compared WES-measured TMB with commercially available targeted panel estimates of TMB and found discordance in 10-15% of cases, with error rates correlating to panel size. In discordant cases, WES TMB more accurately predicted overall survival in pembrolizumab-treated patients than panel-based estimates. In a subset of 'TMB reliant' patients (n = 3,981), for example, patients with tumor types that lack disease-specific immune checkpoint inhibitor indications, the median overall survival in discordant cases was about five months longer for WES TMB-High and panel TMB-Low compared to WES TMB-Low and panel TMB-High cases treated with pembrolizumab. "These findings underscore the critical importance of using Whole Exome Sequencing to guide immunotherapy decisions," said Milan Radovich, PhD, Senior Vice President, Chief Scientific Officer at Caris. "Whole Exome Sequencing is the gold-standard for determination of tumor mutational burden, ensuring that patients who stand to benefit from pembrolizumab are correctly identified and that those unlikely to respond are not exposed to unnecessary treatment." The study concludes t...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08Caris Life Sciences Reports Q1 Breakeven Results, Revenue Rises; 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed
MT Newswires
Caris Life Sciences Reports Q1 Breakeven Results, Revenue Rises; 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed
Caris Life Sciences (CAI) reported breakeven Q1 results late Thursday, swinging from a loss of $3.57
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08Caris Life Sciences Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Caris Life Sciences Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Interested in Caris Life Sciences, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Financial outperformance: Total revenue rose 79% year‑over‑year to $216 million (molecular profiling up 85% to $211M) driven by 15% volume growth and a 61% clinical ASP increase, with GAAP gross margin up to 65%, $26M adjusted EBITDA, ~ $22M free cash flow, and cash slightly above $825M. Caris Detect ACHIEVE‑1 readout and launch plans: The ACHIEVE‑1 study reported 60.3% sensitivity for stage 1–2 cancers with 99.2% asymptomatic specificity in 3,014 high‑risk subjects; the company is running a beta and expects a commercial launch with Everlywell in Q2. Commercial execution and strategic moves: Sales force realignment expanded territories from 82 to 146 and boosted activations, supporting guidance of >58,000 cases in Q2, while new product launches (ChromoSeq, MI Clarity), MRD development priority, and a $400M refinancing (≈$6M annual interest savings) provide strategic flexibility. Caris Life Sciences (NASDAQ:CAI) reported first-quarter 2026 results highlighted by sharp year-over-year revenue growth, improving margins, and continued progress across its pipeline, including a key clinical accuracy readout for its multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test, Caris Detect. Vice Chairman and EVP Brian Brilly said the company posted “continued growth, profitability, and cash generation,” which management said supports ongoing investments in MCED, the broader pipeline, and commercial expansion. → Berkshire Hathaway’s Record Cash Hoard: Why and What's Next? Total revenue rose 79% year-over-year to $216 million. Molecular Profiling Services revenue increased 85% to $211 million, which Brilly attributed primarily to clinical profiling performance. The company completed 52,800 cases in the quarter, up 15% year-over-year. Brilly said revenue growth reflected both higher volume and higher pricing: 15% volume growth and a 61% increase in clinical average selling price (ASP). He added that GAAP gross margin improved to 65% from 47% a year earlier. The quarter produced adjusted EBITDA of $26 million and free cash flow of $22.5 million, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, according to management. → A Prada Payday: Is AMC Back in Style? CFO Luke Power said the company’s strong revenue performance continued to translate into profitability despite increased...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08Caris Life Sciences Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
PR Newswire
Caris Life Sciences Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Revenue growth of 79% driven by strong performance in molecular profiling services IRVING, Texas, May 7, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (Nasdaq: CAI), a leading, patient centric, next-generation AI TechBio company and precision medicine pioneer, today reported financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. First Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights Reported total revenue of $216.2 million, an increase of 79% over the corresponding prior year period. Completed approximately 52,800 clinical therapy selection cases, an increase of approximately 15% over the corresponding prior year period, consisting of approximately 43,600 MI Profile cases and approximately 9,200 Caris Assure cases. Reported gross margin of 65%, an approximate 1,800 bps improvement over the corresponding prior year period. Reported net loss of $0.5 million. Reported positive Adjusted EBITDA of $26.2 million. Reported positive net cash provided by operating activities of $32.9 million, and positive free cash flow of $22.5 million, inclusive of annual bonus payments of $30.5 million. "We delivered another strong quarter with record performance for February and March following our January sales re-alignment. This performance underscores the continued demand for our platform and the strength of our comprehensive, patient-first approach," said David Dean Halbert, Founder, Chairman and CEO of Caris Life Sciences. "We are also encouraged by the Achieve 1 data, including the blinded readout, which demonstrates the superior performance of our whole genome technology over inferior techniques such as methylation. We remain focused on strengthening Caris Detect through the incorporation of additional pillars in advance of our upcoming launch." Recent Operating Highlights Re-aligned sales force in January 2026, and exited at a quarterly run-rate of approximately 56,000 completed cases for February and March. Reported Achieve 1 study results reinforcing the superior sensitivity and specificity of Caris Detect. Launched and received MolDX approval for Caris ChromoSeq, Caris' comprehensive whole genome tumor profiling assay for myeloid malignancies. Launched Caris MI Clarity next-generation prognostic tool that leverages multimodal AI technology and computational pathology to deliver rapid, clinically actionable results for HR+/HER2−, postmenopausal, node-negative early-stage breast canc...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08Caris (CAI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Motley Fool
Caris (CAI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Image source: The Motley Fool. Thursday, May 7, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET Founder, Chairman, and CEO — David Halbert President — David Spetzler Vice Chairman and Executive Vice President — Brian Brille Chief Commercial Officer — Bobby Hill Chief Financial Officer — Luke Power Need a quote from a Motley Fool analyst? Email [email protected] J. Denton: Thank you. Earlier today, Caris Life Sciences, Inc. released financial results for the quarter ended 03/31/2026. Joining from Caris Life Sciences, Inc. today are David Halbert, our Founder, Chairman and CEO; David Spetzler, our President; Brian Brille, our Vice Chairman and EVP; Bobby Hill, our Chief Commercial Officer; and Luke Power, our CFO. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that during this call, management will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements involve material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to materially differ from those anticipated. These risks are discussed in our SEC filings, including our Annual Report on Form 10-Ks filed with the SEC. Except as required by law, Caris Life Sciences, Inc. disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise financial projections and forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events, or otherwise. This call will also include a discussion of non-GAAP financial measures that are adjusted to exclude certain specified items. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is available in the press release Caris Life Sciences, Inc. issued today. A copy of today's presentation materials can be found on our Investor Relations website. I will now turn the call over to Brian. Brian Brille: Thanks, J., and thank you all for joining our first quarter 2026 earnings call. This is a strong start to the year, and we are pleased to report continued growth, profitability, and cash generation, which will continue to support our investment strategy focused on MCED launch, the broader product pipeline, and commercial platform expansion. As illustrated on Slide 3, our platform continues to expand across technology, scale, and commercial breadth. We are now supporting more than 6,100 ordering oncologists with approximately 70% of orders coming through our EHR and portal channels. In the first quarter, we...
TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-07FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 97 paragraphs
FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the Caris Life Sciences Q1 2026 earnings call. My name is Steven. I will be your coordinator today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand it over to Russ Denton at Caris. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Earlier today, Caris Life Sciences released financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Joining from Caris today are David Dean Halbert, our Founder, Chairman, and CEO, David Spetzler, our president, Brian Brille, our Vice Chairman and EVP, Bobby Hill, our Chief Commercial Officer, and Luke Power, our CFO. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that during this call, management will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements involve material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to materially differ from those anticipated. These risks are discussed in our SEC filings, including our annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC. Except as required by law, Caris disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise financial projections and forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events, or otherwise.
The information discussed in this conference call is accurate only as of the live broadcast. This call will also include a discussion of non-GAAP financial measures, which are adjusted to exclude certain specified items. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are available in the press release Caris issued today. A copy of today's presentation materials can be found on our investor relations website. I will now turn the call over to Brian.
Thanks, Russ, and thank you all for joining our 1st quarter of 2026 earnings call. This is a strong start to the year, and we're pleased to report continued growth, profitability, and cash generation, which will continue to support our investment strategy focused on MCED launch, the broader product pipeline, and commercial platform expansion. As illustrated on slide 3, our platform continues to expand across technology, scale, and commercial breadth. We're now supporting more than 6,100 ordering oncologists with approximately 70% of orders coming through our EHR and portal channels. In the 1st quarter, we completed 52,800 cases, up 15% year-over-year. We're very excited about the initiatives that our CCO, Bobby Hill, is driving, and we began to see the benefits of these in February and March.
With this clinical activity, our dataset has surpassed 1.07 million profiled cases, including more than 677,000 whole exomes, 728,000 whole transcriptomes, and roughly 790,000 matched profiles. We also reached another important milestone with the recent addition of the 100th Precision Oncology Alliance member, UC San Francisco. We've launched two exciting products, Caris ChromoSeq and Caris MI Clarity. ChromoSeq is a therapy selection assay for hematological cancers, which expands the breadth of our offerings and features a cutting-edge whole genome technology. ChromoSeq was launched on April 1st. In addition, we launched Caris MI Clarity, an exciting prognostic test designed to deliver insight into both early and late distant recurrence risk for breast cancer via digital pathology.
Finally, and importantly, we're making progress with Caris Detect multi-cancer early detection, and we're getting ready for commercial launch with Everlywell, with plans to add additional channel partners. Our philosophy is a long-term strategic orientation to develop the best offerings on the market and to pursue this innovation while generating profitable growth and maintaining financial strength. We had a strong first quarter with total revenues increasing 79% year-over-year to $216 million. As demonstrated on slide 4, this result was driven primarily by strong performance from clinical profiling. Molecular Profiling Services revenues increased to $211 million in the first quarter, representing an increase of 85% year-over-year. In summary, across the board, we had a very productive first quarter, illustrated by the quarter highlights on slide 5.
This strong revenue performance, combined with the operating leverage inherent in our business model, has produced continued positive financial results while we ramp up investments, including revenue growth of 79%, which was driven by volume growth of 15% and a 61% increase in clinical ASP. This revenue growth has led to improved gross margins of 65% on a GAAP basis, up from 47% in the first quarter of last year. We've invested significantly this quarter while maintaining financial discipline. This approach has produced positive adjusted EBITDA of $26 million, as well as positive free cash flow of $22 and a half million.
This is our 4th straight quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and positive free cash flow and provides us with valuable strategic flexibility for ongoing investment in our tech platform for new products, as well as the ability to develop new channels, such as MCED. In addition, our balance sheet continues to strengthen, with cash on hand growing to slightly above $825 million, an increase of $23.4 million in the quarter. Finally, as a result of this profitability profile, we were able to attractively refinance our credit facility. The new $400 million debt facility led by Blue Owl and Blackstone offers many advantages.
Lower costs, saving approximately $6 million in annual interest. An extension of the maturity date three years from January 2028 to April 2031 and a committed delayed draw term loan of $300 million on the same terms for any potential strategic acquisition. We believe that our financial performance gives us unique strategic flexibility, which supported our investment program in the first quarter. We're continuing to invest in our product pipeline, importantly in our MSAT business, which Dr. Spetzler will describe in detail, as well as the expansion plan for our sales organization. We believe that our commercial channel is highly differentiated and has many strategic edges. Bobby Hill is bringing enhanced discipline and alignment to the overall platform. We're committing new resources to expand the commercial footprint with important hires across the platform, expanding the number of territories covered, and building product-focused sales teams.
As stated previously, our strategy is to maintain financial discipline through a strong balance sheet and profitability. These financial pillars of strength will allow us to realize our mission of making precision medicine a reality to benefit patients and support physicians. I'll now turn the presentation over to Bobby to provide an update on our commercial business and related strategic initiatives. Bobby?
Thanks, Brian. I will provide a brief update on our molecular profiling business, along with our progress on the initiatives for the commercial teams in 2026. On slide 6, this shows our strong molecular profiling revenues performances for this quarter, with revenues increasing 85% to $211 million. This revenue growth was driven by a 15% year-over-year growth in clinical case volumes to approximately 52,800 profiles and a 61% increase in ASP for our comprehensive profiling tests, reflecting our market access and billing team's continued excellent execution. We continue to see the benefits of ASP driven by our successful launch of MI Cancer Seek last year, and these benefits are reflected on the slide.
Our tissue ASP increased by 70% to over $4,300, and our blood ASP increased by 14% to just under $2,500, driven by billing our PLA code and improved payment for Caris Assure. Luke will discuss the breakdown of this further during the financial update. Moving on to slide 7. I'll spend a minute on the commercial changes we made at the beginning of the quarter and why we feel good about the trajectory coming out of the quarter. We completed the realignment of the sales teams in January 2026. That included expanding our territory structure from 82 to 146 territories and continuing to build out the field organization.
We made those changes deliberately to improve coverage, sharpen accountability, and create a stronger footprint for execution across both MI Cancer Seek and Caris Assure, along with setting us up well for product launches. January was a transition month, as expected, given the scale of the realignment and expansion. Following the realignment, activations in February and March grew approximately 20% year-over-year compared with the same 2 months period last year. Full quarter activations increased 17% year-over-year. That reinforces our confidence in the underlying demand trajectory and based on the completion cadence in February and March, supports a quarterly exit run rate of roughly 56,000 completed cases.
For Q1 overall, we completed approximately 52,800 therapy selection cases, up 15% year-over-year, including approximately 43,600 tissue cases and approximately 9,200 Caris Assure cases. The key point is that demand accelerated as the quarter progressed due to the great work of the sales team, while completed case recognition reflected normal timing between activation and completion. Beyond overall volume, the broader commercial engine continued to perform well.
Caris Assure volume grew 58% year-over-year. More than 70% of orders were submitted electronically. Over 3,000 physicians are using EMR integrations. We ended the quarter with more than 270 commercial team members as we continue building toward our approximately 300 person goal. Overall, we feel very good about how the team has performed with the initiatives. I'll now turn it over to Dr. Spetzler to continue our progress on our product pipeline, in particular around Caris Detect. Spetz.
Thanks, Bobby. I wanted to start with an important milestone for the quarter for Caris, which is the final readout for ACHIEVE-1 for Caris Detect described on slide 8. At the high level, these data points serve as our clear validation, clinical accuracy study, and reinforce our conviction that our whole genome solution, whole genome sequencing approach to early detection is fundamentally differentiated. In the ACHIEVE-1 data, Caris Detect delivered a 60.3% stage 1 and stage 2 sensitivity with a 99.2% asymptomatic specificity across a 3,014 subject high-risk cohort. This is a meaningful result in early detection, particularly when you consider both the size of the evaluable cohorts and the complexity of the underlying biology we are trying to detect. What gives us confidence in these results is not just the top-line numbers, but the platform underneath them.
Caris Detect is built on the foundation of Caris molecular profiling data, which now includes more than 1 million processed cases and over 50 billion molecular markers. That breadth and depth of data matters. It is what allows our AI models to identify difficult-to-detect biological signals associated with early-stage cancer with a level of resolution that we believe is differentiated in the field. When you look at performance by stage, the pattern is exactly what you would see in a high-performing assay. Sensitivity increases consistently with stage: 56.8% in stage 1, 67.7% in stage 2, 79% in stage 3, and 98.6% in stage 4. We also reported 96% benign tumor and high-risk patient specificity alongside the 99.2% asymptomatic specificity results.
We split the population of patients without cancer into two different groups because a false positive in a patient with a benign tumor or precancerous lesion should have a very different implication than a false positive in a healthy person. Taken together, those data show a strong balance between sensitivity and specificity across clinically relevant populations. The cancer type readouts were also encouraging. In the total stage 1 and 2 data sets, we saw sensitivity of 53.7% in breast, 74.1% in prostate, 73.4% in lungs, 60.6% in uterus, 61.8% in bowel, 81.3% in head and neck, 70% in pancreatic cancer. Maybe the most important strategic point on this slide is that these results were generated using only 1 of 9 potential pillars.
In other words, we believe there is still room to improve from here, as additional pillars may further strengthen overall performance over time. When we look at ACHIEVE-1, we do not just see a successful data readout, we see proof that the biological foundation is working and a platform that still has meaningful upside ahead of it. We have been doing a beta launch the last few weeks and still anticipate commercial launch later in Q1 with Everlywell. Moving to slide 9, this also reflects the status of our robust pipeline, and I'll touch on these before letting Luke wrap up with the financials. First, as Brian mentioned, Caris ChromoSeq is now launched with MolDX coverage. This is a whole genome heme therapy selection solution designed for AML, MDS, MPN, and suspected myeloid malignancies.
The assay is differentiated by greater than 200X steps of coverage across the whole genome. The ability to detect the full range of clinically relevant genomic alterations at approximately 1.6 billion reads per patient. Second, we have also launched the digital AI-only version of Caris MI Clarity. Caris MI Clarity is designed for post-menopausal patients with HR-positive, HER2 negative, node-negative early-stage breast cancer at the time of diagnosis. We see this as an important extension of our platform into recurrence risk assessment designed to support better decision-making and reduce unnecessary therapy. Third, in MRD Tumor-Naive, we continue to focus on colorectal cancer. This solution uses the Caris Assure platform, is tumor-naive biased design, and is intended to support minimal residual disease detection from a whole blood sample. We are currently compiling additional data for the MolDX technical assessment.
Fourth, in MRD Tumor-Informed, development and launch planning have made progress. This is a pan-tumor opportunity intended for stage 1, 2, and 3 disease. It uses tumor-normal whole genome sequencing to identify trackers with a proprietary approach designed to minimize false negatives and maximize tracker count to achieve ultra-low sensitivity. Finally, before wrapping up, I also want to provide an update on Caris Assure. We recently completed our submission to New York State, and we will provide an update to everyone once we hear back on that submission. We had a very productive few months so far in 2026 with the newly launched solutions and are continuing to generate additional data and multiple avenues to extend the same molecular and AI foundation across therapy selection, risk recurrence, early detection, and MRD. With that, I will turn it over to Luke for the financial update.
Thanks, David. Turning to slide 10, we delivered another strong quarter financially with total revenue of $216 million, up 79% year-over-year. The main driver remained Molecular Profiling, which grew 85% versus Q1 of last year, and that was on continued ASP improvement and volume growth. Therapy selection completed volume was up 15% in the quarter. As Bobby discussed, we were very pleased with how we exited the quarter. While completed cases came in modestly below our initial expectations due to timing, as discussed, activations improved sequentially for the quarter for both tissue and blood following the January realignment. That stronger case intake we saw exiting the quarter gives us great confidence in the Q2 and the balance of the year.
Turning to pharma and research revenue, this was $5.4 million versus Q1 2025 revenue of $6.8 million and was due to the deliverable movement of our discovery and data businesses under contract, which will flow through over the balance of the year and is supported by improved contract activity. Overall, our revenue continue to translate into a strong bottom line with positive adjusted EBITDA and positive free cash flow for the fourth consecutive quarter, reflecting the disciplined approach we continue to take as we invest in the business. As I stated on the last earnings call, we intend to utilize this financial strength to fund the pipeline and commercial investments throughout 2026. You can start to see that in the numbers.
Operating expenses were $136 million in Q1, up from $132 million in Q4, and purchases of property and equipment were just over $10 million, up from $5.1 million in Q4. That is as we continue to prepare for pipeline launches, including early detection, while still delivering positive adjusted EBITDA of $26 million in the quarter and a positive free cash flow of $23 million in the quarter, which also include our annual bonus payments of $30.5 million. Turning to slide 11, Q1 continued to validate the strength of our molecular profiling business, with molecular profiling revenue being $211 million in the quarter, up 85% versus Q1 of last year.
Reported revenue and ASP continued to benefit from favorable collections across both MI Profile and Caris Assure. As this chart on the right shows, we have seen a meaningful buildup in the underlying revenue base over the last seven quarters, with additional upside where collections have exceeded prior accrual assumptions as we continue to have collection success from the excellent work by our billing and market access teams. At the assay level, MI Profile base ASP was $4,091 in Q1, and Caris Assure base ASP was $4,421, showing the benefit from payer contract in progress and stronger collection experience. With regards to our ASP, I also want to spend a minute on reimbursement framework because there has been a little confusion on this point recently. For us, both assays are CDLTs and not ADLTs.
That means these are reported under PAMA. The 2026 PAMA reporting window runs from May 1 through July 31 based on data from January 1 through June 30 of 2025, with any related fee schedule update becoming effective January 1 of 2027. As an update, we submitted our PAMA data on May 1 and do not expect any downward adjustments from that. We also continue to support the broader CRUSH efforts and do not view that as changing our underlying reimbursement position. Turning to slide 12, this highlights the key commercial and reimbursement tailwind supporting the business in Q1. That is demonstrated by our approach of always focusing on the technology first. Starting with MI Profile, we continue to benefit from MI Cancer Seek and the steady improvement we have seen through 2025 into Q1 of 2026.
That progress has been supported by our contracting and payer collection experience, as demonstrated on the previous slide. At this point, we're above 225 million covered lives for MI Cancer Seek, which we expect to continue to increase throughout the course of this year. The assay represented more than 75% of our tissue volume in Q1. As touched on before, we also delivered about 9% completed volume growth in MI Profile in the quarter compared to Q1 of 2025, including a record February and March period following the sales realignment that also drove stronger sequential activations versus Q4 and is due to the great work done by our sales team following the realignment. That momentum will flow into Q2.
On the Caris Assure side, this came in line with our expectations with Assure's volume growing 58% year-over-year, importantly, volume also increased 7% sequentially. We continue to see traction in blood as we grow our penetration there with a differentiated solution. This continued leverage resulted in Molecular Profiling Services gross margin being 65% in Q1 compared with 47% in Q1 of last year, which is an improvement of over 1,800 basis points year-over-year. Finally, moving to guidance on slide 13. You can see we're reaffirming our guide from February, I'll address two key components on this prior to opening up the call to questions. Starting with volume, based on the February and March trends, we remain confident of the full year volume framework.
We continue to expect tissue growth in the low teens and blood growth in the high 50s to low 60s. The stronger activation trend exiting Q1 supports our guide view. That timing gap between activations and completed cases should normalize as we move into Q2 and throughout the year with the realignment completed. With respect to the pipeline, we have launched Caris ChromoSeq, which was approved by MolDX and priced at $3,228, and also MI Clarity. After Q2, we will evaluate and incorporate the contribution from those launches along with any incremental impact from our continued sales strategies and commercial expansions.
On revenue, while Q1 performance points us towards the higher end of the range with a beat on our expectations for the quarter, we are reconfirming guidance today and will evaluate after Q2 with the additional history of the new launches and the continued execution. I will stop there and turn it back over to the operator for questions. Operator?
Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Michael Ryskin of Bank of America. Your line is now open.
Hi, this is Alexa Chen on for Mike. Thank you so much for taking our questions. I just have a couple ones here. Maybe to start, can you talk about the impact that the sales realignment might have had on tissue volumes this quarter? As a follow-up, can you discuss your confidence in achieving the 20% volume growth target for the year, given the softer start? We appreciate that the sales force is realigned and that trends improved in February and March, but it still appears to require a significant ramp from here. Thank you.
Yeah, as any time when you realign a sales organization and put them into new territories, we saw a little bit, you know, slower start to the very beginning of the year. Beginning of the year sometimes is slower, that's why we chose to do it then. What we saw with tissue volume each month after that and what we're trending at, we feel confident that we're going to achieve 20% year-over-year by the end of Q4. Yes. One of the reasons why we also disclosed kind of the exit rate on the completions for February and March is what also gives us confidence.
You can see based on those numbers, we've improved dramatically on the tissue front from where we were running on a monthly rate last year, with over 15,500 on average from February and March. We believe that continued trend is going to benefit us as we go into Q2. We feel good about the low teens guidance.
Great. Thank you so much.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of William Ruby of TD Cowen. Your line is now open.
Hi. Thank you. First question is just on the clinical volumes in the first quarter. Did weather hold back the clinical volumes at all? If so, by how much?
No. It's like the reason why we pointed out we've gotten the cases in the door. What we expect to happen and the reason why we're reaffirming that guide from a volume standpoint is what you'll see now is an improvement in the sequential growth from Q1 to Q2 that we were initially expecting kind of a 7% growth and sequentially from Q1 to Q2. Now that's gonna be 10%. Those cases will flow through in the second quarter and it'll be caught up by the end of the second quarter as we progress into the second half of the year.
Got it. If you could just discuss the traction in blood testing. What's been the strategy impact and where are you having the most type of success and types of accounts and just on that please.
Yes. We've expanded before Q1 our liquid product specialist team, a bunch of individuals that are highly skilled at, you know, helping the appropriate patients get blood testing. We saw 135% growth on their targets quarter-over-quarter. Because of that quarter-over-quarter growth, we've also said that we're gonna double the size of that team again in Q2, to, you know, tissue profiling was our base business and now we're getting good at selling blood profiling and so, for the right patients and we'll continue to do that, take those learnings to the rest of the sales force.
Probably also worth saying version of Assure that we submitted to New York State significantly increases the amount of RNA profiling that we're doing, going up to about 600 million reads from 5 million reads.
Thank you. Appreciate it.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Vijay Kumar of Evercore. Your line is now open.
Hi guys. Thank you for taking my question. Maybe first one on a big picture question if you will. Luke, you brought up the CRUSH initiative. You know, space has been under pressure. You know, investors are nervous about reimbursement in the space. Just talk us high level, is there a rest of the space on the reimbursement front? If so, how is Caris differentiated from others peers in the space when it comes to reimbursement?
It's the reason why we wanted to call it out in our script is there's been some confusion. What we've managed to do is it's a little unique in that we managed to go through and we went through the CDLT process. Our codes are like CDLT, not ADLT. We actually feel very good and we actually submitted our PAMA submission last week, based on the time, timeframe. Vijay, we feel good about it.
Don't feel like there's already mechanisms in place outside of CRUSH for pricing review and PAMA is obviously the key one for us. Based on our submission we feel really good about our pricing. As I said, we don't expect any downward adjustments from that. We feel good about the initiatives. We're supportive of CRUSH obviously. We've been at this a very long time and we kind of firmly believe that we're pretty set from a pricing standpoint.
Just to be clear, Luke, on that point, are you trying to make a distinction between CDLT and ADLT and maybe CDLT is having more visibility on the pricing element if there's any rest of the space?
I think how we priced both MI Cancer Seek's PLA code and Caris Assure's PLA code did not go through the ADLT pathway. Those were priced MI Cancer Seek through crosswalk and Caris Assure through gap fill. We are subject because we did not do ADLT to the 3-year PAMA cycle that's going through. As Luke said, we put our PAMA data into PAMA on May 1st and then feel very good about price stability.
That's helpful. Maybe Luke, one on the guidance comment you made here on the Q on Q 10%. Was it a volume comment or a revenue comment? If you could just clarify what was true ups in that Q1? What was underlying gross margins, extra ups, and how should we think about gross margin progression?
Gross margin came in exactly in line with what our expectations was in the kind of mid-60s. Our focus right now this year is more on the investment side. I think as we progress into later on this year and into next year, we'll start focusing more on improving the margin standpoint. Generally it came right in line what our expectations were from the gross margin standpoint.
From a true up standpoint, that was very minimal compared to what we've seen last year. We continued to execute and continued to appeal on the reimbursement front and continued to have success. It was a very small percentage compared to what you saw in Q4. As we progress throughout 2026, as I stated previously, those will start getting smaller and smaller as we continue to have the uptick in the overlying ASP.
Understood. Sorry, and the 10%, was it volume or revenues?
That's from a volume standpoint. The way we were thinking about it is that 2.5% that will flow from Q1 will flow into Q2 from a completed standpoint. The cases came in the door in Q1, but it will be completed in Q2. What our expectation is now for Q2 is over 58,000 cases which would be a 10% sequential growth from Q1.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Subbu Nambi of Guggenheim. Your line is now open.
Hi, this is Ricky on for Subbu. Thank you for taking our question. Maybe one for Bobby. You ended the quarter with, I think you said, over 270 sales reps, and earlier in the year you said you would increase head count by 20%-25%. It sounds like you still have more reps left to hire. Could you give us some color on how that hiring is progressing and also on how the 20 or so new reps that you've brought on year to date have been ramping up? Thank you.
Yes, we're progressing right on track of where we want to be. We changed territory size or territories and made them smaller. We went from 82 to 146 territories. We'll continue to grow that amount. We have the first wave hired. We're sending them through training. They're already out making calls. We've significantly revamped our training program. It's, we're excited with that development. Yes, we're on track to hit that 300 number and hire them all in Q2. Approximately 300 number, and we feel very good about the ramp-up and what we've changed.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Casey Woodring of JPMorgan. Your line is now open.
Hello, this is Martha Runbat on for Casey. Thank you for taking my question. Apologies if I missed this, but how should we think about 2Q volumes for tissue and blood, any color you can share there? Also on the pharma R&D revenues. Another one would be on the initial insight test uptake. Are you assuming any contribution this year? Thank you.
I can definitely take that. As we just stated, our expectation is for a 10% sequential improvement from Q1 to Q2 in volume. That would get you above 58,000 cases, which again we feel very good about based on what we saw exiting the quarter. From a blood and tissue standpoint, you will see those tissue cases flow into Q2. We would expect to be in the 47.5 thousand cases for tissue and then approaching over the 10 feel very confident about those for Q2. From a revenue standpoint for Q2, our expectations right now based on the initial guide that we put out in February was for that kind of 32% growth in overall total revenue. The last question, the contribution from Caris Detect.
Again, we'll assess that. Our plan is to still launch that in Q2, that we're progressing along very nicely. I'll assess that as we get into the Q2 earnings on what the contribution is going to be for the second half of the year.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Patrick Donnelly of Citi. Your line is now open.
Hey, this is Albert Hu on for Patrick here. Thanks for the two Q color. Just curious on the profitability side for both two Q and for the year. I think you previously had noted, a certain range, a certain cap for the EBITDA profitability, and it's been since updated to positive. Just curious what you can share with us on both the EBITDA assumption for two Q and then for the full year. I know you have some investments in there and maybe perhaps share with us what those are as well. Thank you.
From a EBITDA standpoint and from a free cash flow standpoint, I'll repeat what I kinda stated on the last earnings call. We're gonna utilize the kinda financial profile we have. We're gonna get that pretty close to neutral from a free cash flow standpoint in Q2. One of the key things that we're gonna push on is with the early detection launch, there's gonna be an increase in Q2 from a CapEx standpoint. We're expecting about $30 million of CapEx of property and equipment purchases. Again, that includes the NovaSeq Xes that we're ramping up. We've also started to ramp up from an inventory purchase standpoint ahead of the detection launch. You're gonna have additional spend from that standpoint.
Our goal going into Q2 is to utilize obviously the free cash flow that we're generating to fund the preparation for the Detect launch, along with pushing obviously MI Clarity and Caris ChromoSeq as well. From an EBITDA standpoint, we're not guiding to that metric because again, the key focus for us is pushing the pipeline through, pushing through the commercial activities that Bobby is putting in place and along with getting the Detect product launch.
From an estimate standpoint for Q2, we have the 32% growth for revenue and expect a mid gross margin of 60%-65% is where we expect gross margin. We'll also ramp up our OpEx as well from where we were at $136 million to over $140 million. Again, that will get you a small EBITDA, but it's not our primary focus for Q2.
Got it. That's super helpful. Well, first, congrats on the pipeline coming out here. It's great to see launches and reimbursement coming through. Just curious on the MRD front. I think you mentioned on the update on the prepared remarks that it's still in prepared for being launched. I'm just curious what that priority is, MRD exactly. What is that priority in the pipeline for you guys? Is that something that, you know, you guys are putting emphasis on and aiming to launch perhaps late this year or sometime next year? What can you share with us on the MRD and timeline front, please? Thank you.
Now that we have these other product launches done and behind us, MRD is the next priority. We'll be focusing on that quite heavily.
Okay, perfect. Thanks so much. I'll hop back in with you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mark Massaro of BTIG. Your line is now open.
Hey, guys. Thank you for taking the questions. I wanted to start on a pipeline question. Now that you have MolDX approval for ChromoSeq and it's launched, can you speak to the unmet need? I think oftentimes there's a whole lot of conversation about solid tumor profiling, but can you just sort of speak to the unmet need in myeloid?
Sure. What happens today is that those patients get a whole lot of small panel tests, a combination of different technologies, it's not comprehensive, and they often miss things. Those tests are also not designed to pick up resistance components. With our approach, we're able to, in one fell swoop, not only identify all of the components that allow optimal therapy selection, but also identify when that therapy is no longer effective.
It's a truly comprehensive approach to hematological malignancies and not the hotspot that is being done today. With the turnaround time that the team was able to achieve and what we're seeing from the launch, that gets patients a complete answer faster than that they would get with testing with multiple different tests trying to chase down a diagnosis.
Okay. That's helpful. I know that breast cancer is one of the important indications in your early detection initiatives. Can you just speak to that disease state relative to others? How should we think about the landscape progressing over time as you guys think about screening for various cancer types?
Yeah. I mean, breast cancer is one of the more common types of cancer. It's already highly screened for, mammography has its limitations. It's important to us to make sure that we're servicing that patient population really, really well. The performance that we have shown in ACHIEVE-1 is already superior to mammography. You know, it's inevitable that older technologies are gonna be replaced by future superior technologies, and that's what's happening right now.
Understood. Thanks so much.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of EV Kozelowski of Goldman Sachs.
Hi, thanks for taking my questions. wanted to ask on the quarterly run rate you gave for February and March of 56,000 tests relative to the 52.8 you reported for the quarter. I think you said that was up 20% year-over-year relative to February and March last year. I guess, could you talk through the split between tissue and blood, and then how durable you think the acceleration in volumes is post the sales force realignment? Was there a level of pent-up demand in the latter half of the quarter?
Yes. The split follows our normal split growth when we went from January into February and March. We saw ramp-ups in both products, and we're excited about what that was able to do and you know, the quickness of that turnaround. As we look at that volume, as Luke had discussed, going into Q2, we still feel very confident that we'll be able to achieve the numbers that we've set forth for guidance, and we expect both products to continue their growth.
Great. Then any update on the M&A and kind of capital allocation strategy? I mean, I know there's a focus kind of to reinvest more organically, but any specific areas or gaps in your portfolio that you would look to fill inorganically?
EV, hey, it's Brian. There's no gaps, and, you know, we've been a pioneer through organic growth and building our technology platform. There's nothing in particular that we think we need. On the other hand, you know, we're very strong with respect to our financial profile. Our new debt facility gives us additional flexibility. We're definitely in a position of being flexible and tactical if we see the need.
Great. Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tycho Peterson of Jefferies. Your line is now open.
Hey, team, this is Noah on for Tycho. Thanks for taking our questions. Wanted to start by asking about the pharma R&D business. I think it came in a few million dollars light of consensus expectations on revenue. How are you thinking about the commercial investment in that business? Can you speak to, you know, orders or backlog performance that, you know, justifies maintaining the guide here?
Yeah. As we kind of stated on the last earnings call, you always have Q1 and Q3 are always kind of the lower quarters from a pharma standpoint. It's just a natural cadence that we progress through throughout the year. The revenue, the reason why we're maintaining the guidance is that revenue delta from the Q1 expectation, it's based on contracts we already have under contract. The Genentech deal that we publicly disclosed, there was revenue dollars that moved from Q1 that will flow into Q2.
The same with some of our data partners that we have under contract that will deliver that data in the next quarter or two. We feel good about that, and we do expect from a Q2 standpoint to obviously see that increase that we've seen over the last couple of years, where Q1 is always lower and Q2 ramps up, Q3 comes down, and Q4 ramps up. We feel confident right now based on that existing guidance playing out.
Okay, thanks. That's helpful. I wanted to ask one more. You know, I know a competitor had, you know, a recent study that went to ODAC for, you know, liquid biopsy-informed drug trial that ODAC voted against. How are you thinking about implications for serialized liquid biopsy testing, and, you know, do you have any embedded assumptions for, you know, liquid testing tests per patient expanding in the long run? Thanks.
I mean, that was really more about one specific mutation, not liquid in general. There's still incredible clinical utility of liquid profiling. You know, the fact that the ESR1 targeted agent wasn't approved doesn't really impact the broader utility of profiling.
Thank you. Our final question comes from the line of Kyle Mikson of Canaccord Genuity. Your line is now open.
Hi, this is Dr. Kaufman for Kyle Mikson. Thank you for taking our questions. Congratulations again on the ChromoSeq approval and launch. Just to kind of tap into that again, what is the rate that you got for this test? From, like, a dollars and cents perspective, what is the addressable market we're looking at? Thanks.
Yeah. The rate is $3,228 is what we got from MolDX. From a market standpoint Bobby?
Yeah, from a market standpoint, there are about 50,000 patients that meet the 3 indications that are set forth in the MolDX indications for the 3 different ones. There are existing medical policies for commercial commercial lines of business that we believe that when we submit to payers, that we will gain coverage on because of the depth and performance of our assay. We're already deploying the team to go talk to a lot of the payers and add where we are already contracted with MI Cancer Seek. It would give us the opportunity to add the coverage there as well.
Got it. Thank you. Just one more for me. You spoke to the expansion of your Precision Oncology Alliance on this call for which you plan to host your summit on the eve of the ASCO conference. On ASCO, can you elaborate what types of data you'll be presenting for pipeline and recently launched products, including MCED and MRD, among others? Thanks.
I mean, we have a lot of data that we'll be presenting. It's embargoed until the conference, we can't really talk about it now. There's gonna be a lot of it.
Got it. Thank you.
Thank you. This does conclude the Q&A session and the program. I'd like to thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-20Caris Life Sciences to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 7, 2026
PR Newswire
Caris Life Sciences to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 7, 2026
IRVING, Texas, April 20, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Caris Life Sciencesᆴ (NASDAQ: CAI), a leading, patient-centric, next-generation AI TechBio company and precision medicine pioneer, today announced it will report first quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Caris Life Sciences will host a live webcast at 3:30 p.m. CT (4:30 p.m. ET) to discuss the financial results. Webcast Details: Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026 Time: 3:30 p.m. CT (4:30 p.m. ET) Live Webcast: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/6iwr2xf8/ A replay of the webcast will be available shortly after the conclusion of the call on the Investor Relations section of the Caris Life Sciences website at CarisLifeSciences.com. About Caris Life Sciences Caris Life Sciencesᆴ (Caris) is a leading, patient-centric, next-generation AI TechBio company and precision medicine pioneer actively developing and commercializing innovative solutions to transform healthcare. Through comprehensive molecular profiling (Whole Genome, Whole Exome and Whole Transcriptome Sequencing), advanced AI and machine learning, Caris has created the large-scale, multimodal clinico-genomic database and computing capability needed to analyze and further unravel the molecular complexity of disease. This convergence of next-generation sequencing, AI and machine learning technologies and high-performance computing provides a differentiated platform for developing the latest generation of advanced precision medicine diagnostic solutions for early detection, diagnosis, monitoring, therapy selection and drug development. Caris was founded with a vision to realize the potential of precision medicine to improve the human condition. Headquartered in Irving, Texas, Caris has offices in Phoenix, New York, Cambridge (MA), Tokyo, Japan and Basel, Switzerland. Caris or its distributor partners provide services in the U.S. and other international markets. Caris Life Sciences Media: Corporate Communications [email protected] 214.294.5606 Investor Relations: [email protected] 917.689.3511 View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/caris-life-sciences-to-report-first-quarter-2026-financial-results-on-may-7-2026-302746471.html
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-01Caris Life Sciences Finalizes Achieve 1 Study Results Reinforcing the Superior Sensitivity and Specificity of Caris Detect
PR Newswire
Caris Life Sciences Finalizes Achieve 1 Study Results Reinforcing the Superior Sensitivity and Specificity of Caris Detect
Results demonstrate the superiority of Whole Genome Sequencing compared to methylation-based approaches IRVING, Texas, March 31, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Caris Life Sciences® (NASDAQ: CAI), a leading, patient-centric, next-generation AI TechBio company and precision medicine pioneer, today announced the finalized Achieve 1 Study results. These results represent a major milestone in Caris' goal to detect cancer earlier, through the future launch of Caris Detect™, its multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test. Caris Detect leverages Caris' industry-leading molecular profiling data, which has processed more than 1 million cases and generated more than 50 billion molecular markers. This deep molecular foundation enables Caris' AI models to identify, with unprecedented resolution, difficult-to-detect biological signals associated with early-stage cancers. The Achieve 1 Study systematically assessed Caris Detect's diagnostic accuracy across a heterogeneous patient cohort, quantifying its efficacy in identifying multiple cancer types at early stages through peripheral blood sampling. A total of 3,014 subjects were enrolled and evaluable based on high-risk screening, symptomatic presentation, or identification of a mass on imaging, representing a population with elevated cancer prevalence relative to baseline. Achieve 1 results in totality included: Sensitivity in Stage I and II Cancers 60.3% (n=131) Of note, in the blinded validation set, 36 cancer patients had no staging information, 34 were on treatment or blood was collected after intent-to-treat surgery, and 24 failed to produce results meeting minimum sample quality metrics. Each of these patient groups were excluded from the results. "Finalizing the Achieve 1 results is a pivotal milestone for Caris Detect, because it moves our performance assessment from an interim view to a complete, reported-out data set," said David Spetzler, MS, PhD, MBA, President of Caris Life Sciences. "This data was generated analyzing only one of nine pillars. With this study, we have validated that our Whole Genome Sequencing approach detects the diverse molecular changes that drive cancer and quantifies performance with greater confidence across stages and patient populations. This data reinforces our view that relying on a narrow slice of biology is not sufficient for early detection. We intend to add additional pillars, including Who...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-01Caris Life Sciences Inc (CAI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue Surge and ...
GuruFocus.com
Caris Life Sciences Inc (CAI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue Surge and ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Total Revenue: Increased 125% year over year to $293 million in Q4 2025. Molecular Profiling Services Revenue: Increased 199% year over year to $282 million in Q4 2025. Pharma R&D Services Revenue: $10.8 million in Q4 2025. Gross Margin: Improved to 75% on a GAAP basis in Q4 2025, up from 54% in Q4 2024. Net Income: Positive GAAP net income of $82 million in Q4 2025. Adjusted EBITDA: $106 million in Q4 2025. Free Cash Flow: Positive free cash flow of $39.7 million in Q4 2025. Cash on Hand: Grew to slightly above $800 million, an increase of $43 million in the quarter. Full Year Revenue: Increased 97% for the full year 2025. Molecular Profiling Full Year Revenue: Increased 120% to $766.7 million in 2025. Clinical Case Volumes: Grew 22% year over year to approximately 199,300 profiles in 2025. Average Sales Price (ASP): Tissue ASP increased by 83% to over $4,000; Blood ASP increased by 69% to just under $2,800. 2026 Revenue Guidance: Expected to be in the range of $1.0 billion to $1.02 billion. 2026 Molecular Profiling Growth: Expected to grow approximately 21% to 22%. 2026 Pharma and Research Revenue: Expected to be $75 million to $85 million. 2026 Operating Expenses: Expected to be in the range of $590 million to $595 million. 2026 CapEx: Expected to be approximately $60 million. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with CAI. Is CAI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: February 26, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Caris Life Sciences Inc (NASDAQ:CAI) reported a record-breaking quarter with total revenues increasing 125% year over year to $293 million. The company's molecular profiling services revenues increased by 199% year over year, reaching $282 million in Q4 2025. Caris Life Sciences Inc (NASDAQ:CAI) achieved a positive GAAP net income of $82 million and adjusted EBITDA of $106 million, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. The company's balance sheet strengthened with cash on hand growing to slightly above $800 million, an increase of $43 million in the quarter. Caris Life Sciences Inc (NASDAQ:CAI) plans to launch a revolutionary cancer early detection test, Caris Detect, which has the potential to significantly impact cancer mortality rates....
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-27Caris Life Sciences Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Provides 2026 Outlook
PR Newswire
Caris Life Sciences Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Provides 2026 Outlook
Full year revenue growth of 97% driven by strong performance in molecular profiling services Expects full year 2026 revenue to be in the range of $1.0 billion to $1.02 billion IRVING, Texas, Feb. 26, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Caris Life Sciencesᆴ, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAI), a leading, patient centric, next-generation AI TechBio company and precision medicine pioneer, today reported financial results for the quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Highlights Reported total revenue of $292.9 million, an increase of 125% over the corresponding prior year period. Completed approximately 52,700 clinical therapy selection cases, an increase of approximately 20% over the corresponding prior year period, and consisting of approximately 44,150 MI Profile cases and approximately 8,550 Caris Assure cases. Reported gross margin of 75%, an approximate 2,000 bps improvement over the corresponding prior year period. Reported net income of $82.0 million. Reported positive Adjusted EBITDA of $106.1 million. Reported positive net cash provided by operating activities of $44.8 million, and positive free cash flow of $39.7 million. Full Year 2025 Financial Highlights Reported total revenue of $812.0 million, an increase of 97% over the corresponding prior year. Completed approximately 199,300 clinical therapy selection cases, an increase of approximately 22% over the corresponding prior year, and consisting of approximately 170,300 MI Profile cases and approximately 29,000 Caris Assure cases. Reported gross margin of 66%, an approximate 2,300 bps improvement over the corresponding prior year period. Reported net loss of $68.1 million. Reported positive Adjusted EBITDA of $137.7 million. Reported positive net cash provided by operating activities of $83.2 million, and positive free cash flow of $66.9 million. "Demand for our platform continued to accelerate in 2025, driving strong growth in volume and revenue and expanding adoption across our solutions. We are focused on building on this momentum, advancing our pipeline, and are particularly excited about the planned launch of our Caris Detect solution in the first half of 2026, which we believe represents a significant growth opportunity for Caris and an important step forward for precision medicine," said David Dean Halbert, Founder, Chairman and CEO of Caris Life Sciences. Recent Operating Highlights...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-27Caris Life Sciences Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Caris Life Sciences Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Record Q4 and full‑year results: Caris reported total Q4 revenue up 125% YoY to $293M with GAAP net income of $82M, adjusted EBITDA of $106M and free cash flow of $39.7M; full‑year revenue grew 97% with adjusted EBITDA of $138M and free cash flow of $67M. Molecular profiling and commercial expansion: Q4 molecular profiling revenue rose 199% to $282M (full‑year $766.7M) driven by ~22% clinical volume growth and much higher ASPs (tissue ASPs now tracking around $3,876–$4,200 and blood ~$2,400–$2,800); management plans to expand the salesforce ~20–25% to ~300 reps in 2026 while incorporating those costs into guidance. Early‑detection progress and 2026 outlook: Interim ACHIEVE‑1 results underpin a planned Q2 2026 launch of Caris Detect (stage 1–2 sensitivity ~63.1%, specificity 95.3–99.1%, AUC ~0.90), and Caris guided 2026 revenue of $1.0–1.02B (~23–26% growth) while remaining positive on adjusted EBITDA/FCF and raising CapEx to about $60M to support early‑detection capacity. Interested in Caris Life Sciences, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Caris Life Sciences (NASDAQ:CAI) reported a record fourth quarter in its first full year as a public company, driven by strong growth in its molecular profiling business and improved profitability. Management also outlined plans to reinvest in commercial expansion and product development in 2026, while maintaining positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. Vice Chairman and EVP Brian Brille said Caris delivered “another record-breaking quarter,” with total revenue up 125% year-over-year to $293 million. The performance was led by clinical profiling: molecular profiling services revenue increased 199% to $282 million in Q4, while pharma R&D services revenue totaled $10.8 million. → SoundHound’s New Sales Assist Agent Put Voice AI Back in the Spotlight Brille attributed the quarterly revenue growth to 20% volume growth and a 150% increase in clinical average selling price (ASP). Caris posted GAAP gross margin of 75%, improving from 54% in Q4 2024 and 68% in Q3 2025. The company generated GAAP net income of $82 million, adjusted EBITDA of $106 million, and free cash flow of $39.7 million, marking its third consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. For the full year, CFO Luke Power said Caris delivered 97% total revenue growth and finished 2025 with adjusted EBITDA of $138 million and free...
TranscriptFY2025 Q42026-02-27FY2025 Q4 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 60 paragraphs
FY2025 Q4 earnings call transcript
Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the Caris Life Sciences Q4 2025 Earnings Call. My name is Dana, and I will be your coordinator today. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker, Russ Denton. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Earlier today, Caris Life Sciences released financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. Joining the call from Caris today are David Dean Halbert, our Founder, Chairman and CEO; David Spetzler, our President; Brian Brille, our Vice Chairman and EVP; Bobby Hill, our Chief Commercial Officer; and Luke Power, our CFO. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that during this call, management will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements involve material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to materially differ from those anticipated. These risks are discussed in our SEC filings, including our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and our annual report on Form 10-K to be filed with the SEC. Assessed as required by law, Caris disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise financial projections and forward-looking statements whether because of new information, future events or otherwise. The information discussed in this conference call is accurate only as of the live broadcast. This call will also include a discussion of non-GAAP financial measures, which are adjusted to exclude certain specified items. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are available in the press release Caris issued today. A copy of today's presentation materials along with an interim readout of our Q1 study can be found on our website. I will now turn the call over to Brian.
Thanks, Russ, and thank you all for joining our Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. This is our first year-end call as a public company, following our June IPO last year, and we're pleased to report another record-breaking quarter, finishing the year with excellent performance across the company in terms of growth and underlying financial strength. I want to start with what has always mattered most at Caris, our mission. Caris was founded to make precision medicine a reality. We aim to fundamentally change the way disease is characterized and treated. We believe more information is more power and every patient deserves more power in the battle against disease. That mission is being powered by a molecular platform, which benefits from scale and highly differentiated capabilities as illustrated on Slide 3. Our platform continues to scale. And in 2025, we completed just under 200,000 individual cases. With this clinical activity, we have recently reached a platform milestone as our molecular data set now exceeds over 1 million profiled cases and has grown into one of the most important clinical genomic resources in the industry. As the industry evolves, the intersection of molecular science and AI is accelerating technological innovation. Our philosophy is a long-term strategic orientation to develop the best offerings on the market and to pursue this innovation, while generating profitable growth and maintaining financial strength. We've had an outstanding fourth quarter with total revenues increasing 125% year-over-year to $293 million. As demonstrated on Slide 4, this result was driven primarily by strong performance from clinical profiling. Molecular profiling services revenues increased to $282 million in the fourth quarter representing an increase of 199% year-over-year. Pharma R&D Services revenues were $10.8 million in the fourth quarter, and we're making important progress in CDx data discovery, including the December announcement of the Genentech Discovery deal as well as a CDx collaboration. In summary, across the board, we had a very productive fourth quarter illustrated by the quarter highlights on Slide 5. The strong revenue performance, combined with the operating leverage inherent in our business model has produced excellent financial results, including the following: revenue growth of 125% which was driven by volume growth of 20% and a 150% increase in clinical ASP. This revenue growth has led to significantly improved gross margins of 75% on a GAAP basis, up from 54% in the fourth quarter of 2024. It also represents a significant sequential increase from the 68% in the third quarter. With this gross margin improvement, this quarter, we generated positive GAAP net income of $82 million and adjusted EBITDA of $106 million as well as positive free cash flow of $39.7 million. This is our third straight quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and positive free cash flow. This strong profitability profile is unique in our industry and provides valuable strategic flexibility for ongoing investment in our tech platform for new products as well as the ability to develop new channels such as MCED. In addition, our balance sheet continues to strengthen with cash on hand growing to slightly above $800 million, an increase of $43 million in the quarter. The Caris data set has continued to grow with our clinical profiling activity and now exceeds 1 million genomic profiles and 740,000 match profiles. Since every profile has been generated with our WES, WTS technology for many years, our data set now features 627,000 exomes and 678,000 transcriptomes. This gives our data set tremendous power for internal product development as well as attractiveness as a research partner for academic medical centers through the POA as well as for biopharma. As the results demonstrate, our financial performance gives us unique strategic flexibility, and we intend to use that edge in 2026 to make significant investments in both the Early Detection business and our Therapy Selection channel. In Early Detection, we expect to realize the long-standing vision of our CEO, David Halbert, of launching a revolutionary Cancer Early Detection Test. Caris Detect has the potential to bend the cancer mortality curve and ultimately make cancer a curable disease. We believe that the implications for this test are truly profound, both for Caris and for our society. In our core Therapy Selection business, we plan to invest in our commercial channel to broaden our reach and deepen our relationships to accelerate growth. We have a new Chief Commercial Officer Bobby Hill, who took on this responsibility in the fourth quarter. We're extremely excited about the opportunities we face and the new initiatives that Bobby is driving, ranging from the expansion of the sales force and territories to enhance programming and education. Finally, we will make these investments while maintaining positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. Our strategy is to maintain financial discipline through a strong balance sheet and profitability, and these financial pillars of strength will allow us to realize our mission of making precision medicine a reality to benefit patients and physicians. I will now turn the presentation over to Bobby Hill to provide an update on our commercial business and related strategic initiatives. Bobby?
Thanks, Brian. I will provide a brief update on our molecular profiling business along with our initiatives for the commercial teams in 2026. Starting on Slide 6, this shows our strong molecular profiling revenues performance for the full year, with revenues increasing 120% to $766.7 million. This excellent revenue growth was driven by a 22% year-over-year growth in clinical case volumes to approximately 199,300 profiles and a 79% increase in average sales price, reflecting our market access and billing team's strong execution throughout 2025. This ASP growth was driven by our successful launch of MI Cancer Seek on January 1 of last year, and these benefits are reflected on the slide, where tissue ASP increased by 83% to over $4,000 and our blood ASP increased by 69% to just under $2,800, driven by billing our new PLA code and improvement payment for Caris Assure. Luke will discuss the breakdown of this further during the financial update, along with the trends we saw play out during 2025. This illustrates the growth that our sales team has generated in clinical profiling this year, which I am encouraged about as we see progress into 2026 already. Our Q4 growth was 20%, which was sequential improvement from 18% in Q3 '25, with Caris Assure delivering 59% year-over-year growth in Q4 '25 and continuing to gain traction. Entering 2026, in order to broaden our reach and deepen our relationships to accelerate growth, we are making a continued investment in our commercial channel, by expanding the sales force, including expanding our Liquid Specialist Team to ensure we are maximizing the impact of our excellent teams. Next, strengthening our product and value proposition messaging by focusing on key differentiation of our technology and the clinical impact, the advanced technology has on patient care, as evidenced by data publication, scientific literature and enhancing our -- and elevating medical education and training across, not just the customers we serve, but also our internal teams. Since we are now also consistently reaching over 6,000 oncologists across the country and have EHR integrations of approximately 3,100 clinical sites where approximately 75% of our orders come in electronically. This will be another area that we continue to invest from a customer and team standpoint to make ordering process more streamlined. I joined Caris because of our science and technology differentiation and forward-thinking development of solutions, and I'm excited about continuing to expand the Caris commercial reach to help more patients as we go through 2026. I will now turn the presentation over to Dr. Spetzler to discuss our progress on our product pipeline, in particular, around Caris Detect. Spetz?
Thanks, Bobby. So getting to our ACHIEVE-1 interim results that we wanted to share today and are reflected on Slide 8. As you are aware, this study is for supporting the upcoming launch of Caris Detect, our whole genome sequencing based MCED blood test in Q2 of 2026. ACHIEVE-1 matters not just because it's following our philosophy to always put the patient first, which includes not limiting our development decisions based on cost, but to strive to pursue to the full extent possible the very best performing test. This has been successful for us with our therapy selection assays, which are the most comprehensive on the market, where we run whole exome and whole transcriptome sequencing on every eligible patient sample and we are again pursuing the same path in early detection. The interim readout reflects the benefits of that approach where we are sequencing at incredible depth across the whole genome. Our hypothesis is that cancer is fundamentally driven by molecular abnormalities and these abnormalities show up in multiple waves, driver mutations, epigenomic changes, transcriptomic changes and aneuploidy. Many approaches in blood-based early detection have leaned heavily on epigenomics alone. We took a broader biological view by using ultra deep whole genome sequencing to capture as many genomic alterations as possible. That richer signal set is what we believe is driving our performance and it reinforces our view that relying on a limited slice of biology is not sufficient to reflect the diversity of cancer. What's also different about Caris Detect is the foundation it's built on. The test leverages Caris' molecular profiling data sets, which, as Brian mentioned, has now surpassed 1 million cases and includes more than 50 billion molecular markers. That scale and depth allowed our AI models to identify subtle biological signals associated with early-stage cancers with a very high resolution utilizing the whole genome. As shown on the slide, the interim readout includes 2,122 total samples, 617 cancers, spanning stages 1 through 4 and 1,505 patients with no known cancer at the time of the blood draw. A key point on the normal cohort. These control samples come from individuals who had screening or symptomatic screening, which is a higher likelihood population than the general population. We have at least one year of follow-up data on 22.5% of the normals, of which 35% we identified as our asymptomatic screening population, 121 individuals with no significant risk factors for cancer and at least 1 year of follow-up after the blood draw. Of note, in the total cohort, 7% of patients had a subsequent diagnosis of cancer, reflecting that the control population is truly high risk. Now to the results. From the interim readout, we observed strong sensitivity that increases with stage and high specificity. Sensitivity by stage was 56.8% on Stage I with 266 patients, 70.1% in Stage II with 137 patients, 77% in Stage III with 105 patients and 99.1% in Stage IV with 109 patients. For Stage I and II combined, ACHIEVE-1 reported 63.1% sensitivity. We also evaluated Stage I and II sensitivity by lineage across a number of cancers. Selected examples include -- and are included on Slide 9, with breast cancer being 53% sensitive across 253 patients, valves having 62.2% sensitivity with 45 patients, prostate, 78.9% with 38 patients, uterus, 73.7% with 19 patients, lung 86.7% with 15 patients, pancreas, 71.4% with 7 patients and head and neck cancer at 100% with 7 patients. On specificity in which we followed 22.5% of patients for approximately 3 years following their blood draw, we've demonstrated the following, 99.1% specificity in the screening population with an equal 121, which we have follow-up data on these subjects that had no symptoms of cancer, no history of cancer and no family history of cancer and were not subsequently diagnosed with cancer within 2 years following the blood draw. 95.3% specificity in the higher-risk normal population with 1,505 patients, of which 600 undiagnosed subjects with at least 2 years of follow-up, roughly 7% of patients were subsequently diagnosed with cancer, indicating our enrollment criteria enrich for high-risk subjects. Overall, our model performance measured by AUC was 0.90. These are interim results, which we are extremely excited about. ACHIEVE-1 also includes a blinded holdout validation cohort of approximately 865 samples that were held out for independent testing. That blinded validation is currently in process, and we expect to support these results in Q1. In parallel, we have also begun processing samples from ACHIEVE-2, which is the next step in the program. So to summarize, ACHIEVE-1 interim results show strong performance, including Stage I, II sensitivity of 63.1%, high specificity and an AUC of 0.9 across a large data set spanning 35 cancer types and with no cancer types with help from the results. We view this as a meaningful milestone as we move forward with the blinded holdout readout as the next key catalyst. Moving to Slide 10. This also reflects the status of our robust pipeline, and I'll touch on these before letting Luke wrap things up with the financials. First, Caris MI Cancer Seek is our whole genome plus full transcriptome offering focused on therapy selection in hematological malignancies, particularly AML, MDS and MPN and select cases of suspected myeloid malignancies where cytopenias persist and other causes have been ruled out. Similar to what I've discussed with detection, what matters here is depth and breadth. We're running greater than 200x coverage across the whole genome sequencing and the assay is designed to detect the full range of clinically relevant genomic alterations, mutations, fusions, copy number changes, expression, aneuploidy with roughly 1.6 billion reads per patient. From a status standpoint, we have responded to MoIDX comments on our TA submission and will launch once coverage and pricing is determined. Next is Caris MI Clarity, which is tailored for breast cancer patients who are ER-positive, HER2-negative generally Stage I or II and no negative or in certain cases, 1 to 3 positive nodes, particularly in post-menopausal patients. This solution has 2 alternative offerings, one combining MI Profound Platform with digital AI and the other that is digital AI only. Both are intended to support both early and late recurrence risk score. The goal is straightforward, improve treatment decision-making and reduce unnecessary treatment, while identifying patients who truly need to be receiving therapy. Operationally, we are in launch planning and pursuing reimbursement through the 2 paths. The NGS plus digital AI and digital only. We expect that the digital AI only path will be faster, and it is likely that we launch that version of the products first. Importantly, both versions of MI Clarity offer superior performance to currently available offerings. Third is Caris MRD Tumor-Naive where the intended initial use case is colorectal cancer. The clinical intent here is minimal residual disease assessment in patients with Stage II and III solid tumors post-curative intent treatment, helping to inform adjuvant therapy decision window. Importantly, this is designed to work from the whole blood sample without requiring an individualized tumor-informed assay build. As previously discussed, MolDX requested additional data, and we are working on creating and compiling that data, and we'll provide updates as we progress on that front. And then Caris MRD Tumor-Informed, which is our whole genome approach intended for pan tumor applications in Stage I, II and III disease. This is based on tumor-normal whole genome sequencing to identify patient-specific trackers with a proprietary approach designed to minimize false negatives. The strategy is to maximize tracker counts and to reach ultra-low PPM detection capability because in MRD, sensitivity at very low levels is required. We've initiated development and launch planning, and we will continue to provide updates as we progress throughout the year. We have also launched 5 new AI signatures on our molecular tumor board reports that is available to physicians as part of our MI Cancer Seek in breast, pancreatic, brain, lung and ovarian cancer. These signatures offer insights into which patients will benefit from available, approved therapies and show how our whole exome, whole transcriptome strategy provides the best therapeutic guidance and demonstrates how profiling is becoming more proprietary and not commoditized. Small panels of hundreds of genes are not sufficient to offer these types of insights. As Brian referenced in the investment strategy, our goal this year will be to continue to push on all pipeline activities as quickly as possible in order to make these comprehensive solutions available to improve the lives of patients. I will stop here, and I'll pass it over to Luke for the financial updates. Luke?
Thanks, David. As Brian stated earlier, we had another outstanding quarter in terms of financial performance. So I'll run through some selected highlights prior to getting to the 2026 guidance. Turning to the financial overview slide. You can see we delivered another great quarter and finished our first year-end as a public company very strong, with total revenue increasing 97% for the full year, reflecting exceptional organic performance across the business. As part of this, you will notice that our final revenue numbers for Q4 and the year is about $12 million higher than our preliminary January numbers. And this is the result of seeing continued positive collections from payers. So we adjusted our crude ASP rates in Q4 of '25 to account for these additional collections. The main driver of our 2025 growth, as expected, was our Molecular Profiling business, which grew 120% compared to 2024, due to this ASP upset along with the volume growth. Our therapy selection volumes were up 20% for the quarter and 22% year-over-year, slightly above our expectations and an improvement from the Q3 growth rate of 18% that Bobby mentioned. As discussed publicly, in January, while our pharma revenue was down year-over-year, we were happy with how it finished with our target discovery announcement with Genentech and fully expect to continue to build on that momentum into 2026. As we start to recognize revenue from that deal along with continuing to build on the contracting pipeline. Overall, our revenue growth and financial performance continues to show up on the bottom line, with positive adjusted EBITDA and positive free cash flow, not just for the quarter, but with positive adjusted EBITDA of $138 million and positive free cash flow of $67 million for the full year of 2025 and as Brian mentioned, we ended the year with over $800 million of cash on hand. 2025 was a superb year in terms of Molecular Profiling services. As you will see on Slide 12. We took a measured approach as we entered the year in terms of stepping up our ASPs from the FDA approval of the -- MI Cancer Seek solution, and I'm delighted to say that after the maturity after 12 months, it has demonstrated real sustainable uptick with payers' appreciation -- appreciating the comprehensive approach of our solutions and the signatures that are also included as part of the offering, one of which we press released on Tuesday. As reflected on the slide, the favorable payer response led to additional revenue exceeding prior accruals with the majority of the additional revenue related to cases performed in 2025 and only $33.6 million being related to benefit from 2024 and prior year cases. This has resulted in us being able to reach an ASP for our 2025 cases of $3,876 per tissue and just above $2,500 for our blood assay. These improvements are due to various tailwinds we have seen occurred throughout 2025 and for which we expect to continue to benefit from in 2026, and we have listed some of these on the next slide along with the positive trend in Molecular Profiling gross margin. The key driver for tissue was obviously the impact from our FDA approval and the subsequent increase in pricing and the benefits we saw through contract, where we have now surpassed over 225 million covered lives from MI Cancer Seek. MI Cancer Seek represented greater than 70% of our tissue volume for the full year of 2025, almost over 75% of our tissue volume for Q4 and we're able to increase our tissue growth rate for the full year to over 16%, which was up from the 2024 growth rate. For Caris Assure our PLA accrual was effective for the full year in 2025 and payers responded when we discussed both solutions together, and this played out in the reimbursement uptake over the past year. We've also seen a steady improvement each quarter as we continue to gain traction in volume, with Q4 reflecting a 13% sequential growth from Q3 of 2025. With regards to our Medicare ASP, as you know, our solutions went through clinical lab fee schedule pricing of CDLT and not ADLT. Accordingly, they are subject to the PAMA CDLT reporting process, which is on a 3-year cycle. As part of the recent Consolidated Corporations Act PAMA was amended so that the next reporting period is from January 1 to June 30 of 2025. And based on the initial view of our data, we do not expect any downward adjustments to MI Cancer Seek and Caris Assure through 2029. Staying on the same slide, the improved reimbursement had a very positive impact on the Molecular Profiling gross margin for the year as demonstrated by the progression seen on the graph. We finished at 66% GAAP gross margin for the full year. And even excluding the additional revenue from exceeding accruals for prior year cases, this was only slightly below that at 64%. This improved gross margin allows us to continue to invest and develop comprehensive offerings, validating the long-term approach we take with our solutions. All in all, it was a fantastic year from a financial performance standpoint, demonstrating the excellent work by everyone at Caris as we wrapped up our first year-end as a public company. Now turning to the outlook for 2026, which is reflected on Slide 14. Consistent with our prior approach, we're initiating full year guidance based only on our current portfolio, and will only add the pipeline solution to our guidance once they have started to generate revenue. This allows us to take a deliberate approach with gated investment strategies to ensure that these will flow through as milestones are met throughout the year. With the 2025 results, we delivered on our goal to demonstrate that our model can be self-sufficient and generate free cash flow. And now going into 2026, our plan is to reinvest from this position of strength by continuing to progress on our differentiated pipeline along with our commercial infrastructure. Therefore, for the full year of 2026, we expect total revenue for existing solutions to be in the range of $1.0 billion to $1.02 billion, which represents growth of approximately 23% to 26% compared to 2025. On the clinical side, therapy selection volume is expected to grow approximately 20% year-over-year in 2026, reflecting continued demand expansion and broader adoption across our ordering base. And as Bobby discussed previously, we've begun making those additional investments in the commercial organization. Within the total revenue range, we expect molecular profiling to grow approximately 21% to 22% in 2026. But excluding prior year additional revenue from exceeding previous accruals, this implies a Molecular Profiling growth rate of approximately 26% to 28%. From an ASP standpoint, our focus remains on continuing to improve on commercial payer contracting as we progress into 2026. And for tissue, we're tracking towards approximately $4,000 a case which we now expect to reach in Q1, followed by continued progress throughout the year with this initial guidance reaching approximately $4,200 for the full year 2026. For blood, we expect ASP to be in the range of $2,400 to $2,500 for 2026 and will seek to further expand contracting, but any potential upside is not reflected in the guidance. With regards to Pharma and Research Revenue, we expect $75 million to $85 million for the full year of 2026. This reflects contribution from our previously announced Genentech deal, a recent companion diagnostic collaboration along with the development of contracting pipeline and our investment in additional dedicated team members for our pharma customers. As in prior years, we expect the cadence as more weighted to the second and fourth quarters, with Q1 and Q3 being lower than Q2 and Q4. On the expense side, we expect GAAP operating expenses to be in the range of $590 million to $595 million, representing an increase of approximately 19% to 20%. This increase is primarily driven by the commercial expansion of pipeline trial activities, as demonstrated by the excellent results from ACHIEVE-1 and also then including the ACHIEVE-2 study of advancement of our Assure assay development models, including our planned New York State submission. Finally, with regard to free cash flow and adjusted EBITDA, we expect to remain positive for the year while funding these investments. One additional incremental item in 2026 will be CapEx as we prepare for the early detection launch. After spending approximately $16 million in 2025, we expect CapEx in the range of approximately $60 million for 2026. This spend is tied to increased capacity and will be staged and milestone driven, so will not be applied all at once and spread throughout the year. As we have stated previously, we're not optimizing for peak margin in 2026 at the expense of long-term value, but we're committed to operating within our guardrails remaining positive free cash flow and adjusted EBITDA, while we execute on the milestone by continuing to drive our top line growth. I will wrap up there. And with that, we'll now turn the call back over to the operator.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Dan Brennan of TD Cowen.
Maybe just first one, just on the volume outlook, the 20% volume growth. I don't think I've heard you, did you guys break down how that's going to break down between tissue and blood. So you can give us that color? And then did you give us any color on pacing for revenues as well? So where should the first quarter land?
Yes. So Dan, so on a total volume basis, we guided to the 20%. The 20% is broken up very similar to Q4. So lower teens for tissue and then high 50s, lower 60s for blood from a growth standpoint. And then on the revenue outlook for Q1, right now, we're in that 70% to 74% growth range for total revenue.
Okay. And then maybe as a follow-up, so Bobby is now running the sales force. You've added some headcount. So can you elaborate a little bit on like how big the sales force was previously? What was the decision to bring Bobby in? How many people are you adding? Anything on the strategy? And then have you baked in any impact from these additional salespeople, will they drive revenues and volumes this year? Or is it going to hit in the fourth quarter? How do we think about the contribution from this added head count?
Yes, yes. So I can definitely take that, and then I'll let Bobby chime in on. So effectively, Bobby joined us, obviously, to lead our reimbursement efforts, knowing that Bobby also has additional expertise that would transition into the commercial operating role in the future. So from that standpoint, Bobby, obviously, has been here kind of 1 year, 1.5 years right now and done excellent work, as you can see in our results with the reimbursement. So as we go forward and what we're planning for 2026, we announced at JPMorgan that we were about 250 salespeople, and we wanted to increase it about 20% to 25%. So get that back up to about 300 people. Again, Bobby has done great work with kind of going through the territories and see where we can get the most benefit from that. To answer your last question before I pass it to Bobby, we incorporated the expense, but we're taking a measured approach with our volume. We obviously think this is going to pay off for us in the second half of the year, but that's not incorporated in the 20% number. The 20% we were able to achieve in Q4, which was what we were expecting to go into 2026. So I definitely think once we have further experience with the uptick in salespeople and obviously, all the initiatives Bobby is implementing that you could see benefits, but we're not guiding to that right now.
Our next question comes from the line of Subbu Nambi of Guggenheim.
Spetz, thank you for sharing the MCED interim data you provided specificity data, which delineates between asymptomatic screening and undiagnosed population. Can you further define these populations? How do they differ? And why did you do this? What is the significance from the perspective of clinical regulatory reimbursement and commercial?
Yes. So in the higher-risk population, what we saw was that there was a 7% undiagnosed cancer rate. And so -- now if 7% of your control samples are actually positive for cancer, then it's going to lead to a lower estimate of specificity than what you would see in a general population where the incidence rate is much, much lower. And so the kind of clean cohorts where we have the longitudinal outcome data showing that they are actually healthy patients is going to be reflective of the specificity in that general healthy screening population, whereas the symptomatic screening population, that high-risk group is what we would expect in high-risk clinics. And so the clinical context of the patient matters a lot in how we think about the results, and we want to make sure that we're clear and careful about characterizing test performance across the various populations that we'll be marketing.
Very helpful. And Luke, you did mention how pharma -- how AI is going to be a tailwind and how the database is flowing. Do you have an early outlook to share on the pharma R&D spending environment at all as pharma is increasingly looking to spend on AI and could Caris be a beneficially?
I definitely think we could be a beneficiary, especially from our molecular data set that now has over 1 million profiles. But from our guidance standpoint, Subbu, like the $75 million to $85 million, it's based on looking at what we've been able to do historically from a base run rate, knowing that we signed the additional Genentech deal that we publicly announced. We have a couple of CDx collaborations, one that was completed that we're not announcing publicly at the request of our pharma partner, that allows us and gives us great confidence as we go into the year in order to achieve that. But you're right, there's definitely a lot of trends, and we've had continued outreach, particularly around our data and the use of that in AI.
Our next question comes from the line of Michael Ryskin of Bank of America.
Congrats on the quarter. Dan asked on volumes, so I guess, I'll pick the ASP one. For tissue, I think, if I heard correctly, you talked about $4000 in the first quarter and then reaching approximately $4,200 for the full year. I recognize obviously there's a lot of ASP true-up in 3Q and 4Q, but that still seems like relatively conservative relative to what we talked about in the past and the ability to reach somewhere closer to that high $4,000 range. So just wondering if you could talk about how much conservative you have built into that, what your line of sight is on the commercial side of things and just sort of talk about the -- what true-ups could contribute on top of that.
Yes. So the answer to true-up questions. Like we purposely launch MI Cancer Seek at the start of 2025, knowing that we'd get the full 12 months of the activity. So we could get all the kind of true-ups incorporated as much as possible in 2025. Because, again, I always take a measured approach when it comes to ASP, I'd like to see the history play out. And now that we have that, it's a good starting point as we go in and knowing that we'll get to the $4,000 based on the contracts we signed that kick in at the start of the year. I definitely think there's headroom there. But I do want to be measured again going into this year. We've done excellence on ASP. Obviously, it's the best in the industry, and it's due to the decision David Halbert made to go the whole [ exome ] and whole transcriptome like 5 years ago, and that has paid off for us. So going into it, the $4,200 is kind of where I want to guide to right now. And then we'll progress throughout the year. We'll get additional contracts, as Bobby said, and then we'll just see, Mike, where it shoots up. But from a guidance standpoint, I feel really good right now with the $4,200 for the full year
8 years ago.
8 years ago. Yes.
Good point..And then for my follow-up, for the guide for this year, you kind of left it relatively open ended in terms of adjusted EBITDA positive. There's a big range to what positive means. And I think just to combine this with a commercial reinvestment point. Could you maybe talk about the puts and takes of that? How much of a lever you think that could be? And sort of how you think about that balance, right, of investing, getting maybe a little bit more on the margin side of things versus the other way around?
Yes, it's going to be pure like utilizing the leverage, Mike. So for us, obviously, we're able to generate like over $136 million of adjusted EBITDA for the full year of 2025. We're going to utilize that going in. So you obviously see the increase of $100 million in OpEx. What we're planning on doing, especially in the first half of the year is utilizing that. And I've stated on multiple calls, obviously, since we became public like the ideal goal go for me going into 2026 would be to kind of run neutral in the first half of the year just by getting these investments done. Now we'll continue to generate. We're generating, obviously, the $60-plus million of free cash flow because of the position we're in, we're going to utilize this. And again, that's why we're just guiding to being positive right now. I'm not going to throw out that it's going to be $150 million or $200 million. But if we execute, obviously, we continue to drive margin from a profitability standpoint past 2026 and into 2027. And obviously, we're very excited with the early detection launch, and that's kind of the primary focus for the first half of this year.
Our next question comes from the line of Vijay Kumar of Evercore ISI.
Maybe, Luke, my first one is on ASP assumptions here for fiscal '26. Did I hear you correct when you said blood is $2,400 to $2,500, I thought the fiscal '25 extra blood ASP was north of $2,500. So maybe just walk me through on why blood steps down and that $4,200 on the tissue side. does it contemplate the full normalization of PLA uplift on the CMS side? Or is there some more room left when you think about '27.
Yes. So answer to the blood first. I'd like to guide from a blood standpoint in the $100 range, like you're right, like the $2,500 is kind of at the top of that range is where we ended up. I definitely think there's some upside to that, as I mentioned in the pre-prepared remarks. So right now, what I would guide to is in that $2400 to $2,500 just based on the mix of cases is where we came up with that guideline because obviously, Medicare has paid better, commercials paid a little less and there's sometimes fluctuation amongst that in the quarter, especially as we ramp up our blood volume. Obviously, it's been growing quite nicely from a sequential standpoint. So that's the reason for the $2,400 to $2,500. But I'm not guiding to us like a massive step down or anything. I just want to be cautious with the guide from the blood ASP. And then on tissue, we put out the metrics that obviously, over 75% of our tissue volume is going to be under the PLA code, and we're making great progress there. But you do have the remaining 25%, that's not. So we've hit our goal that we came into the year in order to get above that kind of $3,600 for Q4 and obviously announcing that we're going to get to $4,000 for Q1. I feel good with the progress that our excellent market access team is making, along with our billing team to continue to push on that and get that to a higher rate. But now from a guidance standpoint, like the $4,200 feels really, really good right now, and that's what I want to stick with from the guidance standpoint.
Understand. Just to be clear, Luke, that $4,200 assumes 75% volumes under PLA in 2026?
Correct.
Understood. Then maybe my follow-up on this step-up in OpEx spend for '26. I'm curious, when I look at the market, the market seems to be rewarding companies in the space for volume growth rate versus you guys being focused on profitable growth and that's a distinction that you made. Does this OpEx step-up signal that, hey, if the market is not rewarding Caris on profitable growth, let's put volumes. So just walk us through the rationale of this OpEx step-up where is the spend going? Is this for existing test or new test? And when you think about productivity per rep, how long did it pay for these reps, these new reps to get productive?
Yes. So I'll go first and then I can let team obviously chime in as well. So yes, it's definitely including the OpEx standup -- step up like 30% growth in sales and marketing. So that's kind of the number one key area. The other -- the second key area, too, is in R&D and having that other 30% step up in R&D again, as Spetz walked through with the ACHIEVE-2, like we're extremely excited about that, and we want to keep pressing ahead with the ACHIEVE-2 data. So that's going to be a priority from the R&D spend standpoint. And then with the sales and marketing, normally, it takes about 6 months for that to play out. But again, what we did with our guide and because we did a great job last year of coming out and being measured on what we're guiding to. We didn't want to assume any uptick, big uptick in the second half of the year. Again, all companies go through this, Q1 obviously ramps up to Q2, Q3 and Q4, and that's what's in these numbers. But we're not assuming any big uptick from a volume standpoint until probably obviously get these initiatives implemented. And then we'll come back to the Street and obviously update the Street how we progressed. And then I don't know, Brian, if you want to take the first one.
Listen, I would answer it a little more generally, which is, Vijay, I think we see a tremendous amount of opportunity in the market. it's not penetrated. Rather, we see with sites all of the time, more physicians that need the best technology. So we're extremely optimistic about the opportunities in front of us, not just with the new modalities like MCED, but just with our existing core business and therapy selection. So with our technology solutions, and we think the best technology solutions on the market, and we're super excited with Bobby's leadership to put more resources, human capital programs, et cetera, behind this to support our cancer center clients as well as individual oncologists through educational programs, the MSL teams, et cetera, et cetera, as we go through this continued evolution in molecular information. So we're just super excited. And with Bobby's leadership now, we can invest even more aggressively. So I think that's where this is coming from.
Our next question comes from the line of Doug Schenkel of Wolfe Research.
This is Colleen on for Doug. One on CapEx. We think we heard Luke mentioned $60 million in CapEx dedicated to the MCED launch this year. Can you just share any more color on how you plan to allocate that spend?
Yes, pretty evenly, throughout the year, Colleen, maybe a little bit more weighted, so like $35 million, $25 million first half, second half of the year. It will all depend on how quickly we can get the early detection ramped up. we're working very, very quickly on that right now. One of the key items from the CapEx standpoint is, obviously, our new Assure assay is going to be switched over to the Nova X. And Nova X is also what we're using for early detection. So there's going to be additional Nova X machines that we'll purchase as well throughout the first half of this year and that we've already ordered. So that's kind of how it's broken up. It's a lot related to testing equipment and then additional spend related to capacity and buildings.
All right. And then more broadly on capital deployment. Now that the business has demonstrated profitability and you have about $800 million on the balance sheet, how are you prioritizing incremental sales and marketing and R&D investment versus opportunistic M&A? And are there any portfolio gaps you would look to fill strategically versus prioritizing smaller tuck-ins?
No. I think, look, we're always being very strategic in what we do. We have a great assay in-house. And obviously, we always focus on the technology first at Caris. So that's going to be a primary thing. But we remain strategic and obviously, the flexibility that we have based on our financial performance and the cash on hand, gives us an opportunity to just continue to assess. But we're going to push on all fronts, and then we'll see what actually shakes out.
Our next question comes from the line of Casey Woodring of JPMorgan.
Great. This is Sebastian on for Casey. Can you talk a little more about expectations for volume pacing? It sounds like you're not making any impact from new reps. I think you talked about mid-teens growth-ish for tissue and then something in the mid-30s for blood. Would you expect to grow above that in the first half and then below in the back half, pending your ramp from new reps? And then just what's your expectation there for 1Q? And I have a quick follow-up.
Yes, Sebastian. Probably you flipped that. So obviously, like we're continuing to ramp that up. What I said was when, I think Dan asked the question, was the tissue being like low teens, consistent with where Q4 was -- and then blood being in that high 50s. So like 59% is where we came in for Q4. So that's what's assumed in the guide. Now for Q1, obviously, you can see based on our historical performance, like you do have a little bit of push between Q1 and Q3 and then Q2 and Q4 pop. And you see that historically play out in our financials, just based on schedules, holidays, et cetera. So -- but I would think that as we ramp into the second half of the year, I feel very good about that 20% from an overall year standpoint.
Got it. And then just one on the MCED data you reported. So the interim data looks strong. I noticed apart from the top 3 or so indications, it looks like the sample size is pretty small. I guess, first off, do you think smaller sample size for some of these indications would impact how physicians and patients feel about, are comfortable using the test? And then it looks like the breast sensitivity is well above peers and the sample size there is sufficiently large. So like is there any scenario where you would consider offering a stand-alone breast test in addition to MCED?
So yes, as you noted, the performance in breast is really, really good. And compared to like methylation-based tests that have single-digit sensitivities in early stage that shows a lot. But for us to go breast-only kind of creates an ethical quandary because we wouldn't want to not report out when we find other cancers there. So the performance is really strong. And one of the reasons why the numbers are lower in some of those other categories is because not a lot of patients are found at early stage because there are no existing screening modalities that are very effective. And so we'll see that continue to play out over time where with our technology and our test, we will be the ones finding those early-stage cancers. And so those numbers will go up simply because we're now able to find them at the early stage.
Our next question comes from the line of Patrick Donnelly of Citi.
Probably one for Luke. I think a little bit of a follow-up there. I just wanted to talk through what's baked into the guide for the new hires. How are you thinking about the pacing of hiring, how quickly they become productive and then is there anything for MCED in the numbers? Just wanted to talk through that.
Yes. So on the new hires, Patrick, effectively, we're trying to get everything done in the first half of the year, getting them hard as quickly as possible. So that's baked into kind of those...
Yes. So we have already posted all of the positions that we ramp up in the first phase. We've already started hiring 4 positions that have been posted already in 2026. We made this decision and announcement internally on January 6. And when we've been ramping up those new hires. We are also going to be ramping up hiring for MCED as a field-based sales force, along with the announcement that we had with the partnership with Everlywell that we announced back in January. And so we're ramping up a multichannel approach in order to address both of those markets. And then we've also updated our training. Both -- how we internally get people up to speed in order to help physicians and patients with comprehensive genomic profiling with their current offering, and set us up for our new launches.
That's helpful. I appreciate that. And then obviously, a lot of talk on MCED. Just quickly, I wanted to check on the MRD part of the portfolio. Any catalyst we can be looking out for time lines would be helpful.
We have to collect more data and part of that process is the maturing of clinical outcome data. So we don't -- we're not guiding to any timeline on that front. Just have to keep accruing samples and outcome data.
Our next question comes from the line of Mark Massaro of BTIG.
Congrats on strong 2025. I did want to follow up on the MCED commentary. It's interesting you guys indicated that you do plan to to have a sales force for the MCED opportunity. Can you just give us a sense for -- by the end of '26 or the end of '27, can you give us a sense for sizing I think Guardant is out there now with about 300 with plans to go to 600. I was just curious if you could give us maybe some type of a sense of what type of size you would want direct relative to some of your partners like Everlywell?
Yes, I think a good question. I think as Luke mentioned, when we take a measured approach -- we'll take a measured approach when we build out our MCED salesforce will start small, we know where to target. We've already had some collaboration discussions, and we'll take a measured approach as we get through the year and look at capacity and go through the launch.
Makes sense. And then one for David Spetzler. Can you give us a sense for timing on ACHIEVE-2 and maybe just the -- I don't know if it's 10,000 or 15,000 subjects, but just give us a sense of the size. And are there any particular bogeys that you're looking at either for Stage I or Stage II sensitivity.
So ACHIEVE-2 will be 25,000 total. A big part of that are precancerous components. So we'd really like to be able to characterize the performance of our test in patients that have polyps, for example. And that will be a big part of that cohort. We still need to enroll probably 8,000 or so patients in order to hit that final number. But the flip side of that means that we have about 18,000 samples in-house now that we can start running. So just like we did with ACHIEVE-1, we'll issue interim results as we get them and characterize that performance in these populations of patients where there's an opportunity to act before it turns into cancer. That's going to help bend that mortality curve massively.
And maybe just to clarify, are you able to launch Caris Detect even absent the full readout of ACHIEVE-2? Or how are you thinking about the timing of that?
Yes. We're going to launch when we have the final readout on ACHIEVE-1. So ACHIEVE-1 is our final accuracy study that will enable launch.
Our next question comes from the line of Kyle Mikson of Cannacord Genuity.
Congrats on great year. On Caris Detect. I didn't -- I was trying to calculate PPV and some other metrics here, it doesn't seem possible. Data is pretty good. So I just wanted to ask if you could provide a little bit more color? I know it's interim, but still. And then just given data is solid, how does this validate the $3,500 price point? And what have folks like Everlywell commented and things like that. And honestly, how do you think about COGS getting lower, overtime to, I don't know if you spoken to that in the past.
Yes. So -- you can't really calculate PPV because it's still a case control study, where it's about 1/3 cancer patients to 2/3 controls. And PPV is dependent upon the patient population and the incidence rate. I mean in that high-risk setting, right, having a 7% undiagnosed cancer rate is pretty high, and that's indicative of that enrichment that we did. And so we can certainly -- I mean you can kind of use that 7% to address the PPV calculation if you want to. In terms of the price point, we don't think the $3,500 is that high at all, given the fact that this test actually works and nothing else out there is able to detect early-stage cancers. I mean we have introduced and are introducing a new technology that has a high cost to it because it works really, really well. And so from our perspective, this is really more about the death of inferior technologies like methylation and being replaced by superior technologies like full genome sequencing.
All right. It makes sense on the PPV and the case control, everything. Final one, maybe for Luke, on the EBITDA and lack of EBITDA guidance, which I guess makes sense. But if you take out the true-ups for -- in '25, yes, maybe a few million in adjusted EBITDA. What's the reasoning to not provide a more refined range for this year? Is that going to be MCED kind of investment or other pipeline spending anything else?
Yes. It's going to be all of the above effectively because we have a huge opportunity, not just with obviously ACHIEVE-1, we're so excited about an early detection, which is going to be massive, but also just because we're able to prove the profitability thesis, we want to utilize that going in. So like you brought up the point of like 2025, like we had $136 million adjusted EBITDA. Even if you exclude the prior year stuff, it's still above $100 million adjusted EBITDA. So I want to utilize that as we go into 2026, and that's kind of our focus. Now we are going to be diligent with that. We're not going to start burning like $250 million a year because we're in the position that we're in. But we're in a great position, and we're just going to use that. So I don't want to get tied down with guiding each quarter to a profitability metric.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.

