B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CAG
Conagra BrandsCNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is that pricing and productivity keep offsetting inflation, Refrigerated & Frozen stabilizes after the impairment reset, and liquidity/deleveraging keep downside contained. The packet's median analyst target of about $18.93 remains well above the anchor price.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.
What can break
Grocery & Snacks volume is still shrinking against inflation-driven pricing, so elasticity remains a live risk [#10-Q-2026-04-01].
Momentum
74
Value
59
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.25 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-05-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.79
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d +0.1
Value59 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +7.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Grocery & Snacks volume is still shrinking against inflation-driven pricing, so elasticity remains a live risk [#10-Q-2026-04-01].
- • Operating cash flow through the first three quarters of fiscal 2026 trailed the prior year, which reduces room for error if costs stay elevated [#10-Q-2026-04-01].
- • The bear case is that the impairment reflects a deeper demand and margin reset: higher discount rates, weaker consumer sentiment, and lower projected sales/margins could keep pressuring the Refrigerated & Frozen franchise, while Grocery & Snacks elasticity and continued sell-side cuts argue for multiple compression.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-30
Debt repayments and liquidity support cap some downside [#10-Q-2026-04-01]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
74
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+12.3
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+2.5
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.8
Δ21d
+1.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 73.8 / Value 59.0 / Sentiment 57.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-20. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$14.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.44B
Beta
-0.02
Shares Out
478.57M
P/E (TTM)
10.0
P/S (TTM)
0.73
P/FCF (TTM)
39.38
Rev YoY
+3.6%
EPS YoY
-732.0%
Gross Margin
+24.0%
Op Margin
+11.5%
Net Debt
$7.26B
Current Ratio
0.90
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data