B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$623.48
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CACI
CACI InternationalDNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case assumes continued share gains on key DoD/IC IDIQs, margin expansion from improved program mix, and sustained backlog growth leading to multiple expansion.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
What can break
Key personnel/clearance attrition impacting delivery
Momentum
86
Value
52
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $523.72 · Bull $623.48 · Bear $399.02Analysis 2025-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $722.54
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d -2.4
Value52 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment46 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Key personnel/clearance attrition impacting delivery
- • Loss or adverse repricing of major IDIQ/task order
- • Bear case assumes lost or repriced major contracts, slower federal spending near-term, or margin pressure from program execution issues that depress multiples.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Program award loss or contract repricing
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
86
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
-6.0
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+2.0
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+7.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 86.1 / Value 52.3 / Sentiment 45.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-10-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$523.72
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$399.02
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.35B
Beta
0.58
Shares Out
22.1M
P/E (TTM)
25.1
P/S (TTM)
1.42
P/FCF (TTM)
20.51
Rev YoY
+17.6%
EPS YoY
-1.2%
Gross Margin
+30.6%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
$5.19B
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data