B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BYD
Boyd GamingCNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Regional customer play, managed fees and continued repurchases could lift per-share results. The positive deterministic prior supports a cautiously constructive view, not a confirmed operating inflection.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Boyd reported $2.6 billion of debt and $322.7 million of cash at June 30, limiting the case for treating its repurchase authorization as guaranteed deployment [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23] (SEC earnings exhibit).
Momentum
25
Value
54
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $75.00 · Bull $88.00 · Bear $52.00Analysis 2026-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $88.53
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +0.6
Value54 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -4.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Boyd reported $2.6 billion of debt and $322.7 million of cash at June 30, limiting the case for treating its repurchase authorization as guaranteed deployment [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23] (SEC earnings exhibit).
- • Destination-business softness at the Orleans and in downtown Las Vegas, plus Suncoast construction disruption [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23] (SEC earnings exhibit).
- • Q2 consolidated revenue was nearly flat year over year, while Adjusted EBITDAR fell to $350.5 million from $357.9 million.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-15
October dividend payment
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
25
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-5.7
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.5
Δ21d
-17.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 25.0 / Value 54.4 / Sentiment 53.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$75.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$5.22B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
72.66M
P/E (TTM)
3.9
P/S (TTM)
1.70
P/FCF (TTM)
19.55
Rev YoY
+0.0%
EPS YoY
-4.7%
Gross Margin
+40.4%
Op Margin
+18.7%
Net Debt
$2.35B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data