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BYD

Boyd GamingA
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Continued strength in core customer play, successful execution of capital investments, and stable dividends propel multiple expansion toward upper analyst targets; recovery in retail play and margin improvements push the stock toward the high-teens/low-20s percent upside in 12–18 months.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.
What can break
Executive succession disruption and related costs
Momentum
15
Value
54
Sentiment
88
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $95.00 · Bull $98.00 · Bear $75.00Analysis 2026-03-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $96.53
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -3.1
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment88 · Δ7d +7.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Executive succession disruption and related costs
  • • Leisure and retail gaming demand softness from macro or regional weakness
  • • Leadership turnover, weaker-than-expected leisure/retail customer trends, or cost inflation pressure margins; investor rotation away from regional gaming could compress multiples and push the stock below the current anchor.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-31

Chief Administrative Officer retirement (Stephen Thompson) becomes effective

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
-8.4
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-9.3
Sentiment
88
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.3
Δ21d
+12.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 15.1 / Value 54.5 / Sentiment 88.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-31. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$75.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.01B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
72.66M
P/E (TTM)
3.9
P/S (TTM)
1.70
P/FCF (TTM)
19.55
Rev YoY
+0.0%
EPS YoY
-4.7%
Gross Margin
+40.4%
Op Margin
+18.7%
Net Debt
$2.35B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data