BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage TrustDNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Stable credit marks, sustained distribution coverage and a re‑rating toward upper analyst targets lift the shares.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.0.
What can break
Cap‑rate expansion causing NAV markdowns
Momentum
21
Value
51
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.48 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $19.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.88
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d -1.3
Value51 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment65 · Δ7d -4.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-11.5
Value
51
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
65
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.0
Δ21d
+1.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 20.6 / Value 51.1 / Sentiment 64.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$2.88B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
168.68M
P/E (TTM)
31.2
P/S (TTM)
2.11
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
372.92
Rev YoY
+2.9%
EPS YoY
+1671.4%
Gross Margin
+79.3%
Op Margin
+7.1%
Net Debt
$15.7B
Current Ratio
0.18
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology