B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$91.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BXC
BlueLinxBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 sales grew 4.4% year over year, while gross margin excluding the duty benefit still improved by 100 basis points. Published Q3 margin and volume expectations, strong liquidity, and the September product rollouts offer upside if execution translates into durable sales.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Higher fuel, third-party freight, and employee costs increased Q2 SG&A. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
78
Value
62
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $73.00 · Bull $91.00 · Bear $55.00Analysis 2026-10-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $88.33
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +5.1
Value62 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -4.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher fuel, third-party freight, and employee costs increased Q2 SG&A. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
- • Housing starts and repair-and-remodel activity remain weak, according to management's Q2 commentary. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
- • The duty benefit inflated reported Q2 profitability, some specialty-product volumes declined, and higher freight and employee costs lifted SG&A.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Q3 results test published margin outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
78
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
-16.3
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
49
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.2
Δ21d
-18.8
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 77.6 / Value 62.0 / Sentiment 48.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$73.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$603.27M
Beta
1.62
Shares Out
7.86M
P/E (TTM)
37.2
P/S (TTM)
0.17
P/FCF (TTM)
11.15
Rev YoY
+4.4%
EPS YoY
+50.9%
Gross Margin
+14.4%
Op Margin
+1.0%
Net Debt
$288.14M
Current Ratio
4.01
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data