B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BX
BlackstoneCNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+1Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-23
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+4.7
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+4.7
Mixed
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-35.7
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+61.7
Score
AI commentary
The October 22 close of $118.75 was up 8.38% on the day, so the immediate positive reaction is already embedded in the anchor. Coverage is active but mixed: a modest distributable-EPS beat and strong inflows contrast with a revenue miss, lower realizations and rate-sensitive headlines. No reliable post-print analyst target or estimate revisions were confirmed by this T+1 review; the zero-valued optional sentiment metrics denote unavailable data, not neutral measured readings. Blackstone results Closing-price history
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-23
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-10-30catalystPost-earnings reassessment of mixed resultsMedium impact
The October 22 company presentation reported $1.32 in distributable earnings per share, down from $1.52 a year earlier, alongside $3.063 billion of GAAP revenue. Published consensus comparisons vary: estimates of $1.26–$1.29 for distributable EPS imply a modest beat, while a roughly $3.35 billion revenue estimate implies a miss. The $118.75 anchor close already reflects an 8.38% October 22 rise, limiting the case for another immediate earnings-driven gain. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22] Blackstone results Consensus comparison Closing-price history
2026-11-09eventDeclared quarterly dividend paymentMedium impact
Blackstone declared $1.12 per common share, payable November 9 to holders of record November 2. This is a dated capital-return event, not incremental evidence of a higher future payout. [#8-K-2026-10-22] Blackstone results
2027-10-23catalystFundraising conversion into recurring earningsHigh impact
Third-quarter inflows were $63.3 billion, AUM reached $1.368 trillion, and fee-related earnings rose 6% year over year to $1.572 billion. The investment-adviser relationship with Blackstone Funds explains the fee channel, but the cited June filing assigns it no exposure weight; sustained fee-earning AUM and fee growth, rather than inflows alone, would support upside. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22] [#REL-93549a55-7925-4d11-9c2c-c4a66684dff9] Blackstone results June 2026 filing
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology