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BX

BlackstoneA
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Blackstone reaccelerates realizations and capital deployment, prints stronger-than-expected distributable earnings, uses proceeds for buybacks or distributions, and multiple expansion reverts toward higher analyst targets.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.2.
What can break
Interest-rate rise increases financing costs on SOFR‑linked borrowings
Momentum
66
Value
49
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $157.00 · Bull $210.00 · Bear $95.00Analysis 2026-03-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $143.43
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d -7.1
Value49 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +10.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Interest-rate rise increases financing costs on SOFR‑linked borrowings
  • • Proceeds from asset sales redirected to debt paydown rather than buybacks
  • • Realizations disappoint or are size-limited, interest costs and amortization pressure distributable earnings, and asset sales are used for deleveraging rather than shareholder returns, compressing the multiple.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Finalization of Q1 realization / revenue impact following 8-K preliminary estimate

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
66
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.1
Δ21d
-12.1
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.2
Δ21d
+9.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 66.0 / Value 48.9 / Sentiment 79.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-31. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$157.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$174.57B
Beta
1.76
Shares Out
1.24B
P/E (TTM)
46.6
P/S (TTM)
15.03
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-25.00
Rev YoY
+33.2%
EPS YoY
+57.3%
Gross Margin
+99.4%
Op Margin
+53.9%
Net Debt
$10.45B
Current Ratio
0.70
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data