BURL

Burlington StoresC

NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

Q1 showed strong comp and margin leverage, management passed through the upside to FY26, and the Q2 guide still points to double-digit sales growth plus further EBIT margin expansion. The analyst target backdrop remains above the current price, so a durable follow-through in traffic and margins could re-rate the stock higher.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

What can break

Debt remains meaningful at $1.917B even with solid liquidity, so capital returns and debt reduction will continue to compete for cash.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $355.00 · Bull $410.00 · Bear $270.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $367.07

Why

Momentum58 · Δ7d +6.4

Value47 · Δ7d -0.4

Sentiment45 · Δ7d -9.3

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

+6.4

Δ21d

-0.1

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.4

Δ21d

-0.7

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-9.3

Δ21d

-9.4

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 58.0 / Value 47.0 / Sentiment 44.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$22.16B

Beta

1.74

Shares Out

62.94M

P/E (TTM)

34.9

P/S (TTM)

1.70

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

59.00

Rev YoY

+14.1%

EPS YoY

+13.5%

Gross Margin

+40.4%

Op Margin

+7.0%

Net Debt

$4.77B

Current Ratio

1.16

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology