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Burford CapitalC
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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-08

Burford Capital Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat
Interested in Burford Capital Limited? Here are five stocks we like better. Cash generation improved: Burford reported a near break-even Q2 but generated $157 million in cash, including $94 million in portfolio realizations, and ended the quarter with $733 million in cash and marketable securities. Several legal catalysts strengthened the portfolio outlook: Developments included a potential $200 million recovery from a Cameroon arbitration award, nearly $100 million from a U.S. jury verdict, and favorable rulings in Germany and the U.K. Management cautioned that these events are not specific forecasts of near-term collections. Burford is prioritizing liquidity and deleveraging: The company is becoming more selective on large, moderately profitable deals, controlling expenses and reducing annualized compensation costs by about $10 million, while expected realizations excluding YPF cover existing debt by 2.3 times. MarketBeat Week in Review – 06/22 - 06/26 Burford Capital (NYSE:BUR) reported a near break-even second quarter for 2026 while highlighting higher cash realizations, a large liquidity position and recent favorable developments across its litigation-finance portfolio. Chief Executive Officer Chris Bogart said the company manages the business primarily on a cash basis and described the quarter as strong from that perspective. Burford generated $157 million of cash during the period, its largest quarterly total in the past five quarters, and ended the quarter with $733 million of cash and marketable securities. → Meta’s Earnings Drop Shows Wall Street Wants More Than Ad Growth Burlington Is Winning Over Shoppers But Investors Need Patience “Cash is what’s important to us,” Bogart said, adding that the company sees renewed momentum in its portfolio after periods of slower activity that it attributed in part to court-system delays following the pandemic. Burford said cash realizations from its portfolio totaled $94 million in the second quarter, compared with $62 million in the prior-year period. Chief Financial Officer Jordan Licht said deployments remained steady on the existing portfolio. → 4 Oil and Gas ETF Plays as Prices Stay Sky-High Ollie's Stock Has Lagged Despite Earnings Beats—What's Holding It Back? Management also cited several developments that occurred after the quarter ended. In one public mining arbitration involving matters against Camer…Read full document

Interested in Burford Capital Limited? Here are five stocks we like better. Cash generation improved: Burford reported a near break-even Q2 but generated $157 million in cash, including $94 million in portfolio realizations, and ended the quarter with $733 million in cash and marketable securities. Several legal catalysts strengthened the portfolio outlook: Developments included a potential $200 million recovery from a Cameroon arbitration award, nearly $100 million from a U.S. jury verdict, and favorable rulings in Germany and the U.K. Management cautioned that these events are not specific forecasts of near-term collections. Burford is prioritizing liquidity and deleveraging: The company is becoming more selective on large, moderately profitable deals, controlling expenses and reducing annualized compensation costs by about $10 million, while expected realizations excluding YPF cover existing debt by 2.3 times. MarketBeat Week in Review – 06/22 - 06/26 Burford Capital (NYSE:BUR) reported a near break-even second quarter for 2026 while highlighting higher cash realizations, a large liquidity position and recent favorable developments across its litigation-finance portfolio. Chief Executive Officer Chris Bogart said the company manages the business primarily on a cash basis and described the quarter as strong from that perspective. Burford generated $157 million of cash during the period, its largest quarterly total in the past five quarters, and ended the quarter with $733 million of cash and marketable securities. → Meta’s Earnings Drop Shows Wall Street Wants More Than Ad Growth Burlington Is Winning Over Shoppers But Investors Need Patience “Cash is what’s important to us,” Bogart said, adding that the company sees renewed momentum in its portfolio after periods of slower activity that it attributed in part to court-system delays following the pandemic. Burford said cash realizations from its portfolio totaled $94 million in the second quarter, compared with $62 million in the prior-year period. Chief Financial Officer Jordan Licht said deployments remained steady on the existing portfolio. → 4 Oil and Gas ETF Plays as Prices Stay Sky-High Ollie's Stock Has Lagged Despite Earnings Beats—What's Holding It Back? Management also cited several developments that occurred after the quarter ended. In one public mining arbitration involving matters against Cameroon and Congo, an arbitral tribunal awarded Burford’s client more than $600 million in the Cameroon case. If Cameroon pays the award in full, Burford said it would be entitled to roughly $200 million. The Cameroon and Congo matters are cross-collateralized within a two-case portfolio. The Congo arbitration did not succeed, although an appeal remains pending, according to Bogart. → Sandisk Just Delivered a Blowout Quarter—Here's Why the Stock Is Falling Burford also disclosed that it received a sizable U.S. jury verdict in July that, if paid in full, would generate close to $100 million for the company. In Germany, the German Supreme Court ruled in Burford’s favor on the use of the country’s assignment model for group claims, a decision the company said supports cases already filed with damage claims exceeding $500 million. Separately, the U.K. Competition Appeal Tribunal certified a £5 billion claim against Google on behalf of U.K. businesses that alleged they were overcharged for search advertising. Burford has publicly disclosed that it is funding that claim on a multiple basis. Bogart cautioned that the cited developments should not be interpreted as specific predictions of cash collections before year-end. Instead, he said they illustrate ongoing activity within a portfolio containing hundreds of matters across jurisdictions. He said litigation catalysts, such as a jury verdict or arbitration award, can increase the likelihood of settlement. Burford said nearly 80% of its matters ultimately resolve through settlement rather than final adjudication. Management emphasized that Burford’s modeled realizations are spread across a broad portfolio rather than concentrated in a small number of assets. Bogart said the company’s historical return on invested capital was 82%, compared with a modeled 110% ROIC figure, and said the difference partly reflects the impact of several very large investments. According to the company, large matters generally carry lower ROICs because Burford prices investments to risk and avoids committing large amounts of capital to highly binary cases. Bogart said excluding six large assets from the historical ROIC calculation would raise the figure from 82% to 99%. In response to market feedback following developments in the YPF matter earlier this year, Burford has reduced its willingness to pursue very large deals with only moderate expected profitability, Bogart said. The company is seeking to balance growth with liquidity preservation and deleveraging. While the headline amount of new commitments was below the 2025 run rate, Burford said the mix shifted toward more profitable business. Bogart said the portion of new business represented by the company’s “red bar” category more than doubled, while the “blue bar” category declined substantially. Chief Investment Officer Jonathan Molot said Burford’s relationships with law firms and repeat counterparties continue to provide access to attractive opportunities globally. He described the company as busy both managing an active portfolio and evaluating new investments. Burford reported a total portfolio of approximately $4.1 billion, including YPF, consisting of the fair value of the portfolio and undrawn commitments. The company reported deployed cost of $1.9 billion and roughly $400 million of unrealized gains, or about a 22% markup on deployed cost. The company had $400 million of debt due within nearly four years and a weighted average debt life of 5.2 years. Bogart said expected portfolio cash realizations, excluding any proceeds from YPF, provide 2.3 times coverage of existing debt. Management acknowledged that the YPF decision contributed to investor concern about liquidity and leverage. Bogart said long-dated Burford debt has been trading at implied yields that management considers higher than appropriate for the risk profile, but said the company is responding to market conditions by conserving cash, controlling operating expenses and pursuing deleveraging alongside growth. Burford made management and organizational changes that Licht said are expected to reduce annualized compensation expense by approximately $10 million. The company incurred a net cost of about $2 million to achieve those savings, including one-time impacts across compensation and other expense lines. Bogart said the company does not plan “serial waves of layoffs,” noting that Burford has approximately 160 employees. He said management is instead focused on streamlining functions, encouraging some retirements and using technology and operating leverage to limit headcount growth. Asset management generated approximately $5 million in cash year-to-date, according to Licht. He said asset-management income remained broadly in line with the prior year, while management fees from older funds are expected to decline as those funds run off. Burford Capital (NYSE: BUR) is a leading global finance firm that specializes in litigation and arbitration funding, risk management, and asset recovery. The company provides capital to law firms and corporate clients to finance legal fees and associated costs in commercial disputes. In exchange for funding, Burford shares in any awards or settlements, enabling clients to pursue meritorious claims without bearing upfront legal expenses. Founded in 2009 by Christopher Bogart, Burford was among the first firms to establish a dedicated litigation finance business. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "Burford Capital Q2 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for August 2026.

TranscriptFY2026 Q22026-08-06

FY2026 Q2 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 69 paragraphs
Operator

Hello, welcome to the Burford Capital Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, please press star one on your telephone keypad. I would now like to turn the conference over to Josh Wood, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin.

Josh Wood

Thank you, Sarah. Good morning, everyone. We hope you're all enjoying a nice summer, thank you for taking time to join us today to discuss Burford's second quarter results. On the call, we have our Chief Executive Officer, Chris Bogart, our Chief Investment Officer, Jonathan Molot, and our Chief Financial Officer, Jordan Licht. Earlier this morning, we posted a detailed earnings presentation, which we'll refer to during the call, we also filed our Form 10-Q. If you've not already, you can find those materials on our investor relations website at investors.burfordcapital.com. Before we get started, just a reminder that today's call may contain forward-looking statements that involve certain risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed during the call.

Josh Wood

For information regarding these risk factors, please refer to our earnings materials relating to this call posted on our website, our filings with the SEC. We'll also be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures during the call. Please refer to today's earnings materials and our filings with the SEC for additional information, including reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. Without further delay, I'll turn the call over to Chris.

Chris Bogart

Thanks very much, Josh, welcome, everybody. Just before we started, I was reflecting with John that we've been doing earnings calls now for 17 years together at Burford. I think on probably almost every single one of those calls, we have said that we run this business on a cash basis, that cash is what's important to us, litigation at the end of the day meanders through its process until it ultimately gets to cash. On that basis, we had a really good quarter. We brought in a good amount of cash, significantly more than we've done in the recent past. We have lots of liquidity, that translates into real flexibility for us on the balance sheet with more than $700 million in the bank.

Chris Bogart

I'll talk a little bit more, and Jordan will as well, about the balance sheet later in our presentation. What that does, the combination of cash on hand and cash generation gives us real optionality for this business. What you'll see on this slide, and I'm on slide eight, what you'll see on this slide are our priorities. Cash generation from the portfolio. We're excited that the portfolio seems to have some momentum, and after various periods in the doldrums, still recovering from the pandemic, unbelievably, we see some real progress. Strong liquidity and balance sheet management and continued growth of the business. We're excited about where we are and about what the months ahead portend for the business. On slide nine, we've given you a few developments that have happened since the official close of the quarter.

Chris Bogart

We've done this from time to time, a snapshot of developments when there have been some significant levels of activity after the formal close of a period. What you see here is what I was talking about in terms of us having some excitement around momentum in the quarter. We had a strong arbitration result in a mining case that has been public and that people have been following for a while. This is a couple of African arbitration matters. The arbitral tribunal gave us an award, gave our client an award of more than $600 million. If that award were paid in full by Cameroon, we'd be entitled to $200 million or so of it. What that also does is effectively rightsize that entire portfolio. That was a two-case portfolio of cases against Cameroon and Congo.

Chris Bogart

The Congo case, somewhat bizarrely from our perspective, didn't succeed in arbitration, although there's a pending appeal for that case. That's a cross-collateralized portfolio, where the win will, if paid, make a huge difference to Burford. We also, and the rest of this hasn't been publicly announced, we have a sizable U.S. jury verdict during the month that again, if paid in full, would come close to $100 million for Burford. In Germany, we are a significant player in the German legal finance space, as many of you know, and we've been operating in Germany for quite some time. It's our largest market in continental Europe. There has been a fair bit of litigation in Germany, litigation and consideration in the civil courts of just exactly how litigation finance and group claims are going to work.

Chris Bogart

Germany is not the fastest place in the world in terms of making things through the court process and getting to decisions. We're delighted that after some years of litigation, the German Supreme Court, which is the highest court in Germany, released a decision resolving in our favor the ability to bring a series of cases using what is called there the assignment model, which opens the door to cases that are already on file and already have been percolated there with damages claims of more than half a billion dollars and giving us a really valuable future precedent. Back in the U.S., as many of you know, we have a number of portfolios with large law firms.

Chris Bogart

We've had one that has had quite a bit of activity this year, not only has it had cash activity, but we've had better than expected outcomes as we've been going through that portfolio. This didn't even make the slide, but just yesterday, and this has been covered in the press today, you'll see it on Bloomberg and on Reuters. The English CAT, the Competition Appeal Tribunal, certified a GBP 5 billion claim, a GBP 5 billion claim, I should say, against Google on behalf of U.K. businesses that were overcharged for their search advertising. It's been publicly disclosed that we're funding that claim on a multiple basis, that will take some time now to go through the rest of the process, but that's a major step forward in that case, and you'll see news about it in the press.

Chris Bogart

I'm not highlighting these to say that these are the only things that have happened in the portfolio. They're not. The portfolio remains active, and active in both directions. As ever, we have successes and we have disappointments. Happily, the successes continue to outnumber the disappointments considerably. The core point from all of this is to show that we have a big, diversified portfolio of litigation that is in active operation in court systems all over the world. That portfolio is diversified. It's hundreds of cases, not just a few large cases. If you turn to slide 10, you'll see an example, you'll see some data about that diversification.

Chris Bogart

What we've done here, and I don't think that we've done this before, but if you look at the graphic on the right, we have taken our modeled realization numbers that you've seen in the past and we've segmented them effectively by size. What you can see there is that we're not dependent on any one big asset. That instead, we've built this rather remarkable global portfolio that has many different things moving through the process, and many of those can be significant contributors to cash and liquidity here. It's just somewhat vexing that in addition to the usual unpredictability of litigation timing, that we have had a somewhat slower than average approach to this. That level of diversification that you can see in the graphic, I think, is really very compelling.

Chris Bogart

When people see that modeled number there in the middle of that circle, the 110% ROIC, and then they see the actual 82% performance that we've generated historically, they reasonably ask about that disconnect. If you turn to slide 11, we've done a little snippet of analysis that goes beyond the basic historical data that we have historically shown you. The reality is one number does not tell the story in this business. We thought we would dive a little bit deeper to show you why we remain optimistic about this portfolio and its future performance. This is just one component of what's in there. What you can see there, if you look at the chart on the left and the graphic on the right, is that very large deals tend to produce lower returns on invested capital, lower ROICs.

Chris Bogart

That's not surprising because we price to risk, and we're generally unwilling to put massive amounts of capital to work in very high-risk cases. We're just not enthusiastic, quite obviously, about putting $200 million out the door and losing it in a binary risk case. When we do big cases like that, while they may well produce nice nominal cash profits and strong IRRs, they do have a tendency to bring down our aggregate ROICs because their ROICs are a little bit lower than our sort of historical averages, and they're quite large in the computation. If you just take these six assets alone out of the historical ROIC computation, it goes from 82%-99%.

Chris Bogart

You can't just, I think, look at the one historical number representing 17 years of history, and you do have to look at the size of cases, a whole bunch of dynamics. As many of you know, we provide extraordinarily detailed data about the portfolio in our website table, and that's where we get these kinds of insights. When we're talking about these large and somewhat lower returning deals, while we remain very committed to growth in this business, I will say that one thing that we have done in response to the YPF events earlier this year and the market feedback around liquidity is we have somewhat reduced our willingness to do some of these very large but only moderately profitable deals, just with an eye to balancing growth on the one hand and liquidity and de-leveraging on the other.

Chris Bogart

Turning to slide 12, this is our usual slide about new business. You can see some of the impact of what I've just described on the mix of new business. If you just look at the headline commitment number, which as I've said before is not the number that we look at internally. That number is below the 2025 run rate. You have to look at the mix here. If you look at the red bar, which is presumably the most profitable thing that we do. The red bar there has well more than doubled, while the blue bar went down very significantly. If you were to look at our internal metrics, you would not see a decline of the visual kind that you see on the right-hand top side of this graphic, because the relative profitability of those bars is significantly different.

Chris Bogart

As you can see there, we've well more than doubled the size of the red bar while significantly reducing the size of the blue bar. That's consistent with what I was just describing before, and also probably, I would say, a little bit of firm stasis for a little while after the YPF decision. John is going to chime in now and have a little bit more commentary about the portfolio.

Jonathan Molot

Thanks, Chris, and thanks to you all for joining. I'll be brief. I really just want to hit two of the themes that Chris introduced and flesh out what they mean from my perspective for the state of the portfolio and the state of the new business machine. As Chris said, he highlighted a few successes we've had in July with a jury verdict, an arbitration win, a Federal Court of Justice ruling, another law firm portfolio, yesterday, a U.K. ruling. Those are just examples of things that we're seeing a lot of activity in the portfolio. Looking historically, would people rather that cash had come more quickly and there hadn't been delays? Certainly that's the case. When I look at the portfolio today and see what it's poised to deliver in the future, it really is active and a lot of stuff is happening.

Jonathan Molot

As Chris said, there could be negative as well as positive developments, the positive ones continue to outweigh the negative quite significantly. The underwriting teams and the case management teams are just very busy with all the developments, many of which are quite positive. I'm pretty bullish on the portfolio, and happy that we're able to share some examples of why there is that sentiment. The second thing is on the new business machine. Chris mentions that we have been able to put on very attractive, from a risk-reward perspective, new deals over the past quarter. I want to hammer home why we are positioned to be able to do that. We have developed deep relationships with law firms, with counterparties who continue to bring us their opportunities where they need financing for litigation portfolios or for individual litigations.

Jonathan Molot

Having those relationships means we are the go-to provider of finance in a number of markets. As Chris mentioned, we have activity globally across various jurisdictions. Having spent the years building up those relationships, that knowhow, and repeat client base, we have the ability to attract and close these deals that, from my perspective, are quite attractive. The team is very busy, both with an active, productive portfolio and with some great new opportunities that we continue to add into the portfolio. On both fronts, I'm very happy with where we are today. With that, I'll pass it back to Chris.

Chris Bogart

Thanks, John. Just to carry on that theme for a second, for those of you who are 'Financial Times' readers, you'll note that one of the top stories in the 'FT' today concerns law firms, law firm structure, and the desire of U.S. law firms, many of them, to have some sort of more flexible equity capital structure. This is a theme that has been running for a while, one of the themes you'll take away from the article is that while there's a strong demand for these kinds of solutions, they're not really appearing in the market quite yet. We've talked about that in the past, that's consistent with our experience. The reason I raise the article is because you will note that there is only one legal finance firm mentioned in that article at all, that's .

Chris Bogart

We have reached the point where we are the undisputed market leader, standing head and shoulders above anybody else in the commercial legal finance area. That's why we see the kinds of opportunities that John was just describing. Let's turn to slide 13. We regularly get the question about older investments. The question basically is, what's going on with these? Are these ever going to produce anything, or are these just sort of dead in the water, waiting for ultimately them to become and killed off? We thought we'd do a little analysis for you to show why that's just absolutely not the case.

Chris Bogart

What this graphic does is, the black bar on the left-hand side shows you the state of the portfolio in terms of deployed cost at the end of 2022 as to pre-pandemic vintages. At that point, we had almost $1 billion deployed in those vintages. Since then, a lot has happened, as you can see. We've continued to put money into these cases, more than a quarter billion dollars more. We've taken out close to $1 billion in realizations. This is all in this middle three and a half year period. We still have a fair bit of deployed capital to go. We think that those cases, that portfolio, that portion of the portfolio is still very strong and is continuing to produce.

Chris Bogart

It's just regrettable that the duration has lengthened because of the systemic delays that we have seen across the court system. We're still a lot faster than the average private equity deal. The reality is, those cases are going to come to an end. They are not at all just sitting there waiting to be put out of their misery. The other thing I would highlight for you, this is reflected in the last bullet point, but in case it's too cryptic, let me just amplify it. When we do portfolio deals with law firms, we basically sign law firms up to a world where we will then do a series of cases down the road with them. Sometimes those portfolios are in existence when we close the deal, but often they come into existence later. They're often cross-collateralized in structure.

Chris Bogart

What that means is that if we have signed a portfolio deal with a law firm in, let's say, 2019, that law firm came along in 2023 with a further case to put into that portfolio, that 2023 case is going to show up as part of the 2019 vintage because of the cross-collateralization element of it. It's just not the case that these are sort of old and cold assets, which is what some people occasionally ask us about. We're very bullish on all components of this portfolio. Let me switch gears on slide 14 and talk a little bit about liquidity and the balance sheet. I'm going to start with the statistics on the left-hand side. The basic message here is that we are very comfortable with our liquidity and with the ability of the portfolio to generate robust levels of cash.

Chris Bogart

We're sitting with $733 million in the bank. We have only $400 million of debt due within the next almost four years. We could theoretically just turn around and pay that debt off tomorrow if we chose to do that. If you think about this in terms of coverage, and again, this reflects my focus on cash and not on arcane GAAP balance sheet metrics. We have a significant amount of what I think of as asset coverage for that debt. We're anticipating a significant flow of cash realizations from our portfolio, and that number that you see there does not include anything from YPF. We are covered, if you want to think of it in those terms, 2.3 times on the existing debt.

Chris Bogart

We're pretty comfortable with that state of affairs, especially when you consider the level of cash that the portfolio generates, even in years that we have found to be somewhat annoyingly slow. When you talk about slowness, you see those bars at the bottom. Slowness, I suppose, is all relative. On the one hand, this represents a not insignificant increase in the average duration of our matters. On the other hand, it's still pretty fast compared to lots of asset classes out there. It's just that you and we have been accustomed to things being faster still. My conclusion from all of those data points is that we're pretty happy with where we are. That being said, we are certainly aware that the YPF decision was a shock. It was a shock to us inside the business, and it was a shock to the market.

Chris Bogart

We're aware that that has resulted in market anxiety, and it's not an ideal time for the portfolio to be moving somewhat more slowly than one would wish, when at the same time, we have somewhat more leverage than we might wish. Even if we disagree with the level of appropriate anxiety over that, the fact that it exists comes with real-world consequences for us. For example, the implied yields today from trading in our long-dated debt are higher than we would wish to see and that we think are actually appropriate for the level of risk associated with that debt. Nevertheless, we are creatures of the market, and we're responsive to what the market thinks.

Chris Bogart

That means it is prudent for us to do a bunch of things to husband cash, to focus on our operating expenses and our cash outlays, and to drive a de-leveraging program that will sit alongside our growth. We've shown here on the right a couple of things that we've done in terms of reducing operating expenses, husbanding cash, and those continue to be priorities for us inside the business when set against the very comfortable level of liquidity that we think we have. We're pleased with where we sit, no one should be under any misapprehension that this is not central to the management team's focus Every single day. The balance sheet and our liquidity and what we're doing about that. Let me sum up on slide 15 before turning you over to Jordan.

Chris Bogart

As I said at the outset, we've been doing this for 17 years. We've developed, I think, a demonstrable and enviable track record, both of performance and of leadership and innovation in this industry. We've got a very large, well-diversified portfolio that under any reasonable set of circumstances is going to produce a very significant amount of cash going forward. We've already produced almost $4 billion of cash out of that portfolio, and we've done so with a high degree of performance and with stable and desirable loss rates. And we have demand for our capital and an origination platform just all over the world, which continues to be driven by the fact that law firms are getting away with enormous increases in their pricing to clients, which is just a call to arms for people to pick up the phone and call us.

Chris Bogart

With that, we appreciate your interest in the business and your forbearance, and Jordan will take you through some numbers, and then we'll take some questions.

Jordan Licht

Thanks, Chris, and thanks, John. I'm going to jump to slide 17 and walk through some of the high-level metrics. I know Chris talked a lot about the quarter, but we'll still go into a little bit of more depth with respect to the principal finance and asset management segments. But overall, on page 17, you can see the summary. We had a break-even quarter, just slightly profitable. It's important to note not to try and compare the year-to-date between this year and last year, obviously, given the impact of YPF in the first quarter. We're going to focus a little bit more on the second quarter results directly as the comparative. You can see on the net realized gains, beating last year, same time, same with asset management income. Chris talked about new business.

Jordan Licht

Deployments remained steady on the existing book, and our realizations were $94 million compared to $62 million in the same period last year. On the right-hand side, just hitting again on liquidity is strong at $733 million, and then you can see our debt ratios. I'm going to jump straight to page 22 and talk a little deeper about the portfolio. This page has had a slight different makeup in terms of how we used to show it. This is now in its totality. It includes YPF when you look at the total portfolio of about $4.1 billion. The way we break that down is the fair value of the portfolio that you see on the balance sheet, and then our undrawn commitments. Recall our undrawn commitments are split into two, both definitive and discretionary.

Jordan Licht

Discretionary is similar to the way Chris actually described portfolios in the sense that while we've entered into a partnership with a law firm or a corporate client, there's no obligation to take on the next case if the underwriting proves that it's not worthy. Whereas discretionary is allocated specific to the cases that we've already financed. Taking that fair value, though, and breaking it down, you can see our deployed cost of $1.9 billion and then $400-ish million of unrealized gain. That's about a 22% markup, so to speak, on the deployed cost, and that is quite favorable when you think about future earnings power and you compare that to the potential modeled realizations or our historical ROIC. There's plenty of room for incremental revenue to come through as we see milestones and ultimate conclusions.

Jordan Licht

The right-hand side is a similar graphic to what you've seen before, which is just the breakdown of the geography as well as the asset type. It just goes to show the breadth of the portfolio compares neatly to the comments Chris had made when showing the modeled realizations and the diversification that we have there. The portfolio is quite large and diverse by a lot of different metrics that you review. Flipping to page 23, this is the breakdown of how the balance sheet asset moved in the quarter. The income statement up above, I'm going to focus though first on just the left-hand side, which marches the asset forward. You can see deployments pretty much offsetting realizations within the book and moving the asset balance. You have three other items that we historically talk about. First, there's the passage of time.

Jordan Licht

This is the natural movement forward as assets get closer to their ultimate realization, and we recognize a portion of value associated with that. The offset to that is changes in discount rates, since they're essentially a DCF. Interest rates for this quarter were pretty benign and limited movement, so you didn't see a lot of movement in the asset value. Finally, you have milestones and other model impacts. These are the recognizable events or other changes to cases that we see that then is reflected in our models. I think we've covered a lot of the other content in the principal finance section during Chris's remarks, so I'm going to jump quickly to the asset management section, page 30. Overall, asset management continues to perform. It produced around $5 million year-to- date in cash.

Jordan Licht

When you compare the asset management income, though, on the left-hand side, I'd say we're pretty much right on track with where we were last year to date. The reason for the difference is, well, one, as we've mentioned, many of our older funds have been running off, I wouldn't expect, as we mentioned before, to continue to see management fees. The big bump in performance fees we saw last year was actually the flip over of the Advantage Fund hitting some hurdles, the first set of performance fees coming in, that will be a steady intake as that fund continues to perform. You can see, obviously, the parity in the relationship that we have with our partner in the BOF-C Fund.

Jordan Licht

I'm going to now move to cover some of the other content related to our capital structure and the balance sheet and expenses. On page 32, just real quickly hitting upon cash. The $157 million of cash was the largest in the last five quarters, and obviously one of the peaks as we continue to generate cash from the portfolio. We still also have a due from settlement balance with $122 million outstanding as of the end of the quarter. On page 33, to quickly hit expenses, I want to go a little bit deeper into some of the comments that Chris had made. The first is when you compare the year-to-date salaries and benefits, and you can see there's a jump in terms of the overall nominal amount.

Jordan Licht

What that reflects predominantly is the fact that we actually did a bit of cost cutting and some changes associated with senior and middle management that captures approximately $10 million of annualized compensation expense, and that's across salaries, cash bonuses, stock, et cetera. The one-time impact of that shows up in a variety of different places. About $5 million, there's a one-time impact that shows up in salaries and benefits. There's an offset to that in other line items with the reversal of some accruals. The net cost was only about $2 million to achieve that $10 million of annualized compensation expense. The last piece that I want to touch on this page, you can see, well, two pieces. G&A has remained steady. If you look year-over-year, in fact, slightly lower this year compared to last year.

Jordan Licht

The last piece is the case-related expenditures ineligible for inclusion. What that is, in layman's terms, those are deployments that we no longer believe can be capitalized into the asset. That doesn't mean that the case isn't active or healthy. It just doesn't get put into the asset value and unfortunately comes through the income statement. We talked about that briefly last period in which we reversed previous expenses. When you look at that $27 million in its totality, $25 million of that actually represents costs that would have been directly associated with funding the active portfolio. Finally, I'm going to finish on page 34, just to hit on a little bit of the debt piece and just reiterate some of Chris's comments. We have ample cash and marketable securities sitting at $733 million.

Jordan Licht

Our leverage ratio is outlined on the right-hand side. When you look at the debt outstanding, the weighted average life of the debt is 5.2 years, and that compares favorably on a lot of different metrics, whether it's the pace of concluded assets or relative to the pace of active deployments. As Chris and John mentioned, we're excited and still feel confident in the portfolio and its ability to continue to generate a healthy cash flow to manage through the debt load. That concludes our prepared remarks, and at this point, I'm going to hand over to the operator and Chris to open up for questions.

Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star one again. Your first question comes from Timothy D'Agostino with B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

Timothy D'Agostino

Yeah. Thank you for taking the questions this morning. I guess, thinking about the updates regarding the portfolio, whether it be the mining arbitration, the U.S. jury verdict, or the German Supreme Court. While these cases are obviously the timing around it's very hard to kind of tell. Could you just provide us maybe some color on how you internally think about the timelines of those proceeding forward, just so we can think about it till year end and as we look towards the third quarter? Thank you.

Chris Bogart

Yeah. The purpose of giving those kinds of portfolio updates is really to show people that there is momentum in the portfolio. In other words, to dispel the notion that things are just sort of sitting stagnantly. As John talked about as well, they're just not though. It's not just those handful of examples, but there is a very significant amount of activity going on across the multi-hundred case book that we have. We're not putting them out there to suggest that those things are the things that will turn into cash between, for example, you said now and the end of the year. Each of those things has some further stages in litigation to go through. The thing that drives settlements and litigation, first of all, are catalysts.

Chris Bogart

It's certainly reasonable to think that as you get catalysts in matters, that also opens the door to settlement discussions in a way that the absence of a catalyst seldom does. It's not necessarily that we have our eyes on those cases that we talked about as settlement candidates, but rather other cases where there are settlement discussions going on right now because there were prior catalysts. This whole thing is a continuum, from the beginning of a piece of litigation to the end, where there are points along the way that increase the likelihood of resolution. That's what our business is all about. As you'll remember, we're close to 80% of our matters ultimately resolving by settlement instead of by final adjudication. This is just common sense.

Chris Bogart

If I'm suing you, and I'm looking for a big check from you, the mere fact that I have sued you is not likely to have you reaching for your checkbook, in a way that you weren't prepared to just a few weeks before. Something needs to happen in that lawsuit to make you think that your vulnerability is greater than you perceived it to be when you refused to pay me before we commenced litigation. That's what so much of this is all about, is using the litigation process to get to those catalysts that ultimately drive the settlements. A jury verdict is a great example of that.

Chris Bogart

It's relatively uncommon for cases where we win a jury verdict to go all the way to the end of the litigation process and appeal and try to go to Supreme Court and then enforce against assets and get paid by enforcement against assets. That's pretty uncommon. It's not never, but it's pretty uncommon. What's more common is that act, that event, will cause a recalibration of the other side's position, and that will drive an economic outcome.

Timothy D'Agostino

Okay, great. Thank you so much. If I could just ask a second question. On the streamlining operating costs noted on the save to comp, I guess, is that the start of broader cuts? I guess, do you see more potential operating cost savings going forward, whether it be through those senior to mid-management cuts? Is what we're seeing right now the ceiling of what you plan on doing? Thank you.

Chris Bogart

Yeah. Burford's a pretty lean business. It's not as though we have armies of people like you see all these cuts happening at Google and Meta and so on. That's just not the kind of business that we are. We only have somewhere around 160 people right now. No, it's not our intention to engage in sort of serial waves of layoffs. What we did do here on a one-time basis was we encouraged some retirements. We streamlined a few functions and so on. I would say the other thing that we pay careful attention to is the extent to which growth requires hiring. That's a combination of just general operating leverage. It's also a question of our continuing ability to use technology efficiently.

Chris Bogart

Both of those things enable us to do more with a smaller rate of growth in headcount than might have been the case even just a year or two ago.

Timothy D'Agostino

Okay, great. Thank you so much for taking the questions this morning.

Operator

Your next question.

Chris Bogart

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Henry Coffey with Wedbush Securities. Your line is open.

Henry Coffey

Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. When we talk about cash flow a lot, I was looking at, and I did this in my head, so if I get some numbers wrong, I apologize. It looks like your cash went up significantly, as you pointed out. Your liquid assets went up significantly, as you pointed out. When we look at net debt, it actually went up over the last six months by about $100 million. Is that correct? Maybe you could comment on what the more sequential March to June numbers look like.

Chris Bogart

Yeah, sure. Jordan can certainly chime in there. We did issue debt in January, though. Looking at December to June numbers-

Henry Coffey

Right

Chris Bogart

Is going to reflect that. Jordan?

Jordan Licht

I think there was a lot of activity in the June timeframe in terms of cleaning up the historical U.K. issuance and also doing our issuance in January at that moment in time. I think in looking at those numbers, if I recall, I'm doing this by memory, so forgive me as well, Henry, but I think we were around $740 million of cash and marketable securities at the end of the first quarter. Give or take then $10 million difference when you look quarter-over-quarter. Obviously our debt balance would've been the same, if you're looking at the end of the first quarter versus the end of this quarter.

Henry Coffey

There's more balance there. This is a much more general question that we can get into over time, you talk about the annualized return over time of the portfolio. How can we adjust that? I assume that's a gross number based on net realizations. How can we adjust that to account for capital costs, financing costs, and the actual administrative costs and direct costs associated with that very large number?

Chris Bogart

Investors modeled this according to their own prerogatives, basically. The challenge obviously with any business like this, especially a business where a significant amount of our cost goes into making an investment decision in the first place. We don't play an active role in these litigation cases once we invest in them. We certainly are engaged in a case management and monitoring role, we're not litigating the cases. A significant amount of our human resource activity is sifting through the funnel of cases that are coming in the door and deciding which ones to invest in and making those investment decisions. There can be relatively long periods where those cases take no staff time at all. What that does is create a fairly significant timing mismatch between the incurrence of OpEx style expenses and the cash resolution.

Chris Bogart

In a growing business like ours, you can't just look at it on a period to period basis. That is the easy response as well to the people who come along and say, "Gee, you don't actually generate that much net profit." You have to sort of assign costs in some methodological way to the back book effectively. Cost of debt is easier because the cost of debt is public. You can make your own sort of temporal assumptions along the way, influenced by the fact that you can do it pretty accurately because we give you case by case resolution data and time to resolution data. I don't know, Jordan, if you want to add anything to that.

Jordan Licht

Yeah, look, I think the only piece is that if you go to our investor day about a year and a half or two years ago now, we outlined the way in which we think about unit economics. When we're underwriting today, obviously there's a duration associated with the back book in the case that it's taken slightly longer than one would've anticipated. Some of those deals, many of them have protections on the back end in terms of rising multiples or backend fee arrangements or interest rate components and so forth. Duration has extended. That thought process around duration though, those go into the underwriting of new cases, we do think about unit economics on a very similar basis on a go forward basis.

Jordan Licht

That's generally how we think about how to apply the cost of debt and our OpEx into how it flows down into return on equity.

Henry Coffey

All right. Thank you. Thank you very much.

Chris Bogart

Sure. Thanks for the question.

Josh Wood

Yeah, I'll jump in here. We do have a question that's come in on the webcast, which I'll pose for the team. Can you confirm that the cost of deployed capital on the pre-pandemic cases means that realizations relating to such have produced little or no net profit?

Chris Bogart

No, I think that's not the right way to look at that dynamic at all. If you look at the return profile of those pre-pandemic cases, and you can sort of intuit it from the slide that I had up earlier, and you can go deeper into the data if you so choose. The return profile of those cases is exactly comparable to the overall portfolio return profile. We're not seeing a degradation in ROIC for those cases. We may be seeing a little bit of an IRR degradation, just because the passage of time, and we've talked about that before. Obviously, when you're generating those kinds of high returns, the associated cost certainly does not eat up all of those returns. Our historic weighted average cost of debt is well down in the single digits.

Josh Wood

I think it's a quiet August morning here in New York. I think that brings us to an end of both the oral and the webcast questions. Thank you everybody for your time and attention today. We'll look forward to reporting to you later this fall on not only the third quarter, but on our continued progress with respect to the balance sheet. In the interim, we'd encourage you to be in touch with us if you have any specific or individualized questions that we didn't touch on today. Thanks very much and enjoy the rest of the summer, everybody.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call and webcast. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-08-05

Earnings To Watch: Burford Capital Ltd (LSE:BUR) Q2 2026 -- GF Value Sees 26% Upside

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Burford Capital Ltd (LSE:BUR) is set to release its Q2 2026 earnings on Aug 6, 2026. The consensus estimate for Q2 2026 revenue is 67.87 million, and the earnings are expected to come in at 0.03 per share. The full year 2026's revenue is expected to be $-1006.43 million and the earnings are expected to be $-4.85 per share. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Forecast page Warning! GuruFocus has detected 7 Warning Signs with CCSI. Is LSE:BUR fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Revenue estimates for Burford Capital Ltd (LSE:BUR) have declined from $-453.24 million to $-1006.43 million for the full year 2026 and declined from $481.09 million to $331.37 million for 2027 over the past 90 days. Earnings estimates for Burford Capital Ltd (LSE:BUR) have declined from $0.63 per share to $-4.85 per share for the full year 2026 and declined from $0.73 per share to $0.28 per share for 2027 over the past 90 days. In the previous quarter of 2026-03-31, Burford Capital Ltd's (LSE:BUR) actual revenue was $-1278.94 million, which missed analysts' revenue expectations of $92.63 million by -1480.72%. Burford Capital Ltd's (LSE:BUR) actual earnings were $-5.55 per share, which missed analysts' earnings expectations of $0.10 per share by -5432.69%. After releasing the results, Burford Capital Ltd (LSE:BUR) was down by -4.47% in one day. Based on the one-year price targets offered by 3 analysts, the average target price for Burford Capital Ltd (LSE:BUR) is $9.20 with a high estimate of $18.22 and a low estimate of $4.50. The average target implies an upside of 186.84% from the current price of $3.21. Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Burford Capital Ltd (LSE:BUR) in one year is $4.05, suggesting an upside of 26.25% from the current price of $3.21. Based on the consensus recommendation from 4 brokerage firms, Burford Capital Ltd's (LSE:BUR) average brokerage recommendation is currently 1.80, indicating an "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-30

Axos Financial (AX) Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks
Axos Financial (AX) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.53 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.15 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.94 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +17.67%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this bank holding company would post earnings of $2.13 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.9, delivering a surprise of -10.8%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Axos Financial, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $379.77 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.91%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $321.45 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Axos Financial shares have added about 14% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 6.9%. While Axos Financial has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Axos Financial was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today…Read full document

Axos Financial (AX) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.53 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.15 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.94 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +17.67%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this bank holding company would post earnings of $2.13 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.9, delivering a surprise of -10.8%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Axos Financial, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $379.77 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.91%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $321.45 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Axos Financial shares have added about 14% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 6.9%. While Axos Financial has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Axos Financial was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $2.22 on $383.95 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $9.56 on $1.6 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial - Miscellaneous Services is currently in the bottom 28% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. Burford Capital Limited (BUR), another stock in the same industry, has yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on August 6. This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.08 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -79.5%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. Burford Capital Limited's revenues are expected to be $87.62 million, down 54.2% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report AXOS FINANCIAL, INC (AX) : Free Stock Analysis Report Burford Capital Limited (BUR) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-28

Burford Announces Date for Release of 2Q26 Financial Results and Results Call Registration and Participation Details

PR Newswire
NEW YORK, July 28, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Burford Capital Limited ("Burford"), the leading global finance and asset management firm focused on law, will release its financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 ("2Q26") on Thursday, August 6, 2026, at 8.00am EDT / 1.00pm BST. Burford will hold a conference call for investors and analysts at 9.00am EDT / 2.00pm BST on Thursday, August 6, 2026. For swift access to the conference call at the time of the event, pre-registration is encouraged at https://registrations.events/direct/Q4I221343638. The dial-in numbers for the conference call are +1 (646) 307-1951 (USA) or +1 (888) 500-3691 (USA & Canada toll free) / +44 (0)20 8610 3526 (UK) or +44 800 524 4258 (UK toll free), and the access code is 22134. To minimize the risk of delayed access, participants are urged to dial into the conference call by 8.40am EDT / 1.40pm BST. A live audio webcast and replay will also be available at https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/912544397, and pre-registration at that link is encouraged. An accompanying 2Q26 financial results presentation for investors and analysts will be made available on Burford's website prior to the conference call at http://investors.burfordcapital.com. About Burford Capital Burford Capital is the leading global finance and asset management firm focused on law. Its businesses include litigation finance and risk management, asset recovery and a wide range of legal finance and advisory activities. Burford is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: BUR) and the London Stock Exchange (LSE: BUR) and works with companies and law firms around the world from its global network of offices. For more information, please visit www.burfordcapital.com. This press release does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any ordinary shares or other securities of Burford. This press release does not constitute an offer of any Burford private fund. Burford Capital Investment Management LLC, which acts as the fund manager of all Burford private funds, is registered as an investment adviser with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The information provided in this press release is for informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information contained in this press release is not, and should not be construed as, an offe…Read full document

NEW YORK, July 28, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Burford Capital Limited ("Burford"), the leading global finance and asset management firm focused on law, will release its financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 ("2Q26") on Thursday, August 6, 2026, at 8.00am EDT / 1.00pm BST. Burford will hold a conference call for investors and analysts at 9.00am EDT / 2.00pm BST on Thursday, August 6, 2026. For swift access to the conference call at the time of the event, pre-registration is encouraged at https://registrations.events/direct/Q4I221343638. The dial-in numbers for the conference call are +1 (646) 307-1951 (USA) or +1 (888) 500-3691 (USA & Canada toll free) / +44 (0)20 8610 3526 (UK) or +44 800 524 4258 (UK toll free), and the access code is 22134. To minimize the risk of delayed access, participants are urged to dial into the conference call by 8.40am EDT / 1.40pm BST. A live audio webcast and replay will also be available at https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/912544397, and pre-registration at that link is encouraged. An accompanying 2Q26 financial results presentation for investors and analysts will be made available on Burford's website prior to the conference call at http://investors.burfordcapital.com. About Burford Capital Burford Capital is the leading global finance and asset management firm focused on law. Its businesses include litigation finance and risk management, asset recovery and a wide range of legal finance and advisory activities. Burford is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: BUR) and the London Stock Exchange (LSE: BUR) and works with companies and law firms around the world from its global network of offices. For more information, please visit www.burfordcapital.com. This press release does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any ordinary shares or other securities of Burford. This press release does not constitute an offer of any Burford private fund. Burford Capital Investment Management LLC, which acts as the fund manager of all Burford private funds, is registered as an investment adviser with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The information provided in this press release is for informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information contained in this press release is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities (including interests or shares in any of Burford private funds). Any such offer or solicitation may be made only by means of a final confidential private placement memorandum and other offering documents. Forward-looking statements This press release contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that are intended to be covered by the safe harbor provided for under these sections. In some cases, words such as "aim", "anticipate", "believe", "continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "guidance", "intend", "may", "plan", "potential", "predict", "projected", "should" or "will", or the negative of such terms or other comparable terminology, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Although Burford believes that the assumptions, expectations, projections, intentions and beliefs about future results and events reflected in forward-looking statements have a reasonable basis and are expressed in good faith, forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause Burford's actual results and events to differ materially from (and be more negative than) future results and events expressed, projected or implied by these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause future results and events to differ include, among others, those discussed in the "Risk Factors" section of Burford's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on February 26, 2026. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements contained in the periodic and current reports that Burford files with or furnishes to the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Many of these factors are beyond Burford's ability to control or predict, and new factors emerge from time to time. Furthermore, Burford cannot assess the impact of each such factor on its business or the extent to which any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results and events to be materially different from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on Burford's forward-looking statements. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to Burford or to persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. The forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release and, except as required by applicable law, Burford undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/burford-announces-date-for-release-of-2q26-financial-results-and-results-call-registration-and-participation-details-302836323.html

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-11

Burford Capital's Q1 Results Largely Driven by Non-Cash YPF Write-Down, Wedbush Says

MT Newswires

Burford Capital's (BUR) Q1 results were largely driven by a massive $2.4 billion non-cash YPF write-

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-10

Burford Capital Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat
Interested in Burford Capital Limited? Here are five stocks we like better. YPF litigation took a non-cash hit, with Burford writing down the asset after an adverse court decision, but management said the investment has already produced more than $100 million in cash profit. The company plans to pursue an en banc appeal while also preparing for a likely shift toward arbitration. Management emphasized that Burford’s core litigation finance portfolio remains strong and diversified, citing 237 active assets across roughly 900 underlying cases and more than £1 billion in undrawn commitments. The company said its existing non-YPF portfolio is modeled to generate more than $5 billion in future cash. First-quarter activity showed steady portfolio momentum, with $133 million of new definitive commitments, $108 million in deployments, and $97 million in realizations. Burford also ended the quarter with $740 million in cash and marketable securities and said it has no debt maturities until 2028. Wall Street Loves TJX, But Is the Stock Still a Good Deal for Investors? Burford Capital (NYSE:BUR) executives used the company’s first-quarter 2026 earnings call to address the recent setback in its YPF-related litigation, while emphasizing what management described as the strength, cash-generating potential and diversification of its core litigation finance business. Chief Executive Officer Christopher Bogart said the YPF loss was “disappointing” and “frustrating,” but stressed that the impact was non-cash. “In fact, we have made a nice cash profit from it,” Bogart said, adding that Burford has generated more than $100 million of cash profit from the investment. → Light Speed Returns: Corning Cashes In on NVIDIA Growth 3 ETFs That Could Benefit as Consumers Tighten Their Budgets Burford reported that it had applied its valuation policy and taken a substantial write-down of the YPF asset value following the adverse decision. Bogart said the company expects little financial statement activity related to YPF for several years because the next phase is likely to involve arbitration, a process he described as confidential and slower moving. Bogart said Burford plans to file an en banc petition asking the full U.S. Court of Appeals to reconsider the recent panel decision. He said Burford’s filing would describe the ruling as “egregiously wrong and indefensible.” However, he also a…Read full document

Interested in Burford Capital Limited? Here are five stocks we like better. YPF litigation took a non-cash hit, with Burford writing down the asset after an adverse court decision, but management said the investment has already produced more than $100 million in cash profit. The company plans to pursue an en banc appeal while also preparing for a likely shift toward arbitration. Management emphasized that Burford’s core litigation finance portfolio remains strong and diversified, citing 237 active assets across roughly 900 underlying cases and more than £1 billion in undrawn commitments. The company said its existing non-YPF portfolio is modeled to generate more than $5 billion in future cash. First-quarter activity showed steady portfolio momentum, with $133 million of new definitive commitments, $108 million in deployments, and $97 million in realizations. Burford also ended the quarter with $740 million in cash and marketable securities and said it has no debt maturities until 2028. Wall Street Loves TJX, But Is the Stock Still a Good Deal for Investors? Burford Capital (NYSE:BUR) executives used the company’s first-quarter 2026 earnings call to address the recent setback in its YPF-related litigation, while emphasizing what management described as the strength, cash-generating potential and diversification of its core litigation finance business. Chief Executive Officer Christopher Bogart said the YPF loss was “disappointing” and “frustrating,” but stressed that the impact was non-cash. “In fact, we have made a nice cash profit from it,” Bogart said, adding that Burford has generated more than $100 million of cash profit from the investment. → Light Speed Returns: Corning Cashes In on NVIDIA Growth 3 ETFs That Could Benefit as Consumers Tighten Their Budgets Burford reported that it had applied its valuation policy and taken a substantial write-down of the YPF asset value following the adverse decision. Bogart said the company expects little financial statement activity related to YPF for several years because the next phase is likely to involve arbitration, a process he described as confidential and slower moving. Bogart said Burford plans to file an en banc petition asking the full U.S. Court of Appeals to reconsider the recent panel decision. He said Burford’s filing would describe the ruling as “egregiously wrong and indefensible.” However, he also acknowledged that obtaining a different result in the U.S. courts is “realistically difficult.” → Uber's Annual Product Showcase Reveals It Is Coming for Airbnb and Booking 3 Explosive Growth Stocks Hiding in Plain Sight Management said arbitration remains a viable alternative path. Bogart said the arbitration process would allow Burford to advance “essentially the same claims for the same damages.” He noted that Burford has financed international arbitration matters before, including a prior case against Argentina involving the expropriation of two airlines. Bogart said Argentina has lost frequently in investment treaty arbitration, citing company materials indicating that 86% of more than 50 cases brought against Argentina have resulted in a pro-investor outcome. In response to an analyst question, he clarified that the 86% figure refers to bilateral investment treaty arbitrations, not ordinary commercial arbitration. → Wells Fargo’s Comeback Is Real—But Not Risk-Free Management also sought to distinguish future YPF costs from the company’s historical spending on the matter. Bogart said much of the previous spending was structural, including costs to obtain the interests, rather than litigation expense. He said future costs should be consistent with complex arbitration matters, historically in the $10 million to $20 million range, and “nothing close to $100 million.” Bogart said YPF had dominated investor discussions for years and that the company now expects the market to focus more on Burford’s core business. He described that business as a global portfolio of hundreds of litigation assets that move through a “litigation conveyor belt” toward resolution. Burford said it has 237 active assets, many of which are multi-case arrangements, representing roughly 900 underlying cases. Bogart said the portfolio is broadly diversified and that 35% of it consists of cases from 2015 to 2019, which he said likely would have resolved earlier if not for the pandemic. The company also reported more than £1 billion of undrawn definitive commitments. Bogart characterized those commitments as already-sourced matters that could represent close to another £2 billion of future cash proceeds if deployed and returned at Burford’s historical rates. Bogart said Burford’s existing portfolio, excluding YPF, is modeled to generate more than $5 billion of future cash. He said the company’s modeling assumes a 110% return on invested capital, compared with historical ROIC of 82%, because the current portfolio mix differs from the historical book and because Burford has learned not to pursue smaller cases that dragged down returns. Chief Investment Officer Jonathan Molot said new business was proceeding at a “steady pace.” Burford reported $133 million of new definitive commitments in the first quarter, which Chief Financial Officer Jordan Licht said was 25% higher than the average for the first quarters of 2024 and 2025. Deployments totaled $108 million in the quarter, which management said was broadly in line with recent quarterly averages. Realizations were $97 million, lower than the prior-year period, which benefited from a nearly $100 million single-asset realization. Molot said the quarter’s realizations came from 25 assets, including six that generated at least $5 million and two that generated at least $20 million. He also said nine of the contributing assets were from pre-COVID vintages, which he said showed that older matters are moving through the portfolio. Looking ahead, Molot said Burford has 36 trials and merits hearings scheduled during 2026 across its portfolios, compared with 23 at the same time last year. He cautioned that scheduled proceedings can be delayed, but called the increase a “positive indicator.” He also said Burford sees 23 assets with the potential to generate double-digit millions or more in realizations during 2026. Burford said it ended the quarter with $740 million of cash and marketable securities. Bogart said the company intentionally raised $500 million in January to strengthen its position and emphasized that Burford has not relied on YPF cash in its forward-looking cash flow modeling. Management said Burford has no debt maturities until 2028 after redeeming its 2026 U.K. bonds earlier this year. Licht said the company’s outstanding debt now consists entirely of 144A notes with incurrence covenants only, following the redemption of the remaining U.K. issuance. Licht said Burford’s debt capital has a weighted average life of 5.5 years, compared with weighted average lives of 2.6 years for concluded assets and 3.4 years for active deployments. He said the company’s incurrence test is 2.0 times debt to equity, while its current level is 3.5 times. Bogart said Burford’s debt-to-equity ratio is higher than management would like following the YPF write-down, and that the company intends to deleverage over time. Still, he said management is “not alarmed by the current posture of the business,” noting that Moody’s kept Burford’s rating at Ba1 while S&P lowered it one notch to BB- with a stable outlook. Potential cash-conservation measures are also under review. Bogart said the dividend remains a topic of discussion with shareholders, noting that many investors do not focus on yield. He reiterated that share repurchases are not appropriate at this point. Bogart said the company had already decided before the YPF outcome that it would no longer use new debt to close funding gaps between business opportunities and organically generated cash flow. He said that approach could constrain future growth if cash inflows and new business opportunities do not align, but described it as a growth-rate risk rather than a liquidity risk. Executives said Burford will continue to focus on harvesting cash from the existing portfolio while also originating new business. Molot said the company has expanded its business development presence, including adding people in Spain and Korea. “We’ve gotten to a size and scale where we can use the money coming in from prior cases to fund the new commitments,” Molot said. He described that position as a competitive advantage in an industry where new entrants may struggle to raise additional capital before their earlier investments produce returns. Bogart closed the call by saying the company aims to “turn the corner” from the YPF-driven narrative and highlight the cash-generating potential of the core business. “We’re very excited about what that has to offer,” he said. Burford Capital (NYSE: BUR) is a leading global finance firm that specializes in litigation and arbitration funding, risk management, and asset recovery. The company provides capital to law firms and corporate clients to finance legal fees and associated costs in commercial disputes. In exchange for funding, Burford shares in any awards or settlements, enabling clients to pursue meritorious claims without bearing upfront legal expenses. Founded in 2009 by Christopher Bogart, Burford was among the first firms to establish a dedicated litigation finance business. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "Burford Capital Q1 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for May 2026.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-09

Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Liquidity and New ...

GuruFocus.com
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. New Definitive Commitments: $133 million, 25% higher than the first quarter average of 2024 and 2025. Deployments: $108 million in the first quarter, broadly in line with the quarterly average. Realizations: $97 million in the first quarter, with two assets producing $20 million or more. Cash Visibility: More than $280 million in cash receipts expected for the year. Capital Provision Income: Negatively impacted by nearly 50 basis points increase in discount rates. Operating Expenses: $19 million charge related to case-related expenditures. Liquidity: $740 million in cash and marketable securities at quarter end. Debt Structure: Weighted average life of debt capital is 5.5 years, with no maturities due until 2028. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with BUR. Is BUR fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: May 08, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Burford Capital Ltd (NYSE:BUR) is recognized as the market leader in a growing, high-return, uncorrelated industry. The company has a large and diversified portfolio of litigation matters globally, which is expected to generate substantial cash flow and strong returns. Burford Capital Ltd (NYSE:BUR) has a strong origination platform, with a significant increase in new business commitments and deployments. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with over $700 million in cash, and has historically generated more cash each year than needed to cover costs. Burford Capital Ltd (NYSE:BUR) has a mature and diversified portfolio capable of supporting its current leverage, with plans to deleverage over time through organic growth and cash generation. The YPF case resulted in a significant non-cash write-down, impacting financial results and overshadowing the first quarter activity. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is higher than desired following the YPF write-down, necessitating a focus on deleveraging. There is uncertainty around the timing of cash flows from the portfolio, which can lead to volatility in quarterly results. The company faces challenges in the secondary market for litigation risk, which is not as efficient as desired for selling cases. Burford Capital Ltd (NYSE:BUR) may need to constrain new business if organic cash flow is insufficient…Read full document

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. New Definitive Commitments: $133 million, 25% higher than the first quarter average of 2024 and 2025. Deployments: $108 million in the first quarter, broadly in line with the quarterly average. Realizations: $97 million in the first quarter, with two assets producing $20 million or more. Cash Visibility: More than $280 million in cash receipts expected for the year. Capital Provision Income: Negatively impacted by nearly 50 basis points increase in discount rates. Operating Expenses: $19 million charge related to case-related expenditures. Liquidity: $740 million in cash and marketable securities at quarter end. Debt Structure: Weighted average life of debt capital is 5.5 years, with no maturities due until 2028. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with BUR. Is BUR fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: May 08, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Burford Capital Ltd (NYSE:BUR) is recognized as the market leader in a growing, high-return, uncorrelated industry. The company has a large and diversified portfolio of litigation matters globally, which is expected to generate substantial cash flow and strong returns. Burford Capital Ltd (NYSE:BUR) has a strong origination platform, with a significant increase in new business commitments and deployments. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with over $700 million in cash, and has historically generated more cash each year than needed to cover costs. Burford Capital Ltd (NYSE:BUR) has a mature and diversified portfolio capable of supporting its current leverage, with plans to deleverage over time through organic growth and cash generation. The YPF case resulted in a significant non-cash write-down, impacting financial results and overshadowing the first quarter activity. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is higher than desired following the YPF write-down, necessitating a focus on deleveraging. There is uncertainty around the timing of cash flows from the portfolio, which can lead to volatility in quarterly results. The company faces challenges in the secondary market for litigation risk, which is not as efficient as desired for selling cases. Burford Capital Ltd (NYSE:BUR) may need to constrain new business if organic cash flow is insufficient, posing a risk to future growth rates. Q: How does the YPF case affect Burford's approach to large cases in the future? A: Christopher Bogart, CEO, explained that while YPF was large in potential outcome, it wasn't especially large in terms of cost. Burford is open to similar cases with high asymmetric returns. For cases requiring substantial capital, Burford sets a balance sheet risk tolerance and may use sidecar vehicles to meet extra client demand. Q: How has the COVID-19 pandemic affected the duration of case realizations? A: Christopher Bogart noted that the concluded weighted average life of cases has increased slightly to 2.6 years from 2.3 years pre-COVID. The weighted average life of active deployed capital is now 3.4 years, indicating some delay but not a dramatic change. Q: What are the assumptions behind the $5.2 billion model realizations? A: Christopher Bogart and Jordan Licht, CFO, mentioned that they do not disclose a specific duration estimate for cash flows. The model considers a wide range of outcomes, including early settlement and trial, weighted by probability, reflecting variability in case types. Q: How does Burford plan to manage operating expenses and harvest cash? A: Jordan Licht stated that Burford continuously monitors operating expenses and focuses on portfolio performance to manage cash flow. They actively partner with clients to manage case resolutions and have mechanisms to control litigation costs. Q: Is a dividend cut being considered, and how might it affect shareholders? A: Christopher Bogart indicated that consultations suggest a dividend cut would not dramatically impact the shareholder base, as the focus has shifted towards US investors who prioritize growth over yield. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08

Burford Reports 1Q26 Financial Results

PR Newswire
NEW YORK, May 8, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Burford Capital Limited ("Burford"), the leading global finance and asset management firm focused on law, today announces its unaudited financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026 ("1Q26"). The full detailed presentation of Burford's 1Q26 financial results can be viewed at http://investors.burfordcapital.com. Christopher Bogart, Burford Capital's Chief Executive Officer, commented: "Burford has a multi-billion-dollar portfolio of litigation assets delivering substantial cash returns and the market-leading origination engine. Burford's business is robust. We have ample liquidity, with more than $700 million of cash on hand, and have sight of around $280 million1 in cash so far this year from the portfolio. "While the YPF loss was disappointing and caused a very large non-cash charge to our quarterly earnings, there is no cash impact from that loss. Indeed, if YPF never pays another cent, we will still have generated $236 million in cash proceeds and more than $100 million in profit from the case – and we are optimistic about a positive arbitration outcome." Burford will hold a conference call for investors and analysts at 8.00am EDT / 1.00pm BST on Friday, May 8, 2026. For swift access to the conference call at the time of the event, pre-registration is encouraged at https://registrations.events/direct/Q4I79209385. The dial-in numbers for the conference call are +1 (646) 307-1951 (USA) or +1 (888) 500-3691 (USA & Canada toll free) / +44 (0)20 8610 3526 (UK) or +44 800 524 4258 (UK toll free), and the access code is 79209. To minimize the risk of delayed access, participants are urged to dial into the conference call by 7.40am EDT / 12.40pm BST. A live audio webcast and replay will also be available at https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/593482261, and pre-registration at that link is encouraged. For further information, please contact: About Burford Capital Burford Capital is the leading global finance and asset management firm focused on law. Its businesses include litigation finance and risk management, asset recovery and a wide range of legal finance and advisory activities. Burford is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: BUR) and the London Stock Exchange (LSE: BUR) and works with companies and law firms around the world from its global network of offices. For more information, please vi…Read full document

NEW YORK, May 8, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Burford Capital Limited ("Burford"), the leading global finance and asset management firm focused on law, today announces its unaudited financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026 ("1Q26"). The full detailed presentation of Burford's 1Q26 financial results can be viewed at http://investors.burfordcapital.com. Christopher Bogart, Burford Capital's Chief Executive Officer, commented: "Burford has a multi-billion-dollar portfolio of litigation assets delivering substantial cash returns and the market-leading origination engine. Burford's business is robust. We have ample liquidity, with more than $700 million of cash on hand, and have sight of around $280 million1 in cash so far this year from the portfolio. "While the YPF loss was disappointing and caused a very large non-cash charge to our quarterly earnings, there is no cash impact from that loss. Indeed, if YPF never pays another cent, we will still have generated $236 million in cash proceeds and more than $100 million in profit from the case – and we are optimistic about a positive arbitration outcome." Burford will hold a conference call for investors and analysts at 8.00am EDT / 1.00pm BST on Friday, May 8, 2026. For swift access to the conference call at the time of the event, pre-registration is encouraged at https://registrations.events/direct/Q4I79209385. The dial-in numbers for the conference call are +1 (646) 307-1951 (USA) or +1 (888) 500-3691 (USA & Canada toll free) / +44 (0)20 8610 3526 (UK) or +44 800 524 4258 (UK toll free), and the access code is 79209. To minimize the risk of delayed access, participants are urged to dial into the conference call by 7.40am EDT / 12.40pm BST. A live audio webcast and replay will also be available at https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/593482261, and pre-registration at that link is encouraged. For further information, please contact: About Burford Capital Burford Capital is the leading global finance and asset management firm focused on law. Its businesses include litigation finance and risk management, asset recovery and a wide range of legal finance and advisory activities. Burford is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: BUR) and the London Stock Exchange (LSE: BUR) and works with companies and law firms around the world from its global network of offices. For more information, please visit www.burfordcapital.com. This press release does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any ordinary shares or other securities of Burford. This press release does not constitute an offer of any Burford private fund. Burford Capital Investment Management LLC, which acts as the fund manager of all Burford private funds, is registered as an investment adviser with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The information provided in this press release is for informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information contained in this press release is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities (including interests or shares in any of Burford private funds). Any such offer or solicitation may be made only by means of a final confidential private placement memorandum and other offering documents. Forward-looking statements This press release contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that are intended to be covered by the safe harbor provided for under these sections. In some cases, words such as "aim", "anticipate", "believe", "continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "guidance", "intend", "may", "plan", "potential", "predict", "projected", "should" or "will", or the negative of such terms or other comparable terminology, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Although Burford believes that the assumptions, expectations, projections, intentions and beliefs about future results and events reflected in forward-looking statements have a reasonable basis and are expressed in good faith, forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause Burford's actual results and events to differ materially from (and be more negative than) future results and events expressed, projected or implied by these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause future results and events to differ include, among others, those discussed in the "Risk Factors" section of Burford's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on February 26, 2026. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements contained in the periodic and current reports that Burford files with or furnishes to the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Many of these factors are beyond Burford's ability to control or predict, and new factors emerge from time to time. Furthermore, Burford cannot assess the impact of each such factor on its business or the extent to which any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results and events to be materially different from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on Burford's forward-looking statements. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to Burford or to persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. The forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release and, except as required by applicable law, Burford undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/burford-reports-1q26-financial-results-302766707.html

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) Surpasses Q1 Earnings Estimates

Zacks
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.77 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.68 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.64 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +13.57%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this provider of financing for sustainable infrastructure projects would post earnings of $0.66 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.67, delivering a surprise of +1.52%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $20.41 million for the quarter ended March 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 45.28%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $28.45 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital shares have added about 37.8% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 7.6%. While HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status transla…Read full document

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.77 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.68 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.64 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +13.57%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this provider of financing for sustainable infrastructure projects would post earnings of $0.66 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.67, delivering a surprise of +1.52%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $20.41 million for the quarter ended March 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 45.28%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $28.45 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital shares have added about 37.8% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 7.6%. While HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.75 on $38.4 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $2.94 on $157.1 million in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial - Miscellaneous Services is currently in the top 37% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. Burford Capital Limited (BUR), another stock in the same industry, has yet to report results for the quarter ended March 2026. The results are expected to be released on May 8. This company is expected to post quarterly loss of $1.90 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -1457.1%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.9% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. Burford Capital Limited's revenues are expected to be $124.6 million, up 4.8% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI) : Free Stock Analysis Report Burford Capital Limited (BUR) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-08

FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 127 paragraphs
Operator

Welcome to Burford Capital first quarter 2026 financial results conference call and audio webcast. Please note that this call is being recorded. After the speakers prepared remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question by that time, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. Thank you. I'd now like to hand the call over to Josh Wood, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Josh Wood

Thank you, Ellie, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss Burford's first quarter 2026 results. On the call, we have our Chief Executive Officer, Christopher Bogart, our Chief Investment Officer, Jonathan Molot, and our Chief Financial Officer, Jordan Licht. Earlier this morning, we posted a detailed earnings presentation which we'll refer to during the call, and we also filed our Form 10-Q. If you've not already, you can find those materials on our investor relations website at investors.burfordcapital.com. Before we get started, just a reminder that today's call may contain forward-looking statements that involve certain risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed during the call. For information regarding these risk factors, please refer to our earnings materials relating to this call posted on our website and our filings with the SEC.

Josh Wood

We will also be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures during the call. Please refer to today's earnings materials and our filings with the SEC for additional information, including reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. With that, I'll turn the call over to Chris.

Christopher Bogart

Thanks very much, Josh, and thanks to all of you for joining us today. We're going to do things a little bit differently than our usual quarterly earnings call today. I'm starting on slide eight. First of all, we're going to talk about YPF, give you a full update there. I'm gonna take you through an update on the core business. We're gonna talk about liquidity and debt and give you some thoughts about what lies ahead. John and Jordan will go on and talk about the quarter a bit. We may go a little longer than usual in our remarks, we can reserve lots of time for your questions, and we're able to go beyond an hour if people would like us to do that.

Christopher Bogart

Let me start, though, by framing just the key message that I think it's important that everyone take away from today and this presentation on this set of results. Burford is the clear acknowledged market leader in a growing, high return, uncorrelated industry. We have a very large portfolio that is generating meaningful cash. The YPF loss was disappointing, and it's something that we expect to turn around, but it is an entirely non-cash event. In fact, we have made a nice cash profit from it. Let's start by talking about YPF on slide 9. As I said, YPF was obviously disappointing, and it was very frustrating to us.

Christopher Bogart

Loretta Preska, the trial judge in the Southern District of New York who wrote the judgment a couple of years ago, is a very fine judge and has a 4% reversal rate at the Court of Appeals. We should have been in that 96%. Unfortunately, we had a divided panel. The three judges split 2 to 1 against us, with what we believe is quite a weak decision with poor reasoning. Later today, we're gonna be filing our en banc petition, which asks the entire court to take a look at the case again. In our briefing, later today, which will be public when it's filed, we go on and we call that decision egregiously wrong and indefensible. The reality is that that's litigation.

Christopher Bogart

Every lawyer has won cases that he or she should have lost, and every lawyer has lost cases that he or she should have won. Frankly, it's that idiosyncratic risk of litigation that lets us generate high returns and that creates barriers to entry against potential entrants who don't have tolerance for that kind of risk. Look, our process does a very good job of screening out bad cases, but that doesn't mean that we can forever forego that level of unpredictable risk. That's simply the way that litigation works. While we will try hard to get a different result in the, in the U.S. courts, statistically, that's something that is realistically difficult to obtain. That takes us to arbitration. Arbitration, here is a process that will let us advance essentially the same claims for the same damages.

Christopher Bogart

The case is very well set up for arbitration. We are experts in doing this. We believe that we're the largest provider of finance to international arbitration in the world. We have in fact arbitrated successfully against Argentina before in a case involving the expropriation of two of Argentina's flag carrier airlines. Argentina loses very regularly when it goes to arbitration. 86% of the more than 50 cases brought against it have resulted in a pro-investor outcome. Once there is an arbitration award, the vast majority of arbitration awards are satisfied. This is not something that is pie in the sky. This is a very real alternative.

Christopher Bogart

For those of you who have been following this case since its beginning, if you go all the way back to 2015 when we first started this litigation, we said at the time that keeping the case in the U.S. courts was a significant risk. That if we were unsuccessful at doing that, then we had this arbitration avenue available to us. It's just disappointing that we had to go all the way through this U.S. court process before turning and going to arbitration because this is also going to be a process that will take some amount of time. We've had a fair bit of, a fair number of questions about the process here.

Christopher Bogart

In addition to this one slide that you see on the screen, there are several slides in the appendix that have more granular detail about the process and how this works. The other question we get a fair bit is around cost. You know, a bunch of the cost that you have seen us invest in the YPF case was structural. In other words, cost to obtain the interests in the first place. It wasn't litigation cost. Those structural costs don't need to be repeated. Going forward, the cost of this case will be consistent with any other complex arbitration case. There's nothing close to $100 million to spend here. Historically, we've spent in the $10 million-$20 million range on an arbitration matter.

Christopher Bogart

That's really where we sit with respect to the next steps on YPF and its litigation. They're going to be kind of quiet because arbitration is an inherently confidential process and there's not a lot of updating that goes on during it. Let's turn to slide 10 and talk a little bit about YPF and money. As you've all seen, and as you were expecting given the guidance that we gave right after the decision came out, we have applied our valuation policy and we've taken a very substantial write down of the YPF asset value. I really would continue to emphasize that that's entirely a non-cash matter. If you look purely at the cash side of YPF, this has been a very successful investment. We've made a cash profit on it of more than $100 million.

Christopher Bogart

As you can see from our comments here about how going forward this affects our financial statements, there aren't many milestones in arbitration. You're not likely to see for the next several years much financial statement activity in the case. Let me give some details here that you can read through yourself and Jordan will be happy to take questions on it. That's sort of where we are. We have a high level of confidence that sometime from now in the future, we're going to be coming back to you with good news from an arbitration award, good news from an arbitration tribunal. It's something that's going to take a little bit of time and require some amount of patience.

Christopher Bogart

What that really does for us, while we're obviously unhappy about the YPF result, is it changes the narrative around Burford. You know, for the last few years, YPF has really dominated the Burford story. Many of my meetings with investors would open with YPF and lots of those meetings never really made it past the discussion of the case. That was understandable. It was very public. It was very large. It was complicated and it required a fair bit of effort to properly understand. While we believe the case will resolve in our favor, as I said, it's going to take a number of years and there's nothing really to discuss in the interim. That lets us, I think, close that chapter, turn the page and start thinking more about Burford and its core business.

Christopher Bogart

Let's start doing that on slide 11. We're happy now to be able to focus you on the core business because we've got an amazing core business and it quite frankly has been neglected by the market for some time. Before we turn to quarterly results, I want to spend a little bit of time refocusing on that core business and trying to get you to understand and share our excitement about it. One of our large shareholders wrote to us recently and they said, "The business ex-YPF is performing really well and we see the stock as wildly undervalued." That's a sentiment that the management team agrees with. The core business that we have is a gigantic portfolio of litigation matters globally, hundreds of them.

Christopher Bogart

They move along the litigation conveyor belt to maturity fairly rapidly and they generate substantial cash flow and strong returns. Because we have the market leading global origination engine, we add materially to that portfolio every year. Let's turn to slide 12 and take a look inside it. We say that we have 237 active assets, but many of those are multi-case arrangements. In actual fact, we have somewhere around 900 cases. A case for us means a substantial complex piece of high value litigation. We're not counting plaintiffs. If we did, because some cases had many plaintiffs, we would be in the many thousands. In short, this is an enormous collection of high value litigation, by far the largest in the world, we believe. We expect that it's going to produce billions of dollars of cash over time.

Christopher Bogart

The cases are widely diversified across any metric you'd care to use, as you can see from the graphic here. I'd make a couple of important points on this slide. Looking at the bar on the right, 35% of that portfolio is from 2015 to 2019. Those are old cases. But for the pandemic, we believe many of them would have resolved by now. They will resolve over the next bit of time, and they will be a desirable source of cash as they do. Let's also look on the left at those undrawn definitive commitments, more than GBP 1 billion now. That's basically something approaching another GBP 2 billion of future cash proceeds as that capital flows out into cases and then returns at our historical rates of return. We already have those cases.

Christopher Bogart

We don't need to do any work to find them. It's a very interesting portfolio from a financial perspective. Speaking of returns, let's have a look at slide 13. Let's just remind ourselves of what Burford has already been able to achieve. $3.8 billion of cash for the balance sheet, and in fact, more than $6 billion group wide at high returns. In short, we know how to do this, and we have been brought. We have a large portfolio as shown on the right, that translates into accelerating realizations as shown on the left-hand graphic. The all-important question here is around cash, and let's have a look at slide 14. This year is going nicely. We have sight of $280 million in cash already this year.

Christopher Bogart

Let's step back from short-term quarterly numbers, and let's look at the basic model. Most of you have heard me describe litigation before as a conveyor belt. What I mean by that is that it is a rules-based process that doesn't permit cases to simply sit and gather dust. Once a case is filed, the system moves it forward through a set of consistent activities and ultimately gets it to a resolution. Every litigation case comes to an end. Unless they're abandoned, and we have never had a client abandon a case, they're simply too large, these cases that we do. The conveyor belt takes each case to trial unless the case settles along the way. Of course, one of the possible outcomes in litigation is that you can lose.

Christopher Bogart

Our whole business is designed to help us minimize losses and pick good cases. That is literally the thing we spend the most time on. We do that with scores of experienced lawyers around the world with a substantial data science and quantitative analytics function with proprietary data and applying our very considerable judgment and experience. As you can see on the right-hand graphic here, it works. Our loss rate, that blue line, is low and stable. If you don't lose, you're going to make money from a case. There are just two questions. How much and when? The how much question depends on whether you settle or whether you win a trial. When you settle, you make somewhat less money for obvious reasons, because you're not taking trial risk anymore, and the defendant expects a discount for de-risking the case.

Christopher Bogart

There is a direct correlation between settlement rates and returns, as you can see on the graphic in the middle of the page. As we said before, we're not sure if the increase in our settlement rate is pandemic-driven, with courts pushing cases to settle to try to reduce the pandemic backlog, or if it is more permanent because the cases we are doing are ever larger and thus present more trial risk for defendants. We'll see as time passes. We're not complaining about that because settlements happen faster than trials, and they de-risk our positions. In short, this is a very good business, but it is not an easy business. We have spent a lot of time building a high-quality, unique mouse trap, and we are now seeing the benefits of it.

Christopher Bogart

Turning to the when question, this is the vexing part to public investors who like predictable quarterly results and forecast models. This business just can't provide them the way that we would like to. We can provide a lot of predictability around outcomes. As to when the conveyor belt will do its thing, there are too many variables at work, including today, the question of how clogged up the road in front of us is. Our concluded weighted average lives, as you can see, have been pretty consistent and pretty short. The weighted average life of our active capital is longer, as you can see in the bullet on the side, you know, over three years instead of in the middle of the two-year range. It too has been relatively stable.

Christopher Bogart

There isn't really any question that a lot of cash is gonna show up, and it's gonna show up in a reasonably short period of time. Precisely when is harder to say. It would be easier for you and easier for us if that were different. Then, you know, commercial banks could do this business as well. Slide 15 you've seen before, and it tries to give you some insight into that important how much question. How much cash are we going to be able to generate? Our modeling says the answer to that question is more than $5 billion. Again, this is not including YPF. The obvious question is why we are modeling 110% ROIC when our historical ROIC is 82%. The answer is in two parts.

Christopher Bogart

First, the mix of the current book is different than the mix of the historical book. We have learned some lessons along the way, and we are better investors today than we used to be. As one example, we have learned not to do small cases. Our ROICs across a significant number of small cases turned out to be pretty weak and certainly dragged down our overall returns. Second, we don't yet know if the settlement rate changes we have seen in the last few years are permanent or transitory. Whatever the precise number will end up being, it still represents a massive amount of incoming cash. In a world where we have only $1.7 billion in net debt, there really isn't any plausible scenario in which the portfolio's output isn't meaningfully greater than the debt.

Christopher Bogart

If you then not only look at the freeze frame portfolio, the existing portfolio, which is what slide 15 tells you, and we turn to slide 16, this shows you the next level of this story because the portfolio isn't static. We have been growing the business significantly, as you can see on the left, the 17% 5-year CAGR, new business generates yet more cash. What we've done here on the right-hand side of the slide is a quick and dirty calculation to illustrate the point. If we have sort of an $800 million new commitments year, and that's perfectly within range for us, ultimately, we'll deploy somewhere around 80% of that commitment. If you apply a ROIC to that, which is consistent with history or our modeling, you can see the outcome.

Christopher Bogart

In other words, every year, we're adding well over $1 billion of future cash flow to the mix. We have the big static portfolio, and then every single year, we're growing the incremental cash that we expect to get out of this. I will talk about leverage in a little bit, the simple answer is that growth de-levers this business pretty darn quickly. Turning to slide 17, everything that I have been talking about until now is cash. I run the business, and I like to talk to investors on a cash basis, not an accounting basis. Many of you have heard me say that for years, with frankly, a somewhat critical view of accounting terminology at the same time. There are two reasons for my critical eye.

Christopher Bogart

One of them is, I suppose, that I've been in and around complex litigation for 35 years now, that has taught me that accounting numbers are often disconnected from reality. The second is more specific to Burford Capital. There aren't yet comprehensive accounting standards for this asset class, a number of the current accounting choices seem to me to be not very sensible or not very helpful to investors. I focus on cash and not accounting. Here's an accounting slide for those of you who want to look at the accounting numbers. This slide makes a very important point. Our balance sheet is only carrying our assets at a 22% return. That is 60 points less than our historical returns, almost 90 points less than our modeled future returns.

Christopher Bogart

On an accounting basis, there is an enormous amount of runway here to generate P&L income that will grow shareholders' equity. That's the portfolio. Let's turn to slide 18 and touch very briefly on the origination engine. We have the leading origination platform in the industry, and we've just laid out a bunch of the data points here. I'm not gonna go through them in detail. You've heard them from us before. We have lots of people. We have data. We have strong relationships. We have global presence, marketing, and business development. What all that translates into is the kind of growth that you see in the graphic on the right. It's not just, turning to slide 19, it's not just that we have been successful at doing this and that we're good at doing it.

Christopher Bogart

It's also that there is a structural dynamic going on with corporations that drives the acceleration of their adoption of our products. This data is might be interesting to you. This is from The American Lawyer. These are statistics about the very largest of the law firms, the Am Law 10, so the 10 largest law firms by revenue, and then the Am Law 25. What you can see there is basically an explosion of revenue and profits. The chart on the right, just to linger on that is the millions of dollars per partner in law firm profits. These big law firms have gone from sort of $3 million and $4 million of profit per partner to $6 million and $7 million of profit per partner.

Christopher Bogart

That's an average of every partner in the firm. How have they been doing that? They've been doing that by being able to push through double-digit increases in their billing rates to their corporate clients. That's great for the law firms, but what does it do for the corporate clients? It has an extraordinary consequence because it means that corporate clients who want to use those law firms are having to divert more and more capital from their operating businesses, which generates for them a return and a multiple, to a collateral activity like litigation, which does neither of those things. It's, in fact, injurious to their business to do it.

Christopher Bogart

They do it because they need to, but not because they particularly want to. We are the solution to that problem, and that is why our business has grown the way that it has over time. This trend shows no signs of abating, and that is why every single year we have more frustrated corporate clients come to us and use our capital for this very reason. Let's turn to liquidity and leverage. I'm going to start on slide 20. We've had lots of questions about these topics, and I want to lay out the position very clearly to dispel any market uncertainty. Our liquidity position is very strong. We consciously raised $500 million in January to buttress our position, and we sit today with more than $700 million of cash in the bank.

Christopher Bogart

We have historically brought in much more each year in cash than we need to cover our cash costs, including OpEx and interest. Moreover, as I've laid out in earlier slides, we believe our cash realizations are likely to increase over our historical levels. By the way, not to keep beating the accounting dead horse, but our reported GAAP operating expenses are generally a good deal higher than our actual cash operating expenses. For example, compensation was our largest expense, and a significant portion of our compensation is through share-based or carry-based long-term incentive programs. Those produce current levels of GAAP OpEx but are largely non-cash. Jordan will detail some other items on the P&L that don't have any cash impact on us in a few minutes.

Christopher Bogart

I would also underline that we have not been reliant on cash from the YPF case, nor was YPF included in any of our forward-looking cash flow modeling. There was simply too much uncertainty around it. As you can see from the graphic in the center, the last time YPF produced any cash for us at all was in 2019, 7 years ago. We have in the past tapped the debt markets to fund gaps between new business opportunities and organically generated cash flow. As we reported previously, we had already concluded before the YPF outcome that the business no longer needed to do that going forward. The team has been operating on the basis that we need to fund new business organically.

Christopher Bogart

That does present the occasional risk to our ability to do as much new business as we would like, as if we are short on organic cash flow, there is a world in which we would have to constrain new business. That is only a risk to our future growth rate. It is not a challenge to our liquidity, as the solution is simply not to do the new business if we don't have the capital available to do it. To be sure, we would like not to face that issue, and we believe our accelerating cash generation will permit us to avoid it, but it is not a liquidity risk. Slide 21. In a few minutes, Jordan will spend us some time on the nuts and bolts of our debt arrangements. Let me speak about leverage strategically.

Christopher Bogart

We believe strongly that balance sheet investing, including the use of debt, is the right way to engage in this business, and that it is substantially preferable to the use of third-party investment fund capital. We've described in detail in the past the reasons for that view. The exception to that view is our strategic relationship with our sovereign wealth fund partner, which has a different economic structure, and that is a relationship we expect to continue. With the sharp decline in the balance sheet carrying value of YPF, again, notwithstanding our long-term confidence in the ability of the YPF case to produce a very substantial cash return, we now have a higher debt equity ratio than we would like, and we are gonna work over time to redress that.

Christopher Bogart

When we have spoken before about leverage, we have made the point that the management team are the largest shareholders of this business, and we are very conscious of the ability of some debt funds to behave badly if they obtain the ability to do so. We have always been very alive to trying to ensure that our, and thus your, equity value was not at risk that way. Through sensible levels of debt, laddered maturities, long-dated issuances, and through the design and structure of the debt instruments themselves, all of which are unsecured, and all of which are free of any meaningful maintenance covenants. We've previously spoken of having a comfort level of a debt equity ratio around 1.25 times. However, that was in the context of more than 40% of our assets being in a single matter.

Christopher Bogart

With the effective elimination of that concentration, our asset base is now widely diversified, as I demonstrated earlier, and is capable of supporting a higher level of leverage. We have not yet settled on a precise leverage target, as we would today be above whatever that might be. The fact that our incurrence covenant is at 2x is certainly a relevant criterion. The bottom line message here is the following: We intend to de-lever over time, but we are not alarmed by the current posture of the business. We'd remind investors that the rating agencies agree. Moody's did not alter our debt rating after the YPF event, keeping us at Ba1, and S&P lowered us one notch to BB- minus with a stable outlook. How are we gonna do that? Slide 22.

Christopher Bogart

The core answer is that we are gonna continue to grow the business. We're going to be even more focused on harvesting cash from the existing portfolio. I spent quite some time earlier demonstrating the cash generative power of the current portfolio. While equity investors may find our quarterly volatility frustrating, any reasonable view of the timing of cash flows from the portfolio would be considerably faster than our debt maturities. I also showed how significant the cash generative impact of even routine levels of new business can be. We will also look hard at cash conserving actions. We've been in discussions with shareholders for several years about the dividends, and while no decision needs to be taken today, there is a genuine market question about its benefit.

Christopher Bogart

We don't trade on its yield, and many investors do not particularly value it and do not run their portfolios for income. While we appreciate that some investors do attach significance to a dividend, we would also note, as the slide shows, the de-levering impact of not paying one. We also reiterate our longstanding position that share repurchases are not appropriate at this point. We also have in mind a number of ways to manage operating expenses. We have announced this morning the departure of Craig Arnott, our CIO International. That was his choice, not ours, as he seeks out an unrelated final chapter, but it nevertheless reduces our compensation expense.

Christopher Bogart

We have some other streamlining in mind, and as part of both a more streamlined structure and a demonstration of our deep bench, Travis Lenkner is going to become the Chief Operating Officer and work hand-in-hand with Jordan on those initiatives. Slide 23 talks about growth. As I've indicated, the best way to de-lever this business and to enhance its equity value is to continue to grow it. We have the people, we have the market position, we have the know-how, and we have real demand for our offering, and we believe that we can make the financial construct work. As we say internally, onwards.

Christopher Bogart

While I've gone on for quite a long time, I will now turn you over to John and Jordan for some brief remarks about the quarter, after which we'd be happy to take your questions and happy to stay on past the hour if there's a desire for us to do so.

Jonathan Molot

Thanks, Chris, and thanks to you all for joining. I'm going to talk about three things that were in Chris's presentation that I just want to focus a little more on. Number one is new business, which is proceeding at a steady pace. As Chris said, that is the driver of growth and that replaces the matters that come off and generate revenue. Second is the portfolio matters that are positioned to deliver the higher levels of realizations Chris referred to. Third, a word about just a reminder of how strong the portfolio is as demonstrated by the track record we've experienced over time. First, new business. The new business reflects a steady pace. You know, the business development team is humming.

Jonathan Molot

We did $133 million of new definitive commitments, which is a solid start to the year and consistent with the recent first quarter average. The $108 million of deployments are likewise consistent with our recent pace. As Jordan Licht noted, you know, if you look at the average right over the last Jordan Licht hasn't noted yet. Jordan Licht will note over the last 8 quarters, you'll get a sense that that's right on target. We have, as Christopher Bogart mentioned before, a $1 billion, one of unfunded definitive commitments, which continue to drive deployment. As Christopher Bogart said, we don't have to go out and find those matters. We found those matters. We've underwritten, we're in them, the money will go out to generate returns going forward.

Jonathan Molot

That balance, that number is up by more than 40% if you look at compared to 5 quarters ago at the end of 2024. We have grown the portfolio, and that's a significant amount of capital that's going out to deliver returns for us. While we tend to focus on definitive commitments, it's important not to forget about discretionary commitments. We have $600 million around of unfunded discretionary commitments. What are those? We don't have to put that money out. We still underwrite additional matters, but they reflect strong relationships we've built with counterparties, corporates, but particularly law firms, and the opportunity to grow through adding new cases, new matters to portfolios. We find it is much more efficient.

Jonathan Molot

We end up with much better matters, close them more easily when we have an existing relationship and a portfolio set up. When we see something good, we work together with our counterparty to bring it in. We continue to expand our business development globally. We've added people on the ground in Spain and Korea. I'm very excited about how the new business machine is churning basically on all fronts in each of our pipelines, in each of our geographic locales. The second question is: what about the portfolio? You know, what is delivering? What is poised to deliver? We had $97 million in realizations in the first quarter. It's not a big quarter, but it still exhibits the diversification of our business. There were 25 assets contributing to that quarterly figure.

Jonathan Molot

Six of those 25 generated $5 million or more. Two of the 6 generated $20 million or more. Nine of them were from pre-COVID vintages. Remember, Chris talked about the slide as the pre 2020 stuff, demonstrating the older book is moving. Even if it's taken longer and COVID slowed it down, it is happening. One thing that's noteworthy is the numbers of trials and hearings that are projected to take place or in a position to take place this year, because those are significant catalysts for settlements or resolutions. When we look at the book, 36 trials and merits hearings scheduled during 2026 across our various portfolios, and that's up significantly. If you look back same time last year, there were 23 scheduled for the remainder of the year versus 36. It doesn't mean that's gonna all happen.

Jonathan Molot

Things get pushed, it's a positive indicator. You know, slicing it a different way and stepping back, like we look at our portfolio, we see 23 different assets that have the potential to generate double-digit millions or more in realizations in 2026. For comparison, in 2025, there were 14 assets that generated 10 million or more, and in 2024 there were 16. Again, I'm not saying that all 23 will deliver. We find sometimes things that could deliver don't, and sometimes things that we weren't expecting to deliver end up resolving earlier than expected. But there's a lot going on. As Chris said, we have a maturing portfolio with a lot of great stuff in it.

Jonathan Molot

Stepping back to the track record over time, because as Chris said, there may be quarterly volatility in this, in this business, but the portfolio over time has delivered on a consistent basis, that we've had $3.8 billion-plus of cumulative realizations. That figure's more than doubled since 2020. Over that time period, the realized loss rate cumulatively has remained remarkably consistent in that 10% range. We've noted how the interplay of ROIC and settlement rate in recent years has, you know, how those two have related to each other, and time will tell if that's a temporary or is a more structural feature. You know, the takeaway is we continue to add new matters, fueling our growth and the potential for the future.

Jonathan Molot

We continue to see the portfolio turning, and we have lots of matters that are mature enough to be delivering results in the near term. The overall portfolio is very sound, and I'm very excited about it. With that, I will turn it over to Jordan.

Jordan Licht

Thank you, Chris and John, thank you to everyone for joining us this morning. I want to reiterate, but without repeating, I see many of the same strengths in the Burford origination platform and portfolio that Chris and John just spoke about. We've spent a good portion this morning discussing our disappointment with the recent activity in our YPF-related assets. As you would expect, the judgment reversal had a significant non-cash impact on our financial results. Those numbers will understandably overshadow much of the first quarter activity. Rather than walking through, though, each page of our two segments, the Principal Finance and Asset Management segments, I'm gonna focus on the key highlights and themes associated with the quarter on page 25.

Jordan Licht

I'll also call out several non-cash items that affected the income statement on some different lines, and I'll, you know, make sure to note what those impacts were as we go through it. Then, at the end, we'll open up for Q&A. John just spoke about his excitement around the global origination franchise, and let me add some perspective by walking through some of the related figures. New definitive commitments were $133 million, which is 25% higher than the first quarter average of 2024 and 2025. That's a strong start to the year, and we expect healthy demand and a strong pipeline as we move throughout 2026. Definitive commitments naturally translate into deployments. We deployed $108 million in the first quarter, broadly in line with our quarterly average. Realizations were $97 million in the first quarter.

Jordan Licht

That's lower than last year's start, which benefited from a nearly $100 million single asset realization. It's still an encouraging beginning to the year, reflecting, as John mentioned, the diverse set of cash-generating assets, including two that produced $20 million or more in realizations. Realizations become receivables. Receivables ultimately convert to cash. As Chris noted at the start of the call, we believe we have visibility to more than $280 million in cash receipts so far this year. As John mentioned, there's a significant amount of anticipated court activity still to come over the balance of 2026. Capital provision income had a few headwinds, though this period. First, discount rates used to net present value our assets increased by nearly 50 basis points, accounting for about half of the negative impact.

Jordan Licht

As I mentioned before, under our fair value accounting changes in the rate, in the broader rate environment affect our assets in a way that can resemble a bond portfolio. In addition, capital provision income was negatively impacted by changes in duration and certain observable milestones. Turning to operating expenses, there are a couple of items to highlight. You'll see movement in the long-term incentive line, or what we call carry. That naturally tracks changes in the fair value of assets. In addition, our deferred-based compensation was impacted by the decline in our share price during the period. I want to spend a few moments explaining the $19 million charge related to case-related expenditures. These expenditures relate to a previously deployed cost that has been capitalized into the fair value of our assets. Given our ownership position, these costs could have been expensed.

Jordan Licht

Going forward, we'll continue to track the cumulative amount of expenses associated with these assets and provide continued visibility into whether they relate to active assets or concluded cases. These are all active cases when looking at the $19 million of costs, and these costs will also be treated as deployed costs when we look at our ROIC and IRR metrics. We raised $500 million of incremental debt in January and redeemed the remaining outstanding U.K. issuance. Before I say more about the capital structure, it's worth noting that the redemption did impact the income statement. More than $12 million of the $60 million of foreign exchange impact recorded in the income statement related to this redemption. Overall, GBP rates have increased modestly since when we first issued these bonds in 2017.

Jordan Licht

Historically, that rate impact was recognized below the line in other comprehensive income, or OCI. This period with the redemption, it was crystallized in the first quarter, but it's been recorded over time in OCI in the prior periods. It's also important to note that over the life of these bonds with rate movement, our GBP-denominated assets in the portfolio, as well as some of our marketable securities, have also benefited on the positive side with the pound appreciation. Overall, liquidity remains strong with $740 million of cash and marketable securities at quarter end. Let's now switch to page 43 and wrap up with a few comments on our capital structure and then turn to Q&A. A few key points to highlight. We have an unsecured laddered maturity schedule that's been deliberately constructed to support our portfolio.

Jordan Licht

As discussed, we've had no maturities due until 2028 following the proactive redemption of our 2026 maturity earlier this year. Weighted average life of our debt capital is 5.5 years compared to the weighted average life of concluded assets and active deployments of 2.6 and 3.4 years respectively. The redemption of the 2026 bonds also eliminated our remaining maintenance covenants. Our outstanding debt now consists entirely of 144A notes with incurrence covenants only. In practical terms, that means we're limited to how much additional debt we can incur at certain debt-to-equity levels, but we retain flexibility to refinance existing issuances and a variety of other flexibility under various baskets created under these debt indentures. All of that is public and available on our IR website.

Jordan Licht

The incurrence test is 2.0 times debt to equity compared to our current level of 3.5 times. While, as Chris mentioned, we intend to delever over time, we remain comfortable that a balance sheet model supported by leverage is appropriate for this asset class. We believe our current leverage is manageable given our mature and diversified portfolio. With that, I would like to turn it back to Chris for any closing remarks and then open up for Q&A.

Christopher Bogart

Thanks very much, Jordan. I think we've gone on for more than 45 minutes, and so rather than me prattle on for longer, I think it would be better for us just to go ahead and take your questions. We are, as you can tell from all 3 of us, we are excited about what lies ahead and the ability to showcase the strength of the core business to you. That's really where we're gonna be focusing on the years to come.

Operator

Thank you. We are now opening the floor for question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press Star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. That's Star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. We will pause for a brief moment to wait for the questions to come in. Your first question comes from the line of Timothy D'Agostino of B. Riley Securities. Your line is now open.

Timothy D'Agostino

Good morning, thanks for taking the questions and thanks for the opening remarks. I guess, you know, thinking forward, when you all think about approaching larger cases or, you know, unicorn cases such as YPF, given the process of YPF, how does that change your approach to those larger cases, especially ones that again are kind of in that, I guess, that unicorn bracket that, you know, are way larger than what you quantify as large cases? I know that's usually around $100 million. Thank you.

Christopher Bogart

Sure. I guess that I would divide the world into two pieces a little bit because YPF was large in the sense of its potential outcome, but it wasn't especially large in terms of what it cost us to acquire the ability to provide financing and then the financing itself. Yeah, we've got, in round numbers, $100 million invested in YPF, but that's over an 11-year period of hard-fought litigation. I don't know that I You know, I don't think that I would regard another EUR 15 million investment, which was our original disbursement in YPF. I don't think I would necessarily regard that as a, as a unicorn case, even if it came with the potential of a very high asymmetric return.

Christopher Bogart

You know, we are certainly open to doing cases like that from time to time when they present themselves. You know, the reality is, as you can see, because YPF was effectively the largest judgment in American history, there aren't that many of those cases. The other side of the bucket is when we have clients who want us to put very substantial amounts of capital to work in their cases. You know, you know, we've done transactions for clients that have exceeded $300 million in size. Those cases don't necessarily have the same kind of asymmetric returns. They may simply be, you know, strong cases that clients want to monetize. You know, our approach to them has always been the same.

Christopher Bogart

We set whatever our balance sheet risk tolerance is for the case or for the category of cases that we're pursuing. To the extent that there is client demand for more capital than that, we have tended to meet that extra client demand using sidecar vehicles. Most recently with our sovereign wealth fund partner and previously with some other private investors as well. I think that's how we would continue to look at that slice of the market.

Timothy D'Agostino

Okay, great. That's super helpful color. Then just a second one if I can ask. Over the past, you know, couple quarters, obviously it's been talked about the backlog from pre-COVID or from COVID cases. I guess as we think about going forward, could you just remind us of, you know, I guess the change in case realizations from the pre-COVID time to, you know, where we stand now? Like, how much longer is it taking on average for a case to either have a settlement, adjudicated win, adjudicated loss compared to the cases that were, you know, maybe back in 2017? Just to get a better, you know, understanding. Thank you.

Christopher Bogart

The, you know, the actual number is, you see it on slide 14. What that shows is that the concluded weighted average life has gone up a little bit. You know, it's now sitting at 2.6 years, up from 2.3 years before COVID. If you look at the bullet that I pointed to earlier, the weighted average life of the active deployed capital is now 3.4 years. Presumably that will continue to go up a little bit because we haven't, of course, resolved all of those cases. You know, even though it feels, you know, anecdotally like things are slower and taking longer, and I think there are certainly anecdotal examples of that.

Christopher Bogart

As I pointed out earlier, we've still got, you know, a decent percentage of the portfolio in pre-pandemic cases. When you actually look at the hard numbers, we've added a year or so right now to weighted average life.

Timothy D'Agostino

Okay, great. Thanks. Taking the questions today.

Christopher Bogart

Sure. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mark DeVries of Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

Mark DeVries

Thank you. First set of questions are around the $5.2 billion of kind of modeled realizations. I think you just represented the slide from February. I'm assuming the expectations would be staying there. Could you just confirm that? Also, could you discuss what kind of the assumed weighted average life is in that?

Christopher Bogart

I'm gonna defer to John and Jordan on this. I am not certain that I know the weighted average life. I don't and if I do, I'm not sure that it's something that we've said publicly. John and Jordan, do you have any comments on that?

Jordan Licht

Yeah. We don't As you know, we don't actually disclose a duration estimate associated with our cash flows.

Mark DeVries

Okay. Is there, I mean,

Christopher Bogart

It sort of goes back to what I said earlier, you know, the how much versus when dichotomy in the business. We're comfortable talking about how much, and we're pretty good at it. We're less able to do a good job on the when part.

Mark DeVries

Yeah. No, understood. Is there a reason to think it's meaningfully different than, I guess, the 3.6 years you assume in the fair value of the capital finance asset?

Christopher Bogart

Well, what we do when we model that stuff is we model a very wide range of outcomes. In every case, you're gonna have outcomes that include early settlement, later settlement, trial, appeal, and so on. What that does is it gives you actually quite a wide range of sort of scenario outputs that we then weight by probability. The reason, you know, I don't have that number to mind, to hand, and the reason that Jordan doesn't either, is because, you know, there's such variability in case type, and in throughput of where you're headed.

Christopher Bogart

Like, obviously, you know, if you have a case that's filed and then, you know, goes through class certification, which is gonna take less than a year, loses class certification and then settles, that's a very different dynamic than the case that you think is going to go. Well, let's take arbitration. The, you know, we've published the fact that ICSID says it's got a 4.4-year average, followed by 26 months of annulment if you wanna go for annulment. If you're modeling an ICSID case, if the case doesn't settle rapidly, then you've got obviously a considerably longer duration. It doesn't really work to say, I don't think that it's that helpful to say, "Yeah, portfolio-wide, here's the number," because of the degree of ease and credit variability.

Mark DeVries

Okay. Understood. Just changing tack here. You mentioned, I think in the presentation, both the ability to aggressively manage operating expenses and also to harvest cash. Could you tell me about the different levers that you have in mind?

Christopher Bogart

Sure. Jordan, do you wanna address that?

Jordan Licht

With respect to managing the operating expenses, it's something that we've been doing continuously as we monitor and, you know, the cash that goes out the door, whether that's with respect to, you know, day-to-day operating expenses or our long-term growth aspirations. I think that, you know, overall though, you know, our focus obviously, given that those numbers are not as large when you think about the potential of revenue and realizations, the focus really is on continuing to see the portfolio perform and then how we harvest cash from the existing portfolio. We don't necessarily control the cases, but that doesn't mean that we aren't extremely active partners to our clients, whether that's corporates or law firms, in thinking through opportunities in which to manage resolutions.

Jordan Licht

That's something, you know, case management is something that we have done historically and will continue to do as we go forward.

Christopher Bogart

You know, I think we've talked in the past about that even in cases where we obviously don't control settlement, the counterparty of lawyers will come to us to model the potential outcomes. Granularity on particular matters, and they can find that quite helpful and useful in figuring out what's an acceptable strategy towards settlement and to get to yes sooner.

Mark DeVries

Got it. Just one more, if I could slip it in. Sounds like, you know, kind of the dividend is at least on the table here. I think when it was raised in the last earnings call, you kinda mentioned that you've got a class of investors who kind of need some yield go to hold your shares. Have you looked into, you know, how meaningful of your shareholder base that is and what kind of pressure you would have on the stock if you did pay a dividend?

Christopher Bogart

The consultations that we've had, including with our advisors, suggest that that's not a particularly dramatic portion of our shareholder base at this point. We've, we've done You know, we've seen quite a lot of rotation in the last five years since we added the New York Stock Exchange listing. If you look now at liquidity and trading volume in the shares, you know, it's very heavily U.S.-weighted today. The, you know, the consistent feedback we've had from U.S. investors is a relatively low level of focus on the dividend.

Mark DeVries

Got it. Thank you.

Christopher Bogart

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of James Bayliss of Berenberg. Your line is now open.

James Bayliss

Hi. Morning, guys. Just in terms of quick questions from me. First one, I think earlier on the call you mentioned, forgive me if this is wrong, around 86% of cases against Argentina saw them pay out historically. Does that include international arbitration? If it doesn't, what would that be? Secondly, just with regards to the debt-to-equity ratio, it sounds like you're quite comfortable on that, but you obviously will have to pay it down over time through kind of aggressively managing your opex, et cetera. Would you also consider a sale of a bundle of cases if there was a buyer out there?

Christopher Bogart

Sure. Taking them in order, the 86% number is in fact international arbitrations. That represents. You can get decent public data on this. There have been, if memory serves, but the number's in the slide, there have been 51 international arbitrations brought against Argentina. Just so that we're clear about what we're talking about, because a lot of people think about arbitration as being simply an alternative to litigation. You know, you might have an arbitration clause in your employment arrangements or in your, you know, you've got an arbitration clause when you, when you sit down in an Uber. You can't sue Uber in court, you've got to go to arbitration. Those are commercial arbitration.

Christopher Bogart

Those are simply an alternative to litigation where you've got a dispute between two private parties and you're choosing an alternative dispute resolution mechanism. That's not what we're talking about here. What we're talking about here are arbitrations that are brought under what are called Bilateral Investment Treaties. I believe a treaty entered into between two sovereigns, in our case, one between Argentina and Spain, because Petersen is a Spanish entity, and one between Argentina and the U.S. because of Eton Park. Those treaties permit claims under what is called a public international law regime administered by the World Bank or by the UN or so on. We're talking about a special kind of arbitration that yields an award against a country that, as you heard me say, is generally satisfied.

Christopher Bogart

That's the denominator, is the 51 Bilateral Investment Treaty arbitrations brought against Argentina and 86% of those, it's reported, have had resolutions in favor of the investor. On the directory, question and sale cases, like, you know, we're fans, and I've talked about this for years, we're fans of creating, building, and being able to make use of a vibrant secondary market in litigation risk. That's how you saw us take profit off the table in YPF. You know, that still remains, I think, one of the largest secondary transactions ever done in the space. We're totally open to it.

Christopher Bogart

The challenge is whether the market is there and pricing, because we haven't seen the secondary market move to the kind of efficiency that you see in, let's say, private equity secondaries, you know, where investors are still here, in my view, regularly trying to overprice secondary capital for those transactions. We're certainly open to it, but it's not as fluid as one might wish. It's an area that we continue to devote time and effort to.

Speaker 9

Got it. Thank you very much.

Christopher Bogart

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Hal Parr of Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Speaker 9

Hi, gents. Thanks for taking my questions. Just two from me. On your managing of operating expenses, you called out potentially some early retirements. My question really is about to what extent are you concerned about key person risk and the potential knock-on impact on the rest of the business going forward? Then my other question is just about the shape in terms of that doubling of the portfolio aspiration. You won't give, you know, specifics on timing, but if we're thinking that there's no more leverage to fund it, at least in the short term, is there a kind of kink upwards that you're expecting on that multi-year view? Thanks.

Christopher Bogart

Sure. On the people point, no, and quite the contrary, actually. We've talked for a while about the bench that we've been able to build at Burford. We're really, really, really thrilled with the quality of the team and with the next generation of people coming along. You know, while it's always sad to say goodbye to people that you've worked with for a long time, you know, Craig Arnott has been at Burford for a decade, but he and I actually started working together all the way back, believe it or not, in 1995, when we practiced law together. It's always sad when that happens, but at the same time, it opens the door to our next generation really coming along and moving up.

Christopher Bogart

I'm actually quite excited by the prospect. In terms of doubling the portfolio, you know, I think if you look at the new business numbers that we highlighted today, to be honest, while it sounds like a lofty goal to double the portfolio, to double the size of the business, it's actually not that lofty to do over the course of 5 or 6 years. We have been producing CAGRs that are well in excess of what we would need to produce to just be able to meet that goal. I think that is frankly a largely a business as usual undertaking, while obviously continuing to pay attention to the market dynamics.

Speaker 9

Great. Thanks very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Shelley of Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Ryan Shelley

Hey, guys. Thanks for the color, and appreciate the longer call today. My first question's around the kind of the cadence of commitments. Are you able to provide any color on how you can time those commitments and on when you need to fund them? Just as we think about operating expense going forward here, given where the commitments sit today. Thanks.

Christopher Bogart

Yeah. I think, let's break that into two pieces. My suspicion is that you're probably talking about the definitive commitments that we've identified.

Ryan Shelley

Yeah.

Christopher Bogart

So those are commitments to existing cases that we expect to finance over time, and those have been pretty consistent. You know, again, back to the conveyor belt, you know, you have a pretty good sense when you start the case of the rhythm that it's gonna follow and when the spend is gonna go out. You know, litigation spend comes in peaks and valleys depending on what's going on in a case, but there is certainly a relatively large component of the spend that comes towards the end as you prepare for and go to trial. And if you look across history, we've published those numbers for years, you know, you don't see a massive percentage of that number going out in any given year. You know, I want to say numbers in the 20%. Give or take.

Christopher Bogart

That's sort of what it looks like. The, the other piece of commitments is of course, new business that we do. That new business, as John pointed out earlier, is entirely within our control. We can do lots of it, we can do none of it, depending on what we think at any point are risk tolerance and our cash position and liquidity is.

Jonathan Molot

I would only add to that we have relationships with some firms where the pace at which the $ go out is actually built into it. The firms, instead of billing by the hour, will bill us by the month or by stage of case, and if the stage gets delayed, then they'll postpone the monthly billing. Or for those who are billing by the hour, there'll still be caps on stages to make sure that you don't use up the budget too quickly. Conversely, we will, when it comes to our returns, have a component built into those returns that is IRR based or multiple based, so that to the extent you're putting out money, your potential returns go up as well.

Ryan Shelley

Got it. Thanks. Very helpful. One more quick if I could. In the presentation, you mentioned the possibility around repurchasing some of the bonds in the open market. Can you talk about, you know, what you would need to be in order to go out and do that? Is that something you'd be considering today, or are there any hurdles before you'd be, you know, consider doing that?

Christopher Bogart

Jordan, you want to take that?

Jordan Licht

Sure. Look, we've always been active in managing our maturities and purchasing bonds in the open market. If you look at the two last U.K. issuances, we spent some of our cash in advance of redeeming those bonds when we saw attractive pricing. I think that it's something that we are constantly looking at relative to the pricing that we see, the cash on balance sheet, the forward look of our cash and expenditures, and then how the maturities are playing out. I guess it's a dynamic view that we continually have compared to, you know, our growth and et cetera. I don't think there's a hard and fast rule, but it's a tool that we've used, you know, over the last several years that I've been here.

Ryan Shelley

Got it. Thanks again.

Josh Wood

Okay, this is Josh. I'm gonna jump in really quick. I think we have just a few minutes to take a few questions from the webcast. The first one is given the current YPF outcome, what would you do differently in terms of valuing such a large potential outcome? Is there a case for a more conservative valuation or a cap on potential value to reduce the impact on share price volatility from unfavorable outcomes?

Christopher Bogart

Well, what I would do is look at the cash and not the accounting. Given that people want to look at the accounting, there's not much you can do. You know, we fair value our assets. We engaged in a market transaction with the YPF assets that set a, you know, a clear, you know, market valuation mark that was very high. The, you know, the accounting rules leave you no choice but to take the asset onto your books at that point at a value that's implied by the market transaction. The other valuation rules, including, you know, writing assets up over time based on the passage of time and so on, you know, come in and do their own work.

Christopher Bogart

No, I don't think there's anything you can do differently about that. I do think that at, you know, if you examine the value of the YPF asset at various points in time, I think it did accurately reflect what the fair value, what the market value of the asset was. The, you know, the simple fact of the matter is, if you were going to do a probabilistic analysis walking into the Second Circuit, you know, you would have said that your odds of reversal were in the, in the single digits. You know Judge Loretta Preska's reversal rate was 4%. The whole Southern District reversal rate is 6%. The market wasn't irrational in how it was valuing the asset. It was just a, you know, a low probability, high impact event that occurred.

Josh Wood

Okay. Second webcast question. Your slide 19 shows accelerating legal costs, which you say drives companies towards litigation finance. We're paying these increased costs, so unless we're increasing pricing, doesn't this reduce margins?

Christopher Bogart

John, do you want to take that?

Jonathan Molot

Yeah, yeah, I'm happy to take that. I sort of alluded to it in answering the prior question. I went beyond the question, I guess, and started to answer this, which is, we virtually always have a component in our pricing that is a multiple on or an IRR on the money we put out. There'll be a component as well where it's a percentage of the net beyond that. We're very mindful of it, and in particular with high-priced big ticket litigation where we are concerned about the spend.

Jonathan Molot

We not only work very hard with the lawyers and client to come up with budgets that we can predict and that we can hold the lawyers to. We also build it in so that the more the lawyers spend, the larger our profit, which means that we and the client have a strong incentive to monitor the costs and make sure that the lawyers aren't overspending. You know, I'd say that basically the litigation does get more expensive as billing rates go up, and that is a reason why there's greater demand for our capital. But we are able to deal with that additional cost by making more capital. As the question says, it does become inherently more expensive. Every $1 a lawyer spends is gonna mean a profit to us as well as the lawyers' built-in profit.

Josh Wood

Okay, we'll do one last webcast question. Will deleveraging activities hurt your long-term growth? If YPF had not been written down, could you have taken on more cases than you now will?

Christopher Bogart

I hope I think and hope the answer to that is no. As I said earlier, we had decided some months ago that we were not going to continue to close new business funding gaps with leverage. We made that decision long before the YPF decision. You know, we put it out in a release a while ago, in fact.

Christopher Bogart

The reason for that is basically that we thought that the portfolio was large enough and the cash generation ability of the portfolio was substantial enough that we didn't need to give people the easy out anymore of just saying, "Oh, well, let's just go and take out some more debt because we've got this deal that we wanna do." We believe that we're at the size and stage where we don't need to do that, where we should be able organically to fund the growth that we want to do. Now, as I noted, you know, there's always the risk of some timing mismatch there, because the incoming cash, you know, isn't the most predictable thing in the world.

Christopher Bogart

That's really the only area of risk that we hit there, I think. Otherwise, I think that the plan should work itself out.

Jonathan Molot

I might add to that just an observation. In the same way that we said before that the high price of litigation is what creates demand structurally for our capital from the clients who would otherwise pay those costs and who end up not only having to pay them, but pay our returns on them in the end, but out of recoveries. Also the structure that the question implies that basically, you know, in Christopher's response, there is a lag time between putting the money out and getting it in, although a relatively predictable lag time across the whole book, meaning, you know, our weighted average life hasn't changed dramatically, even if COVID slowed it down.

Jonathan Molot

It does sort of explain the moats that we've historically described around our business, that it's very hard to start up a business like the one we've built because to start it up, you have to raise capital, you have to deploy capital and have relationships and the underwriting team to be able to do it. Generally, to keep the machine going, you have to raise more capital before the money comes back. That's why over the years, we've seen entrants raising too and spending capital, and when they go to raise a second fund, they've had a hard time keeping up because they don't yet have the performance or the cash back for investors to reinvest.

Jonathan Molot

As Chris said, we've gotten to a size and scale where we can use the money coming in from prior cases to fund the new commitments. That's really a pretty privileged position to be in. That has nothing to do with YPF. In fact, it highlights the competitive advantage we have.

Operator

Thank you so much. I'd now like to hand the call back to Christopher Bogart for closing remarks.

Christopher Bogart

Thanks very much. We really appreciate your time. We ran well over time, I know. To the extent that we did not get to your question, we have a call coming up for retail shareholders where we're happy to take a whole lot more of your questions, and details about that will be forthcoming. There are also lots of opportunities to engage with us, both at investor conferences that are coming up and in one-on-one format. We know this has been a shocking and disappointing time for the last few months.

Christopher Bogart

You know, it's time for us to turn the corner and to really now not have my investor meetings start with YPF, and instead for us to be able to show you just how potent the core business is and how much cash we think that it's capable of generating from the portfolio that we have been building a little bit out of sight and out of mind, of the market for the last, for the last half dozen years. We're very excited about what that has to offer, and we're excited to be sharing it with you as we go forward down the road here. Thanks to you all.

Operator

Thank you for attending today's session. You may now disconnect. Goodbye.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06

Marex Group PLC (MRX) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates

Zacks
Marex Group PLC (MRX) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.48 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.4 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.91 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +5.71%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $1.02 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.13, delivering a surprise of +10.78%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Marex Group PLC, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $692.3 million for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.77%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $467.3 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Marex Group PLC shares have added about 38.7% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 6%. While Marex Group PLC has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Marex Group PLC was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's…Read full document

Marex Group PLC (MRX) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.48 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.4 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.91 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +5.71%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $1.02 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.13, delivering a surprise of +10.78%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Marex Group PLC, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, posted revenues of $692.3 million for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.77%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $467.3 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Marex Group PLC shares have added about 38.7% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 6%. While Marex Group PLC has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Marex Group PLC was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.16 on $570 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $5.14 on $2.33 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial - Miscellaneous Services is currently in the top 35% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. Burford Capital Limited (BUR), another stock in the same industry, has yet to report results for the quarter ended March 2026. The results are expected to be released on May 8. This company is expected to post quarterly loss of $1.90 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -1457.1%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.9% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. Burford Capital Limited's revenues are expected to be $124.6 million, up 4.8% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Marex Group PLC (MRX) : Free Stock Analysis Report Burford Capital Limited (BUR) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

As of 2026-08-08 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook