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BSP

Bending SpoonsD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 adjusted operating income reached $381 million on $704 million of revenue, and management forecast 2026 revenue of $2.78–$2.82 billion for the portfolio owned as of August 12. Successful Airtable integration and Miro closing could expand the earnings base.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -16.6.
What can break
Acquisition-driven growth may mask weak organic demand; Q2 organic revenue growth was 3%. [SEC-filed earnings release](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2004711/000200471126000011/bsp_ex99-1.htm)
Momentum
4
Value
49
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-09-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $48.25
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d -22.1
Value49 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -16.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -16.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition-driven growth may mask weak organic demand; Q2 organic revenue growth was 3%. [SEC-filed earnings release](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2004711/000200471126000011/bsp_ex99-1.htm)
  • • Miro may close later than Q4 2026 or fail to close because required approvals or other conditions are unmet. [SEC filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2004711/000200471126000015/bsp-20260910x6k.htm)
  • • Only 3% Q2 organic revenue growth accompanied the acquisition-led revenue increase.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Miro acquisition closing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-22.1
Δ21d
-87.6
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-16.6
Δ21d
-15.0
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 4.4 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 55.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-09-28
Market Cap
$21.32B
Beta
-
Shares Out
635.22M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-167800.0
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+126.3%
EPS YoY
+171.1%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
$2.08B
Current Ratio
0.64
As of 2026-09-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data