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BRO

Brown BrownB
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Reported revenue and adjusted EBITDAC growth remained strong, adjusted EPS increased year over year, and management described momentum entering the back half. Successful integration and renewed organic growth could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.
What can break
Contingent commissions and underwriting-linked revenue may be volatile.
Momentum
53
Value
49
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $76.00 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $64.00Analysis 2026-07-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $76.69
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d -8.3
Value49 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +7.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Contingent commissions and underwriting-linked revenue may be volatile.
  • • Margin compression from acquisition amortization, integration costs, compensation, and interest expense.
  • • Organic revenue declined 0.7%, adjusted EBITDAC margin compressed 100 basis points year over year, and secondary coverage indicated slight revenue and adjusted-EPS misses versus consensus.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-27

Q2 earnings showed acquisition-led growth with weak underlying organic momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.3
Δ21d
-3.3
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.3
Δ21d
+12.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 52.8 / Value 48.9 / Sentiment 73.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$84.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$23.04B
Beta
0.79
Shares Out
334.61M
P/E (TTM)
24.0
P/S (TTM)
4.98
P/FCF (TTM)
24.38
Rev YoY
+30.4%
EPS YoY
+7.3%
Gross Margin
+92.6%
Op Margin
+29.5%
Net Debt
$6.84B
Current Ratio
1.13
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data