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BRO

Brown BrownC
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Retail's 2.6% Q3 organic growth and acquisition-supported reported revenue growth could stabilize earnings if specialty pricing pressure eases. The 10-Q identifies new business and renewals as Retail drivers.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Acquisition integration and financing remain execution risks; the company's release warns that anticipated Accession benefits may not materialize as expected. Company release
Momentum
66
Value
50
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $72.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-10-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $74.39
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d +29.9
Value50 · Δ7d +0.9
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -4.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration and financing remain execution risks; the company's release warns that anticipated Accession benefits may not materialize as expected. Company release
  • • Adjusted EBITDAC margin declined to 34.6% from 36.6%, limiting comfort from 7.4% reported revenue growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-26] Company release
  • • The modest revenue and adjusted-EPS misses, 1.2% companywide organic growth and 200-basis-point adjusted-margin contraction weaken the near-term case.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27

Q3 earnings miss and immediate repricing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
66
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+29.9
Δ21d
+40.9
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
-31.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 65.5 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 59.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$22.41B
Beta
0.79
Shares Out
334.61M
P/E (TTM)
24.0
P/S (TTM)
4.98
P/FCF (TTM)
24.38
Rev YoY
+30.4%
EPS YoY
+7.3%
Gross Margin
+92.6%
Op Margin
+29.5%
Net Debt
$6.84B
Current Ratio
1.13
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data