B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BOX
BoxDNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Box beat Q1 on revenue, billings, operating margin, and net retention, and management pointed to Enterprise Advanced and Box AI as the drivers of accelerating revenue growth. The full-year revenue guide was raised to $1.28B, and the business still screens as undervalued versus the packet's median analyst target of $34.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.6.
What can break
Analyst follow-through appears selective rather than broad-based, so multiple expansion may stall without more obvious estimate upgrades.
Momentum
76
Value
57
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $26.50 · Bull $34.00 · Bear $21.50Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $38.71
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d +7.4
Value57 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d +6.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst follow-through appears selective rather than broad-based, so multiple expansion may stall without more obvious estimate upgrades.
- • Enterprise Advanced and Box AI still need to show sustained conversion into billings and RPO; otherwise the AI narrative can outrun the fundamentals.
- • The market likely focused on the fact that FY27 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $1.56 was only slightly ahead of the Street bar rather than a clear breakout, while FX remains a meaningful drag.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-26
Q1 FY27 beat/raise on revenue, billings, margin, and RPO
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.4
Δ21d
-13.4
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
35
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.6
Δ21d
-3.5
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 76.2 / Value 57.2 / Sentiment 35.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$26.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$21.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.47B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
138.53M
P/E (TTM)
23.0
P/S (TTM)
3.55
P/FCF (TTM)
13.93
Rev YoY
+10.7%
EPS YoY
+261.7%
Gross Margin
+79.6%
Op Margin
+8.7%
Net Debt
$48.36M
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data