B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BOF
BranchOut FoodDNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is that the incremental April financing is tied to a real customer order rather than general survival funding, and that Peru/GentleDry capacity can translate into repeat orders, broader distribution, and better gross-profit absorption over the next several quarters [#8-K-2026-04-17][#10-K-2026-03-31].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
A substantial portion of net sales is derived from a limited number of customers, increasing concentration risk [#10-K-2026-03-31].
Momentum
91
Value
33
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.60 · Bull $5.80 · Bear $1.80Analysis 2026-04-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.00
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d -
Value33 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A substantial portion of net sales is derived from a limited number of customers, increasing concentration risk [#10-K-2026-03-31].
- • Going-concern language in the 2025 10-K raises financing and counterparty risk [#10-K-2026-03-31].
- • The bear case is that BOF is still a thinly covered micro-cap with going-concern language, secured borrowing against substantially all assets, customer concentration, and execution risk around a high-cost June order, so a single stumble can force more dilutive or restrictive financing [#8-K-2026-04-17][#10-K-2026-03-31].
Catalyst clock
2026-06-30
June strawberry order conversion is the clearest near-term proof point
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
91
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
33
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 91.4 / Value 32.7 / Sentiment 54.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$3.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$61.42M
Beta
-
Shares Out
15.32M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-7.0
P/S (TTM)
3.76
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-6.18
Rev YoY
+36.1%
EPS YoY
+7.7%
Gross Margin
+9.6%
Op Margin
-49.8%
Net Debt
$5.98M
Current Ratio
1.03
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data