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BLK

BlackRockB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 adjusted-EPS beat, broad inflows, 11% annualized organic base-fee growth and 47.8% adjusted margin support a constructive earnings-power view. Post-print target increases included Morgan Stanley to $1,531 from $1,468 on October 16 and Goldman Sachs to $1,449 from $1,346 on October 15; these are analyst opinions, not company guidance.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
A reversal in market levels or client flows would pressure AUM-linked fees despite strong Q3 inflows. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-14]
Momentum
78
Value
50
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $1,200.00 · Bull $1,375.00 · Bear $1,000.00Analysis 2026-10-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $1,367.94
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d -0.7
Value50 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +10.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A reversal in market levels or client flows would pressure AUM-linked fees despite strong Q3 inflows. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-14]
  • • Integration and monetization of acquired private-markets businesses remain execution risks; reported fundraising is not the same as recurring profit conversion. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-14]
  • • Market appreciation, performance-fee mix and acquisition-related costs could make Q3 profitability less repeatable; low-fee index competition and private-markets execution remain risks.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-14

Post-Q3 earnings repricing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+11.6
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.0
Δ21d
-27.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 77.5 / Value 49.9 / Sentiment 60.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1,375.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1,200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1,000.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$183.22B
Beta
1.48
Shares Out
162.48M
P/E (TTM)
29.1
P/S (TTM)
7.59
P/FCF (TTM)
269.35
Rev YoY
+22.4%
EPS YoY
+14.0%
Gross Margin
+76.8%
Op Margin
+33.9%
Net Debt
$3.53B
Current Ratio
4.46
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data