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BLK

BlackRockA
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
BlackRock sustains above-consensus passive inflows, expands iShares share, and delivers margin expansion from scale and mix; multiple expansion toward historical highs driven by recurring fee growth and steady share buybacks.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
ETF flow volatility and sudden outflows
Momentum
59
Value
59
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $1,320.00 · Bull $1,550.00 · Bear $1,010.00Analysis 2026-02-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $1,328.38
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -10.8
Value59 · Δ7d +9.3
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +7.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ETF flow volatility and sudden outflows
  • • Market valuation compression reducing AUM-linked fees
  • • ETF flow volatility and regulatory or fee compression reduce AUM growth and margins; active outflows or a sustained market drawdown could push multiples sharply lower and materially reduce EPS visibility.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-02

Q1 2026 results and client flow update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
59
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.8
Δ21d
-21.0
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.3
Δ21d
+9.4
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.9
Δ21d
+9.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 58.6 / Value 59.2 / Sentiment 80.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1,550.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$1,320.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1,010.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$186.38B
Beta
1.48
Shares Out
162.48M
P/E (TTM)
29.1
P/S (TTM)
7.59
P/FCF (TTM)
269.35
Rev YoY
+22.4%
EPS YoY
+14.0%
Gross Margin
+76.8%
Op Margin
+33.9%
Net Debt
$3.53B
Current Ratio
4.46
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data