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BJRI

BJ's RestaurantsD
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Execution drives above-consensus comps and margin expansion; analysts lift targets (e.g., $50 by Jefferies) and multiple expands toward the high end of the range [#SERP-2].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
What can break
Analyst downgrades and negative revisions
Momentum
58
Value
53
Sentiment
27
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $41.09 · Bull $54.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-02-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $75.43
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d -15.0
Value53 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment27 · Δ7d +4.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst downgrades and negative revisions
  • • Execution risk on unit growth/expansion
  • • Traffic softness, protracted cost inflation, or a guidance miss drives consensus toward the low $30s and compresses multiples, prompting downgrades [#SERP-5].

Catalyst clock

2026-02-20

Quarterly earnings release

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
58
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.0
Δ21d
-19.2
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
27
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
+4.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 58.4 / Value 53.1 / Sentiment 26.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$41.09
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.2B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
21.27M
P/E (TTM)
31.1
P/S (TTM)
0.63
P/FCF (TTM)
17.85
Rev YoY
+6.4%
EPS YoY
-11.3%
Gross Margin
+9.7%
Op Margin
+3.0%
Net Debt
$466.98M
Current Ratio
0.29
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data