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BILI

Bilibili Class ZA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Advertising growth, engagement and operating leverage could sustain profit expansion. Management reported 16 consecutive quarters of gross-margin improvement and described AI-enabled creator tools and recommendation efficiency, but did not quantify their financial contribution.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.7.
What can break
China platform, content and ADR-related regulatory or market risks are not quantified in the supplied evidence.
Momentum
16
Value
58
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.30 · Bull $20.00 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-09-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.67
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d -1.0
Value58 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +2.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • China platform, content and ADR-related regulatory or market risks are not quantified in the supplied evidence.
  • • Mobile-games revenue fell 14% year over year as a prior-year title moved into a mature life cycle. [#PR-2026-08-27]
  • • Games revenue declined 14% year over year while R&D expense rose 16%; weaker advertising demand or higher infrastructure costs could interrupt margin gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Margin durability against games weakness and higher R&D

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
74
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
-2.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 16.1 / Value 57.6 / Sentiment 74.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$16.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$5.65B
Beta
2.67
Shares Out
339.03M
P/E (TTM)
108.9
P/S (TTM)
2.07
P/FCF (TTM)
14.46
Rev YoY
+12.1%
EPS YoY
-2506.7%
Gross Margin
+36.8%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
-$2.06B
Current Ratio
1.35
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data