B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BHRB
Burke Herbert Financial ServicesBNasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The LINKBANCORP combination expands scale and geographic reach, while reported Q2 adjusted profitability, 4.15% net interest margin, strong liquidity, and capital ratios support a recovery case if integration benefits persist.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.7.
What can break
Insider Form 4 activity primarily reflects option exercises and tax withholding, not discretionary operating or investment signals.
Momentum
54
Value
64
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $74.75 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $61.00Analysis 2026-07-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-16 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-16
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-16
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-16. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $80.00
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d +8.4
Value64 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -4.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Insider Form 4 activity primarily reflects option exercises and tax withholding, not discretionary operating or investment signals.
- • Integration execution, deposit retention, funding costs, net interest margin, and credit quality could weaken the expected merger benefits.
- • The Q2 adjusted EPS and revenue misses, low GAAP returns after merger effects, and the lack of available post-print analyst revisions leave near-term expectations vulnerable.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-25
Dividend record and payment dates
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
54
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
+5.3
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.7
Δ21d
-3.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 54.0 / Value 63.8 / Sentiment 62.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$74.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$61.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.46B
Beta
-
Shares Out
20.19M
P/E (TTM)
8.8
P/S (TTM)
2.77
P/FCF (TTM)
11.55
Rev YoY
+20.9%
EPS YoY
-74.7%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+23.8%
Net Debt
$502.87M
Current Ratio
0.04
As of 2026-09-16 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data