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BHR

Braemar Hotels ResortsA
NYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
$1.65+$0.02 (+1.23%)
At close · 2026-11-11
View Chart
Current thesis
The Scottsdale closing and Lake Tahoe refinancing reduce two execution risks. Q3 comparable RevPAR and hotel EBITDA grew despite a smaller portfolio, and the company reaffirmed its 2027 pro forma outlook [#SEC-8K-2026-11-04] (Q3 release); [#8-K-2026-11-05] (investor presentation).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
At September 30, all $624 million of loans were effectively floating rate, and redeemable preferred-stock redemptions payable totaled $63.5 million [#SEC-8K-2026-11-04] (Q3 release).
Momentum
77
Value
65
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.70 · Bull $2.15 · Bear $1.05Analysis 2026-11-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-11 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-11-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.50
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -
Value65 · Δ7d -
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • At September 30, all $624 million of loans were effectively floating rate, and redeemable preferred-stock redemptions payable totaled $63.5 million [#SEC-8K-2026-11-04] (Q3 release).
  • • Q3 adjusted FFO was negative $0.25 per share despite stronger comparable hotel metrics [#SEC-8K-2026-11-04] (Q3 release).
  • • Q3 adjusted FFO fell to a $0.25-per-share loss from a $0.19 loss, while the $480 million advisor termination fee drove a large common-stockholder loss.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Complete the self-management transition

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
77
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
65
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
55
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 77.4 / Value 64.6 / Sentiment 55.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-11-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-11
Market Cap
$113.32M
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
68.68M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.5
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.93
Rev YoY
-4.5%
EPS YoY
-95.6%
Gross Margin
+13.5%
Op Margin
+6.1%
Net Debt
$987.54M
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-11-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data