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BGDE

Big Digital EnergyF
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary sources support a real governance reset and a live strategic review. The March 31, 2026 10-K showed $13.3 million of cash, energy management revenue rising to $11.8 million in 2025, and the April 6, 2026 company update highlighted 129 MW online capacity.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Customer concentration is high because the 10-K says the company currently has one colocation services customer contract [#10K-2026-03-31].
Momentum
98
Value
35
Sentiment
19
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.00 · Bull $7.50 · Bear $1.50Analysis 2026-05-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d -
Value35 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment19 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Customer concentration is high because the 10-K says the company currently has one colocation services customer contract [#10K-2026-03-31].
  • • Execution risk on the AI/HPC and strategic-alternatives narrative is high because disclosures show intent and capacity, but not yet a clearly scaled signed demand inflection [#PR-2026-03-16] [#PR-2026-04-06].
  • • The same primary sources keep this squarely in monitoring mode.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

BGDE rebrand may create temporary trading attention

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
35
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
19
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 98.2 / Value 35.1 / Sentiment 18.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$4.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$1.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$39.65M
Beta
4.59
Shares Out
5.66M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.3
P/S (TTM)
0.10
P/FCF (TTM)
3.28
Rev YoY
-35.5%
EPS YoY
-83.3%
Gross Margin
+19.0%
Op Margin
-96.4%
Net Debt
$15.21M
Current Ratio
0.70
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data