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BFAM

Bright Horizons Family SolutionsB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Back-up Care growth, sustained employer-sponsored demand, and improving operating efficiency could support earnings growth and upside toward the reported median analyst target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Analyst revisions, consensus surprise data, and post-earnings market reaction are unavailable.
Momentum
57
Value
56
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $71.80 · Bull $89.40 · Bear $68.20Analysis 2026-08-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $86.78
Why
Momentum57 · Δ7d +12.7
Value56 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -2.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, consensus surprise data, and post-earnings market reaction are unavailable.
  • • Center impairments and further closures could pressure operating income.
  • • GAAP earnings pressure, center impairments, closures, higher interest and tax costs, and the deterministic negative return prior argue for caution.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Q2 2026 earnings and guidance update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
57
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.7
Δ21d
+27.3
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
-24.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 57.1 / Value 56.0 / Sentiment 59.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$89.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$71.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$68.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.47B
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
48.64M
P/E (TTM)
29.6
P/S (TTM)
2.02
P/FCF (TTM)
25.03
Rev YoY
+6.5%
EPS YoY
-17.3%
Gross Margin
+23.7%
Op Margin
+10.9%
Net Debt
$1.6B
Current Ratio
0.48
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data