B+
Bull case
18%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BBW
Build-A-Bear WorkshopBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
47%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-19
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-21.1
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-21.1
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+91.3
Score
AI commentary
Confidence is limited because the checked company sources do not show a verified May 18, 2026 earnings release; the latest confirmed earnings item is the March 12 fiscal 2025 results release, and the official company notice points to a May 28, 2026 Q1 fiscal 2026 call. The March print was mixed: headline growth and cash returns were strong, but tariffs, SG&A, and softer e-commerce pressure remain the key watch items. One visible analyst revision cut the price target to $60 after the print, while the shares still surged about 13.6% on the day, suggesting investors focused on the cash-return/growth story more than the EPS miss. As of May 19, 2026 the stock is $37.48 versus the $34.88 anchor, but without a fresh print the move looks more like pre-event positioning than true post-earnings digestion.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-19
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-03-12catalystMarch 12 FY25 print was solid on revenue but mixed on margins and successionMedium impact
The company reported record FY25 revenue of $529.8m and FY EPS of $3.99, but Q4 pre-tax income fell on about $6m of tariff and related costs, higher SG&A, and weaker e-commerce demand; the same-day CEO succession announcement keeps execution risk in focus. [#IR-2026-03-12] [#8-K-2026-03-12]
2026-03-16catalystWalmart wholesale debut expands distributionMedium impact
Build-A-Bear launched its first-ever wholesale partnership with Walmart, putting Mini Beans, Micro Mini Beans, and Bluey into 1,500+ stores and creating a new awareness and sell-through channel beyond stores and web. [#IR-2026-03-16]
2026-05-28eventQ1 fiscal 2026 results call on May 28 is the next hard catalystMedium impact
The official company announcement sets a May 28, 2026 investor call for Q1 fiscal 2026 results, so the market still has a near-term event that can reset margin and guide expectations. [#PR-2026-05-14]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-19 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology