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BBW

Build-A-Bear WorkshopB
NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record FY25 revenue and EPS, the dividend increase, and the Walmart wholesale launch all support the idea that the brand still has room to compound if tariff pressure stays manageable and the next quarter confirms stable demand.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
E-commerce demand weakness may offset store and wholesale gains if traffic softens.
Momentum
17
Value
64
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $48.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-05-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $43.00
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -35.3
Value64 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +6.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • E-commerce demand weakness may offset store and wholesale gains if traffic softens.
  • • Low analyst coverage makes the stock vulnerable to sharp re-pricing on small surprises.
  • • The last print already flagged tariff-related cost pressure, higher SG&A, and softer e-commerce demand; if those trends persist through the May 28 update, the market could treat the low-teens growth narrative as fragile.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-12

March 12 FY25 print was solid on revenue but mixed on margins and succession

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-35.3
Δ21d
-30.7
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.5
Δ21d
+35.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 16.7 / Value 63.6 / Sentiment 69.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
18%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
47%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$478.81M
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
12.54M
P/E (TTM)
14.5
P/S (TTM)
1.55
P/FCF (TTM)
31.67
Rev YoY
-2.4%
EPS YoY
+24.2%
Gross Margin
+57.4%
Op Margin
+13.4%
Net Debt
$100.54M
Current Ratio
1.53
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data