B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BBW
Build-A-Bear WorkshopBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The $25.64 anchor could prove undemanding if planned openings perform and retail sales stabilize. The company reported no revolver borrowings at quarter-end and returned $22.7 million to shareholders in the first half.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Cash fell to $14.0 million from $39.1 million a year earlier, primarily amid repurchases and capital-spending timing, despite no revolver borrowings at quarter-end. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27]
Momentum
12
Value
68
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $27.00 · Bull $34.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-10-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $45.00
Why
Momentum12 · Δ7d -0.9
Value68 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +6.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cash fell to $14.0 million from $39.1 million a year earlier, primarily amid repurchases and capital-spending timing, despite no revolver borrowings at quarter-end. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27]
- • Promotions and occupancy-cost deleverage pressured second-quarter gross margin; tariffs and labor costs remain outlook sensitivities. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27]
- • Second-quarter revenue declined 7.2%, e-commerce demand declined 15.6%, and pre-tax margin fell 220 basis points.
Catalyst clock
2027-01-05
Test of reduced fiscal-2026 outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
12
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
+5.1
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.6
Δ21d
-32.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 12.0 / Value 67.7 / Sentiment 59.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$293.08M
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
12.32M
P/E (TTM)
14.5
P/S (TTM)
1.55
P/FCF (TTM)
31.67
Rev YoY
-2.4%
EPS YoY
+24.2%
Gross Margin
+57.4%
Op Margin
+13.4%
Net Debt
$100.54M
Current Ratio
1.53
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data