RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

BBVA

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya ArgentariaC
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Assumes NII uplift, contained credit costs, and resumed capital returns; upside is modest and capped near the analyst high of 28.73 given the tight consensus band.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Adverse FX or geopolitical shocks affecting key markets
Momentum
81
Value
53
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $25.58 · Bull $28.73 · Bear $19.97Analysis 2026-02-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $27.92
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d -1.1
Value53 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +2.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse FX or geopolitical shocks affecting key markets
  • • Earnings miss or weak guidance on 2026-02-05
  • • Assumes macro slowdown or LatAm/FX shocks raising provisions and constraining distributions, compressing multiples toward the analyst low of 19.97.

Catalyst clock

2026-02-05

FY2025 earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-3.2
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
+0.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 80.5 / Value 53.3 / Sentiment 53.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.73
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$25.58
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$19.97
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$160.12B
Beta
1.54
Shares Out
5.5B
P/E (TTM)
11.9
P/S (TTM)
2.48
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
1.29
Rev YoY
+25.0%
EPS YoY
+11.6%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+31.3%
Net Debt
$151.04B
Current Ratio
0.28
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data