B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BBGI
Beasley Broadcast GroupDNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The constructive read is that the May 1 liability-management deal materially reduced second-lien principal and added a $35 million ABL, which lowers immediate refinancing pressure ahead of the real Q1 print on May 13, 2026 [#8-K-2026-05-01].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Core radio demand remains weak: FY2025 net revenue fell to $205.9 million from $240.3 million and management cited persistent weakness in traditional agency advertising [#10-K-2026-04-08].
Momentum
100
Value
35
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.00 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $7.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.00
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d -
Value35 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Core radio demand remains weak: FY2025 net revenue fell to $205.9 million from $240.3 million and management cited persistent weakness in traditional agency advertising [#10-K-2026-04-08].
- • Going-concern and impairment signals remain severe after the 2025 results, including a $224.8 million FCC license impairment and a reported stockholders’ deficit [#10-K-2026-04-08] [#8-K-2026-04-14].
- • The bearish read is that the balance sheet is still fragile: Nasdaq compliance is unresolved, the new notes can become highly dilutive in a downside path, and there is still no fresh Q1 operating evidence or post-print analyst revision set because results have not yet been released [#8-K-2026-04-14] [#PR-2026-05-07].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-13
Q1 2026 results are scheduled for May 13, 2026, so this run is still pre-earnings
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
100
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
35
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-6.8
Sentiment
44
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 99.8 / Value 34.7 / Sentiment 44.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$41.39M
Beta
0.33
Shares Out
2.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.2
P/S (TTM)
0.04
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.33
Rev YoY
-16.7%
EPS YoY
-53597.9%
Gross Margin
+3.5%
Op Margin
-4.8%
Net Debt
$260.75M
Current Ratio
1.23
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data