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BB

BlackBerryF
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
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Current thesis
Bull: Continued ARR growth and margins re-rate as BlackBerry's software and cybersecurity segments achieve the FY27 revenue guide midpoint or better, validating the turnaround and supporting a re-acceleration in multiple towards peers (price toward $6.00).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
ARR/renewal shortfall or lost Enterprise deals
Momentum
64
Value
49
Sentiment
3
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.75 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $3.25Analysis 2026-04-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.92
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d -22.1
Value49 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment3 · Δ7d -5.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ARR/renewal shortfall or lost Enterprise deals
  • • Guidance disappointment versus FY27 revenue band
  • • Bear: Execution slips on enterprise sales cycle renewals or margin pressure from continued legacy costs; guidance truncation or ARR weakness drives multiple compression toward sub-$3.50 levels.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-09

Market reaction to FY2027 revenue guidance disclosed in Q4/FY2026 results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
64
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-22.1
Δ21d
-31.3
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
3
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
+1.4
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 64.0 / Value 48.5 / Sentiment 3.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$4.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$3.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$5.4B
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
587.03M
P/E (TTM)
108.4
P/S (TTM)
4.26
P/FCF (TTM)
61.03
Rev YoY
+25.6%
EPS YoY
+346.9%
Gross Margin
+75.4%
Op Margin
+13.2%
Net Debt
-$135.1M
Current Ratio
2.20
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data