B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
+40.4% vs current
BA
BoeingCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$256.00
+14.1% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
-30.9% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-22
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+62.8
Score
AI commentary
Market sentiment is mixed: recent PRs and the Alaska order improved revenue visibility and headline backlog [#PR-Alaska], while the FAA AD and related coverage heightened delivery and quality concerns [#FAA-AD][#Reuters-2026-01-18]. Analysts' median targets sit close to the current price, implying a base-case that largely prices in gradual recovery but leaves scope for volatility if regulatory or execution risks crystallize [#SEC-8K].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-22
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-01-22event2025 results and 2026 guidance executionMedium impact
Boeing reported 2025 results and issued 2026 guidance (management expects to return to positive free cash flow and increase deliveries); execution against this guidance (cash flow, deliveries) will drive re-rating [#SEC-8K][#PR-2026-01-21].
2026-04-22catalystFAA AD — 737 MAX production inspectionsHigh impact
FAA issued an airworthiness directive requiring inspections of certain 737 MAX assemblies; regulators have signaled deliveries may be paused or slowed until checks complete, creating short-term delivery risk [#FAA-AD] and news coverage noted temporary pauses impacting near-term deliveries [#Reuters-2026-01-18].
2026-04-22catalystOngoing regulatory, legal and 787 program risksHigh impact
10‑K risk factors and recent filings highlight exposure from regulatory scrutiny, supply‑chain and program issues (notably 787) that could produce fines, slower deliveries or warranty/repair costs [#SEC-10K].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology