B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
BA
BoeingBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: successful remediation of 737 production issues, steady ramp of 737 and 787 deliveries, large commercial orders (e.g., Alaska) translate into backlog conversion and improved GAAP results; management meets 2026 free‑cash‑flow guidance and deleverages, unlocking re-rating [#PR-Alaska][#SEC-8K].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.
What can break
Delivery slowdowns due to production quality or supplier failures
Momentum
30
Value
36
Sentiment
88
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $256.00 · Bull $315.00 · Bear $155.00Analysis 2026-01-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $274.94
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d -23.9
Value36 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment88 · Δ7d +4.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Delivery slowdowns due to production quality or supplier failures
- • FAA/other regulator inspections or additional ADs on 737 MAX
- • Bear case: recurring production quality issues or regulatory orders (ADs) force prolonged delivery pauses, increased warranty/repair charges or large settlements from program defects; cash burn and higher funding costs force dilution or capex cuts, compressing multiple and revenue growth [#FAA-AD][#SEC-10K].
Catalyst clock
2026-01-22
2025 results and 2026 guidance execution
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
30
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.9
Δ21d
-25.0
Value
36
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
88
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.0
Δ21d
+10.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 30.1 / Value 35.6 / Sentiment 88.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-22. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$256.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$178.58B
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
790.37M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
90.9
P/S (TTM)
2.21
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-319.77
Rev YoY
+8.0%
EPS YoY
-27.2%
Gross Margin
+4.7%
Op Margin
-5.4%
Net Debt
$26.97B
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data