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BA

BoeingD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 8% year over year to $24.56 billion, free cash flow reached $631 million, and total backlog was $715 billion. Stable production and eventual certification could convert that backlog into stronger cash flow.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · BMO.
What can break
737 output was not yet stable at 47 per month in Boeing's September update. Boeing update [#IR-2026-09-16]
Momentum
36
Value
35
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $190.00 · Bull $230.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-27 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $262.43
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d +9.4
Value35 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d +2.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 737 output was not yet stable at 47 per month in Boeing's September update. Boeing update [#IR-2026-09-16]
  • • Boeing recorded $280 million of Q2 losses on the VC-25B program. Boeing Q2 results [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
  • • The FAA's MAX 10 delay interrupts a near-term certification expectation while Boeing is still working to stabilize 737 output.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27 · BMO

737 MAX 10 certification delay

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.4
Δ21d
+3.5
Value
35
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
-5.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 36.0 / Value 35.4 / Sentiment 51.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$230.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$190.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$148.87B
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
790.37M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
75.8
P/S (TTM)
2.21
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-266.56
Rev YoY
+8.0%
EPS YoY
-27.2%
Gross Margin
+4.7%
Op Margin
-5.4%
Net Debt
$26.97B
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data