B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
+24.6% vs current
AXR
AMREPBNYSE / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
+1.9% vs current
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
-32.0% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-03-14
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-24.0
Negative
Company
-45.0
Negative
Macro
-23.0
Negative
Pulse
-45.4
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+45.0
Score
AI commentary
Market tone is mixed: company continues to file timely earnings releases and investor updates, which supports transparency but highlights variability in land‑sale driven revenue [#8-K-2026-03-12]. Analyst coverage is light with a small range of price targets and modest median below our base case, reflecting caution on execution and timing [#SERP-1] [#IR-2025-12-12].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-03-14
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-12catalystNext quarterly results / land-sales cadence update (expected June 2026)High impact
AMREP has historically reported results and commentary via press release/8-K; the next quarterly release (estimated end of Q3 fiscal 2026 reporting window) will provide updated land‑sale timing, average selling prices and margins that typically drive near-term EPS moves [#8-K-2026-03-12].
2027-03-14catalystFull-year operating mix and land-inventory realisation (FY2026 year-end)High impact
AMREP's annual disclosures and investor communications show land‑sale timing and mix materially affect revenue and margins; FY2026 year-end results and any described shifts in project closings or asset dispositions will be a multi-quarter driver of re‑rating or dividend/capex choices [#10-K-2025-07-25] [#IR-2025-12-12].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-03-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology