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AVNT

AvientB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company-confirmed Q2 adjusted EPS beat, record margin, organic growth in both segments, and raised FY2026 guidance support a positive earnings follow-up. Continued execution could move AVNT toward the $47.50 median analyst target, although the target count is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.2.
What can break
Demand visibility is described only through Q3, leaving later-2026 visibility less certain.
Momentum
80
Value
56
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $47.50 · Bull $54.00 · Bear $36.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $50.75
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d -7.0
Value56 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +8.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Demand visibility is described only through Q3, leaving later-2026 visibility less certain.
  • • Inflation, supply-chain disruption, and volatile operating conditions could pressure margins or volume.
  • • The guidance raise may already be partly reflected in the stock, while demand visibility beyond Q3 is not established.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 beat and full-year guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
80
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.0
Δ21d
-6.9
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.8
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.2
Δ21d
+6.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 80.2 / Value 56.1 / Sentiment 71.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$47.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$36.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.16B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
91.72M
P/E (TTM)
25.9
P/S (TTM)
0.90
P/FCF (TTM)
54.68
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
+22.2%
Gross Margin
+32.2%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$1.49B
Current Ratio
1.90
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data