B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AVNT
AvientCNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Second-quarter organic sales grew 4.3%, adjusted EBITDA margin reached 18.3%, and adjusted EPS exceeded company guidance. If those operating drivers persist under the new CEO, the reaffirmed full-year outlook and debt-repayment plan could support recovery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.
What can break
Abrupt CEO and chair transition may disrupt execution or investor confidence. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-09]
Momentum
68
Value
56
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $38.00 · Bull $46.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $50.00
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +9.7
Value56 · Δ7d -0.9
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -3.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Abrupt CEO and chair transition may disrupt execution or investor confidence. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-09]
- • Inflation, supply-chain disruptions and weaker cash conversion could constrain margins or planned debt repayment. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
- • The sudden leadership change creates execution uncertainty ahead of results.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-04
November 4 results test reaffirmed guidance
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
68
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.7
Δ21d
+2.2
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
-37.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 68.2 / Value 56.1 / Sentiment 50.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.76B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
91.72M
P/E (TTM)
25.9
P/S (TTM)
0.90
P/FCF (TTM)
54.68
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
+22.2%
Gross Margin
+32.2%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$1.49B
Current Ratio
1.90
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data