AVD

American VanguardD

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-06-02

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$12.00

+361.5% vs current

Most likely

Base case

50%

Probability

Target price

$11.00

+323.1% vs current

B-

Bear case

30%

Probability

Target price

$3.00

+15.4% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-03-15

AI commentary

Market commentary is mixed: analysts' median target implies substantial upside relative to the current anchor price, but public disclosure of near-term operational detail is limited to standard filings and quarterly results [#10-K-2025-05-29] [#8-K-2025-11-12]. Recent IR/news schedules an earnings release on 2026-03-16 that is the nearest actionable read for investors [#IR-undated] .

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-03-15

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Evidence flagged

peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; rating conviction does not match the scenario target upside

Impact

degraded

Confidence

AI events

2026-03-16eventFull-year 2025 results / earnings release and webcastHigh impact

Company scheduled to release full-year 2025 results and host a webcast on 2026-03-16; market reaction likely around guidance/comments and any updated capital-allocation commentary [#IR-undated] (prior interim results were disclosed via 8-K Item 2.02) [#8-K-2025-11-12].

2027-03-15catalystEarnings/operational recovery drives re-rating toward analyst medianHigh impact

If FY2025 results and subsequent quarters show margin or EBITDA improvement consistent with prior strategic targets disclosed in filings and IR, shares could re-rate toward analyst median/consensus (~$11); prior filings include the 2025 10-K and recent 8-K results disclosures which provide the baseline to monitor for improvement [#10-K-2025-05-29] [#8-K-2025-11-12].

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-03-15 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology