AVD

American VanguardD

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

Bull case: management demonstrates sustained margin/EBITDA improvement and clearer capital-allocation (debt reduction or share buybacks), triggering re-rating toward analyst targets near $11–$12 over 12–24 months [#10-K-2025-05-29] [#8-K-2025-11-12].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-29.

What can break

Agricultural input demand weakness / weather-driven volume swings

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $11.00 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $3.00

Earnings

2026-07-29

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-03-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $20.00

Why

Momentum2 · Δ7d -

Value39 · Δ7d +0.3

Sentiment84 · Δ7d -

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.3

Δ21d

+0.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 2.0 / Value 38.7 / Sentiment 83.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$71.52M

Beta

1.25

Shares Out

28.61M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-1.4

P/S (TTM)

0.20

P/FCF (TTM)

38.02

Rev YoY

+6.7%

EPS YoY

-51.7%

Gross Margin

+27.5%

Op Margin

-14.4%

Net Debt

$178.96M

Current Ratio

2.32

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology