B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$51.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
AVA
AvistaCNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$41.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-26
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-32.2
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-32.2
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-45.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+79.4
Score
AI commentary
Consensus analyst coverage is broadly neutral-to-hold with a tight cluster around the low‑40s, producing a muted near-term sentiment backdrop [#SERP-3], [#SERP-8]. Market commentary shows limited upside consensus but a notable high estimate tail, indicating asymmetric scenario risk [#SERP-5].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-26
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-27eventRegulatory/rate-case outcome or material utility filingHigh impact
A state rate-case decision or regulatory filing outcome would materially affect cash flow and allowed ROE; timing not disclosed publicly here so expected_date uses conservative window end assumption [#SERP-3].
2026-05-27catalystQuarterly earnings / guidance updateMedium impact
Next quarterly report could move shares on EPS/guidance vs. utility peers; market consensus targets show tight 12‑month forecasts near current price which may mute volatility [#SERP-2], [#SERP-3]. Date estimated by short-horizon rule (assumed) — see expected_date note.
2027-02-26catalystCapital-allocation / dividend policy reviewHigh impact
Longer-term outcome from management on dividends, share repurchases, or merger activity could re-rate the stock relative to regional utility peers; consensus targets span a wide range implying optionality [#SERP-5], [#SERP-8].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology