AVA

AvistaC

NYSE / Utilities

At close

2026-06-11

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$51.45

+22.3% vs current

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$41.20

-2.0% vs current

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$36.00

-14.4% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-02-26

AI commentary

Consensus analyst coverage is broadly neutral-to-hold with a tight cluster around the low‑40s, producing a muted near-term sentiment backdrop [#SERP-3], [#SERP-8]. Market commentary shows limited upside consensus but a notable high estimate tail, indicating asymmetric scenario risk [#SERP-5].

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-26

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-05-27eventRegulatory/rate-case outcome or material utility filingHigh impact

A state rate-case decision or regulatory filing outcome would materially affect cash flow and allowed ROE; timing not disclosed publicly here so expected_date uses conservative window end assumption [#SERP-3].

2026-05-27catalystQuarterly earnings / guidance updateMedium impact

Next quarterly report could move shares on EPS/guidance vs. utility peers; market consensus targets show tight 12‑month forecasts near current price which may mute volatility [#SERP-2], [#SERP-3]. Date estimated by short-horizon rule (assumed) — see expected_date note.

2027-02-26catalystCapital-allocation / dividend policy reviewHigh impact

Longer-term outcome from management on dividends, share repurchases, or merger activity could re-rate the stock relative to regional utility peers; consensus targets span a wide range implying optionality [#SERP-5], [#SERP-8].

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-02-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology