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ATR

AptarGroupB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 EPS beat, sales growth across all segments, explicit Q3 EPS guidance of $1.45-$1.53 and Pharma demand tied to injectables, biologics and GLP-1 therapies support a cautiously improving operating thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.7.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 20.7% from 22.6% year over year, with Beauty and Closures exposed to mix and operational pressure. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
32
Value
55
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $150.00 · Bull $171.17 · Bear $120.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $171.17
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -15.8
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +14.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 20.7% from 22.6% year over year, with Beauty and Closures exposed to mix and operational pressure. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • CEO succession on September 1, 2026 creates a continuity and execution monitoring point. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
  • • Near-term earnings quality is constrained by emergency-medicine destocking, lower adjusted EBITDA margin, Beauty and Closures execution issues, and the upcoming CEO transition.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 earnings beat with explicit Q3 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.8
Δ21d
-25.5
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.4
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.7
Δ21d
+10.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 31.9 / Value 54.6 / Sentiment 78.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$171.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.38B
Beta
0.48
Shares Out
63.58M
P/E (TTM)
19.7
P/S (TTM)
2.20
P/FCF (TTM)
43.19
Rev YoY
+6.3%
EPS YoY
-18.1%
Gross Margin
+28.3%
Op Margin
+12.4%
Net Debt
$1.14B
Current Ratio
1.61
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data