B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ATNI
ATN InternationalANasdaq / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue increased 2% to $184.5 million, Adjusted EBITDA increased 9% to $49.7 million, and margin reached 27.0%. Management reaffirmed 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $183 million-$193 million, while the tower sale reduced the net debt ratio to 0.91x and created flexibility for investment and shareholder returns.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.7.
What can break
A 10% owner reported multiple open-market sales from August through early September, including 4,542 shares on September 3, adding a near-term ownership overhang. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-04]
Momentum
87
Value
62
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.00 · Bull $48.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-09-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $69.00
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -3.4
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +9.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A 10% owner reported multiple open-market sales from August through early September, including 4,542 shares on September 3, adding a near-term ownership overhang. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-04]
- • Broadband customer growth of 1% materially lagged the 21% increase in homes passed, creating utilization and return-on-investment risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
- • Broadband footprint growth has not yet translated into comparable customer growth: homes passed rose 21%, while customers rose only 1%.
Catalyst clock
2027-03-31
Potential deployment of expanded repurchase authorization
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
-8.2
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.4
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.7
Δ21d
+13.8
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 87.2 / Value 62.0 / Sentiment 76.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$486.28M
Beta
0.57
Shares Out
15.4M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-22.9
P/S (TTM)
0.49
P/FCF (TTM)
12.82
Rev YoY
+1.8%
EPS YoY
-2011.7%
Gross Margin
+39.3%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$576.4M
Current Ratio
1.63
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data