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ATNI

ATN InternationalA
Nasdaq / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 2% to $184.5 million while adjusted EBITDA rose 9% to $49.7 million, indicating operating leverage. The tower sale reduced the reported net debt ratio to 0.91x from 2.36x at year-end 2025.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
What can break
A disclosed 10% owner reported several open-market sales in August and September; these filings establish selling activity, not operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-18] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-04]
Momentum
39
Value
63
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $36.00 · Bear $19.00Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $69.00
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -5.4
Value63 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +7.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A disclosed 10% owner reported several open-market sales in August and September; these filings establish selling activity, not operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-18] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-04]
  • • Broadband footprint expansion has not yet translated into comparable customer growth; fixed consumer revenue was pressured by a lost government subsidy. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Broadband customer growth of 1% lagged the 21% expansion in homes passed.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Delivery against reaffirmed 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
39
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
-29.6
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
63
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+7.2
Δ21d
-11.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 38.6 / Value 63.0 / Sentiment 62.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$399.1M
Beta
0.57
Shares Out
15.4M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-18.8
P/S (TTM)
0.49
P/FCF (TTM)
12.82
Rev YoY
+1.8%
EPS YoY
-2011.7%
Gross Margin
+39.3%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$576.4M
Current Ratio
1.63
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data