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ATAT

Atour LifestyleA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 showed strong scale and profitability growth: revenue increased 47.5%, adjusted net income 42.0%, and the hotel network reached 2,088 properties, while management guided to 24%-28% full-year 2026 revenue growth. [#IR-2026-05-13]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.
What can break
Analyst target count, estimate revisions, options data, short interest, and verified post-release market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
46
Value
57
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $44.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $49.31
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d -4.1
Value57 · Δ7d +1.6
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +7.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count, estimate revisions, options data, short interest, and verified post-release market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
  • • Occupancy and RevPAR declined sequentially from Q4 2025, while hotel operating-cost intensity increased. [#IR-2026-05-13]
  • • Sequential hotel metrics softened, with occupancy at 70.6% versus 76.1% in Q4 2025 and RevPAR at RMB312 versus RMB336.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-20

Q2 2026 earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.1
Δ21d
-9.8
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.8
Δ21d
-7.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 45.7 / Value 57.2 / Sentiment 66.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.33B
Beta
-
Shares Out
112.9M
P/E (TTM)
26.7
P/S (TTM)
4.26
P/FCF (TTM)
20.42
Rev YoY
+50.2%
EPS YoY
+40.3%
Gross Margin
+43.1%
Op Margin
+21.2%
Net Debt
-$621.31M
Current Ratio
1.93
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data