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ASUR

Asure SoftwareB
Nasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Company-reported Q2 revenue grew 23% year over year, recurring revenue grew 19%, and adjusted EBITDA improved. Meeting Q3 guidance and converting distribution reach into recurring revenue would strengthen the growth case.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
A Q3 miss against $38 million–$40 million revenue or $8 million–$10 million adjusted EBITDA guidance could undermine the growth thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
78
Value
57
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.50 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $5.20Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.11
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d -
Value57 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A Q3 miss against $38 million–$40 million revenue or $8 million–$10 million adjusted EBITDA guidance could undermine the growth thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • FRPG distribution reach is disclosed, but customer conversion and revenue contribution are not quantified. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Q2 still produced a $4.4 million GAAP net loss.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

October 29 Q3 results against guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
78
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 78.4 / Value 57.3 / Sentiment 56.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$212.55M
Beta
0.44
Shares Out
28.88M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-15.4
P/S (TTM)
1.94
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
22.32
Rev YoY
+23.2%
EPS YoY
-31.3%
Gross Margin
+55.6%
Op Margin
-1.2%
Net Debt
$49.56M
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data