B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$13.38
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ASUR
Asure SoftwareANasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 demonstrated strong reported growth and improved profitability, while recurring revenue, product attach, AsureWorks, AI initiatives, and expanded distribution provide several potential growth levers [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Debt of approximately $68.9 million versus cash of approximately $19.7 million limits balance-sheet flexibility [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-31].
Momentum
78
Value
55
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.75 · Bull $13.38 · Bear $7.25Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.11
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d -
Value55 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment86 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Debt of approximately $68.9 million versus cash of approximately $19.7 million limits balance-sheet flexibility [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-31].
- • Expected sales hiring and execution requirements may constrain the planned growth trajectory.
- • Forward visibility remains limited by low analyst coverage, uncertain acquisition contribution, seasonality, nonrecurring-revenue comparisons, hiring needs, debt relative to cash, and a reported director open-market sale [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-31] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-12].
Catalyst clock
2026-11-23
Q3 2026 results versus second-half execution
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+12.8
Sentiment
86
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 78.4 / Value 55.5 / Sentiment 85.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$9.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$239.7M
Beta
0.44
Shares Out
28.88M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-17.3
P/S (TTM)
1.94
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
25.17
Rev YoY
+23.2%
EPS YoY
-31.3%
Gross Margin
+55.6%
Op Margin
-1.2%
Net Debt
$49.56M
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data